Better Bets (notice I didn't say Best Bets ....)
R3#1 Sing And Dance
R5#8 Flight To Mikinos
R8#3 Bymarjac
Quaddie
2,5
3,4,8,9
1,3,4,6,9,10
1,9
Race 1
1 Isadeni 8
2 Spot Nine 4
3 Prisonbreak 2.2
4 Sarah Roland scr
5 Honest Art 8
6 Next Sound 15
7 Celtic Legend 13
8 Karalta Lady scr
9 Anoptomist 4.5
Couple of scratchings has made this a very thin race. #3 Prisonbreak was very good last time out, he has gatespeed and is tough so has to go on top. There is a huge watch on #2 Spot Nine though who is first up for the Hodges stable and they have a great record with new stable additions so despite him being disappointing recently don't be surprised to see a massive improvement here. #9 Anoptoist has chased some good ones lately and will find this much easier and appears the only other hope. If taking exotics the rest are pretty even
Ratings 3/2/9/field
Early money was spot on for the 2 who beat the 3
Race 2
1 Rock The Pocket scr
2 Silent Jim 5.5
3 Top Premier 26
4 Bajardo River 3.2
5 Little Bluejeans 3.2
6 Real Reserve 17
7 Brown Paige 4.5
8 Sameas Maz 17
9 Touchwood Fortune 26
Shocking race and my two top picks are stablemates so betting could tell the picture here. #5 Little Bluejeans ran his best race in ages last time and gets Gareth here so have him on top, #4 Bajardo River has good gatespeed and last run was better than it looked after copping some pressure early so if he gets a soft lead might be the one. #7 Brown Paige hasn't had much luck lately but is going to need some from this draw but must be kept safe. Of the rest, #2 Silent Jim looks the only other winning chance
Ratings 5/4/7/2
Garbage race, ran a 68 first half in a mile race ffs and all my betting was around the 4 who was a certain leader but galloped so everything was out the window when that happened
Race 3
1 Sing And Dance 3.2
2 The Aces 17
3 Amberlu Ball 3.5
4 Hes No Saint scr
5 Buddy Beauty 7
6 Legerwood Creek 13
7 Modern Lobell 6
8 El Jays Modeena 9
9 Diebercharged 17
Hard race to assess and have come up with #1 Sing And Dance as the top pick despite being first up. Has pretty good gatespeed but there is plenty of speed outside her so no guarantee of leading but did chase some good ones prior to a spell and did win a trial in average time to prepare for this. #3 Amberlu Ball is also first up and has always shown enough but never quite put it together, she only trialled fairly recently but betting will tell the story. #5 Buddy Beauty ran a close 3rd to Jay Bardon and Thirsty Mach 3 starts back after leading which sounds very good against this lot but he did run a 69 half which enabled him to sprint home. He would have to lead to beat these and not sure he can. #7 Modern Lobell chased home the star filly Maggie Kennedy last time after a soft trip from the pole draw and will have to do it a lot tougher here. One of that quartet should win the race but the others are not totally out of play
Ratings 1/3/5/7/field
3 horse is a late scr here which will destroy any value in the pole. Won easily but at a good things price - TABs ranged from $1.50 - $1.80. They have to do something about sectional times in Tassie, first qtr there in 35
Race 4
1 Bygone Era 7
2 Secret Rendezvous 4
3 Wayne Rooney 26
4 King Albert 7
5 Bonny Wee Laddie 3
6 Forty Two Grand 9
7 Zonda 7
The claimers revert to racing behind the mobile here which should suit #5 Bonnie Wee Laddie who has blown the stand a couple of times so should settle much closer here. #2 Secret Rendezvous has been racing in good fields of late and the return to this class suits so is definitely the danger. The rest are all pretty even with only #3 Wayne Rooney looking to have no hope. Would give #4 King Albert a huge show but not sure if he can lead as #1 will try and punch through I reckon
Ratings 2,5/1,4,6,7
Race 5
1 Cranleigh Lass 34
2 No News At Seven 34
3 Prettyboytoby 5
4 Next Brigade 7
5 Light The Lantern 34
6 Pop Billy 51
7 Royal Village scr
8 Flight To Mikinos 2.3
9 Pennys Dragon 4.5
10 Glory Is Illusive 17
Pretty keen on #8 Flight To Mikinos in this stand start affair, was very impressive at first Tassie start coming from off the speed out wide in a 28 closing fraction. Has also been placed 4 times from the stand in Victoria so that shouldn't present a problem either. #9 Pennys Dragon is going way better than form suggests and got hammered in front last time and definitely looks the danger here. I always have a healthy respect for any chance drawn the front in a stand and #3 Prettyboytoby joins the in form Melissa Maine stable so has to be included. #4 Next Brigade appears the only other hope
Ratings 8/3,9/4
Race 6
1 The Musician 5
2 Davpass 41
3 Rocky Creek 7
4 Most Happy Jasper 9
5 Highflyin Fred 34
6 Our Sir Thomas 11
7 Camwood 17
8 Liskens Gift 17
9 Unrivalled 13
10 Keen Operator 3.8
11 As You Wish 17
12 Jack Leslie 17
Very, very hard race to sort out. Have #10 Keen Operator as fav and my top pick but hard to be confident with a horse who has won 1 of 57 starts though which sums the race up. He has been going better than these though so have to put him on top. #1 The Musician has to be driven for luck but if the breaks come will go very close. Both #3 Rocky Creek and #4 Most Happy Jasper love to lead in their races and it looks as if one of the will get there in this so also come into play and also cannot rule out either #6 Our Sir Thomas or #9 Unrivalled
Ratings 10/1/3,4,6/9
Race 7
1 Underdog 3
2 Duart Castle 7
3 In Cruise Mode 17
4 Shirnell 26
5 Topotheclouds 11
6 Glenwood Jasper 5
7 Toucha Revenge 21
8 My Centurion 21
9 Advance Dundee 4.5
Look to be four clear standouts here. #1 Underdog is proving very costly but gets the right draw here to bounce back. I do have a slight query on whether he can hold the front with #2 Duart Castle having some hope of getting over and if he does can definitely win. #9 Advance Dundee looks the main danger to the pole as the formline around him is very strong. Of the rest, #6 Glenwood Jasper only other hope who smashed a weak lot at Devonport
Ratings 1/9/6/2
Race 8
1 Major Ruler 5
2 Ashotatlife 7
3 Bymarjac 1.4
4 Safe Prospect 13
5 Hamish Sanz 21
6 Crombie Bay 34
#3 Bymarjac led and just got nutted on the line last time in a good field. He looks the leader again here and if he does should win. #1 Major Ruler is very one paced but if he could manage to keep the front would come right into play. #2 Ashotatlife ran an even race on debut but this is no easier but still is 3rd pick. #4 Safe Prospect did a bit wrong on debut and wasn't far away so is a good place chance if puts it together
Ratings 3/1/2,4
