ALBION PARK
R1#2 Tiamour, ran quickest lead time of the night last week and just got touched off on the line and drops back to mile here. Pole horse might be a bit of value for the quinella as going okay. Other chances to 3,4,8,9. 3 horse had a huge wrap on him but looks a flat track bully to me who looks great when things go his way and struggles when they don't
Tragedy Beaten, declared on all race and fav nailed him on the line
R2#1 Jollygood Gent, went super last week in a fence dominated race. Goes best with a sit but does have good gatespeed so can kick up and then decide to hand up or not. Reckon the only horse he would hand up to is #6 Arma Fake so play that quinella for something as well
Smashed em, $1.50
BENDIGO
R2#6 Michael Thomas, last 3 runs have been enormous. Was going to win easily 2 starts back when broke and then went a ton better than main danger here in #5 in the same race last time despite not beating it home. If it trots all the way it wins in my opinion, I don't regard him as a risky trotter either for some reason despite breaking at past 2 starts - he was going too quick out wide at Ballarat which doesn't have a lot of camber and see plenty of pacers do the same and he ran up the back of the leader at Melton when it handed up at the bell. Expect to see him in the death this time as a very thin race with only 5,6 and to a lesser degree #8 any hope of winning
Galloped, lost 50 and got beaten 5 - enough said
Best Bet is Jollygood Gent
