There are 3 dead set morals on the card but all will be at prohibitive odds
R4#2 Maggie Kennedy
R5#5 Gedlee
R8#1 Nobeer Nocheer
Outside of them
Best Bet
R6#10 The Musics Over - hoping to get $3.50+
Best Exotic
R8 - quinella 1,2 (looks a good bet actually and be very happy with black figures)
Race 1
1 Buddy Beauty scr
2 Macasaol Magic 11
3 Inchbyinch 8
4 Seymour Gold 51
5 Willie Winalot 17
6 Honest Art 15
7 Riverina Chelsea 3.5
8 Karalta Lady 11
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9 El Jays Modeena 15
10 Rubys Life 21
11 Saab Quality 5
12 Cardinal Dreamer 17
13 Peace Chief 21
Initially found this race very hard to assess but quietly confident that either the filly #7 Riverina Chelsea or the colt #11 Saab Quality will win the race and have actually given the filly the edge even from the draw. Others with a chance are #3 Inchbyinch who looks the leader, #8 Karalta Lady who has drawn the car park and need luck and you have to include numbers 5,6,9,10,12,13 in exotics. A very interesting runner is #2 Macasaol Magic whose form is average but looking at the totes earlier was $1.20 with $2300 in the win pool which is a decent bet in Tassie so has to be respected on that score alone
Ratings 7/11/3/2,5,6,8,9,10,12,13
Race 2
1 Scottys Jewel 41
2 Monita Em 67
3 Codie Karalta scr
4 Bettors Express 6
5 Apache River 3.5
6 Wundababe 13
7 Bettor Draw 8
8 Johnnyace 17
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9 Modern Judge 3.5
10 Karalta Wizard 5
Don't know where to start here as #3 was one of my better bets on the card. #5 Apache River wasn't overly impressive at first start but form has stood up okay and looks the leader so has to go on top, #9 Modern Judge draws awfully but with any luck at all should probably win. #10 Karalta Wizard is very one paced but always thereabouts and of the rest #4 Bettors Express looked a little unlucky last time but did get a dream run and #7 Bettor Draw won an average race at first start. Even #6 Wundababe ran a cheeky race last time
Ratings 5,9/4,10/7/6
Race 3
1 Sophies Pleasure 13
2 Southern Playmate 7
3 Play Time Lady 34
4 Duart Castle 34
5 Loaded To Run 3.5
6 Billabong Bertie 2.5
7 Jonzaak 4.5
The barrier draw has opened this race up a little with the 3 main fancies drawing wide. #6 Billabong Bertie is an enigmatic beast who looks a star one day and a dud the next. Couldn't have him at the price but if he produced his best would beat these. #5 Loaded To Run is no star but very honest and will be around the mark. I blackbooked #7 Jonzaak last time making ground out wide in a 28.1 final qtr so might be the value. #1 Sophies Pleasure is as honest as they come but rarely wins and #2 Southern Playmate has won her past two starts in inferior fields and had the run of the race both times so might find this tougher
Ratings 6/5,7/1,2
Race 4
1 Modern Lobell 21
2 Maggie Kennedy 1.25
3 Why Take Time 101
4 Blackportnlace 101
5 Levina Leis 5
6 No Time To Dream 101
7 Spirited Ruler 101
8 Ell Ess Babe 13
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9 Safina Leis 17
10 Sarah Roland 67
#2 Maggie Kennedy has dominated the 3YO fillies races this year and from this draw looks unbeatable. #5 Levina Leis is not far behind ability wise but draw makes it tough as will have to sit outside Maggie. The only other hopes have both drawn badly in #8 Ell Ess Babe and #9 Safina Leis. #1 Modern promise draws to get a gun run behind the fav and isn't the worst so a good place hope. They rate miles clear of the rest and be very surprised if they don't run the first four
Ratings 2/5/8,9/1
Race 5
1 Cardinal Tucker 26
2 Glenfern Cruiser 41
3 Maybe Doc 17
4 Jay Bardon 9
5 Gedlee 1.5
6 Cardinal Dreamer scr
7 Jonny Red Neat scr
8 Thirsty Mach 13
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9 Lugovoi Leis 13
10 Anoptomist 101
11 Enchanted Heart 21
12 Its A Hoot 34
13 Iden Justasmyrk 34
A very good race this for the 3YOs. #5 Gedlee is a budding star and can see no reason why he won't continue on his winning way and whilst no certainty to lead he can do it tough as well. #4 Jay Bardon is the one who looks likely to get a great run so is the main danger. #8 Thirsty Mach must be sick of the sight of Gedlee as run 2nd to him 3 times and find it hard to reverse that trend from this gate. Only other hope is #9 Lugovoi Leis who will get a cheap run from the draw. They look better than the rest but it is a very good race and nearly every runner could sneak a place with some luck
Ratings 5/4/8,9/3/1,11,12,13
Race 6
1 King For A Day 15
2 Antheas Angel 5
3 Minkko scr
4 Light The Lantern 26
5 Balencia 8
6 Still Royal 13
7 Next Brigade 26
8 Currynroses 9
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9 Ontick 11
10 The Musics Over 3.5
11 Bad Boy Vinny 15
12 Cancellara 15
13 El Jays Maverick 21
#10 The Musics Over has had no luck at all recently and this looks very winnable, #2 Antheas Angel has improved 100 yards in recent starts and if found the front would be mighty hard to run down. #5 Balencia is very unreliable but could win this at her best and there are a host of other chances in the race given the right run in transit
Ratings 10/2/5,6,8,9/1,11,12,13
Race 7
1 Redside Shrek 13
2 Alla Breve 21
3 Sky Tower 9
4 Gettysburg Address 26
5 Winjammer 51
6 Alby Albert 21
7 Shez Ryleymak scr
8 Cosmic Under Fire 6.5
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9 Yuschenko Leis 11
10 Charleys Dream 2.3
11 Our Sir Jeckyl 5
Super race and I don't like mile races as a rule when the favs are drawn out the back but just look better than them in this instance. #10 Charleys Dream has jumped out of the ground since being claimed by the Braun camp and actually draws quite well behind the 2 who has gatespeed so should settle quite handy. #11 Our Sir Jeckyl wasn't overly impressive last time out to did break gear in the run and will be storming home late. Pretty sure one of those two will win but of the rest #3 Sky Tower is tough and races on the speed, #8 Cosmic Under Fire draws awkwardly but reckon they might press forward which is against his normal pattern but there isn't a ton of gatespeed under him and if he got across cheaply would make it mighty tough for those out the back. #9 Yuschenko Leis is flying but the draw makes it very tough so will need luck. Good even field racing over a mile trip means its very hard to predict and the only horse with no hope is #5 Winjammer
Ratings 10/11/3,8/9/1,2,4,6
Race 8
1 Nobeer Nocheer 1.33
2 Murillo Bromac 5
3 Paloona 34
4 Topup 11
5 Forty Two Grand 26
6 Gracie Hart 11
#1 Nobeer Nocheer has charged through the classes this time in and looks close to a good thing here as draws to lead and is extremely tough, #2 Murillo Bromac was pretty good first up when the driver went way too early and looks a lock for the quinella if drops onto the favs back at start. #4 Topup is probably the only one who could trouble the fav for the front but she goes way better when driven cold and will be around the placings. Of the rest, #6 Gracie Hart had every possible hope when won last time and going to find it much harder from this draw
Ratings 1/2/4/6
Race 9
1 Rock The Pocket scr
2 Bajardo River 5.5
3 Mighty Myf 34
4 Sameas Maz 17
5 Cindys Babe scr
6 Little Miss Madam 3.8
7 Monicas Notch 11
8 Susanne Jennifer 6
9 Pearls From Heaven 2.5
10 Big Town Babe scr
Race has been decimated by scratchings which leaves me with #9 Pearls From Heaven as a clear top pick as has raced against much better than these and the small field really suits. #6 Little Miss Madam is also going okay and looks the main danger and #2 Bajardo River must be included as looks the leader. #8 Susanne Jennifer is the query as has beaten far better fields than this so monitor betting with her. Only other chance is #7 Monicas Notch
Ratings 9/6/2,8/7
Race 10
1 Little Bluejeans 51
2 Mick Armalive 2
3 Barooga Billy 2
4 Go Go Cisco 51
5 Call Me James 17
6 Silent Jim 13
7 Charlie Grattan 51
Have to put my hand up and say I have no idea with only 2 winning hopes and both are almost impossible to assess. #2 Mick Armalive is first up from NZ, has trialled well and gets Gareth so if forced to pick one would go with it. However, #3 Barooga Billy is resuming from an 18 mth spell and looked a star in the making as a young horse and has trialled well also. Put it this way, if either of the favs were scratched the winner would pay $1.04 as there is nothing else of even half quality in the race
Ratings 2/3/6/5
