Race 1
1 QUASTOR CENTURION 1.04
2 BETTOR DRAW scr
3 KARALTA WIZARD 11
Breeders Crown heat for the 2yo colts and geldings and looks a benefit for the unbeaten Quastor Centurion who is 7 from 7 and demolished the field in the $30,000 Dandy Patch final last time. The only other runner in #3 Karalta Wizard is a fair horse in his own right being placed 10 of 14 starts but they went round in the same race last week and Quastor started $1.80 and Karalta started at $91.40 which probably best sums it up. Don't reckon he will win by far as he isn't that type of horse as tends to bludge a bit in front but he will win and then be off to Melbourne for the semis
Ratings 1/3
Race 2
1 NO TIME TO DREAM 17
2 WHY TAKE TIME scr
3 SARAH ROLAND 17
4 ARTIFICE 3
5 SING AND DANCE 2.2
6 EL JAYS MODEENA 34
7 RUBYS LIFE 15
8 ASHKALINI 5.5
Couple of big queries here makes it hard to assess. #5 Sing And Dance hasn't run a bad race this time in and has an edge in fitness over her main rivals here. #4 Artifice was very good as a 2yo but hasn't raced for 12 months so betting will tell the tale with her as would probably lead and win at her best. Similar story with her stablemate #8 Ashkilini who also resumes from a spell and has an awkward draw to overcome sp prepared to risk. That trio have a definite class edge over the rest with #7 Rubys Life the next best as hasn't had much luck recently but th
ey are all quite even outside of the top 3
Ratings 5/4?/8/7/field
Race 3
1 AAPENNON 11
2 CINDYS BABE 34
3 DREAM OF THE WEST 67
4 BAROOGA BILLY 2.5
5 DENVERS BOY 21
6 ANILADA 34
7 SPOT NINE 2.5
8 SILENT JIM 67
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GO GO CISCO 41
10 TOP PREMIER 17
11 BROWN PAIGE 34
12 ROJEN ALICASTREOS 201
Very thin race this and have settled on the 3yo #7 Spot Nine to make it a hat trick of wins. He has started twice for the Hodges stable for 2 emphatic wins and will get put into the race early here and make it a survival of the fittest. Very hard to assess #4 Barooga Billy who resumed from a long break, was well backed but got it all wrong. He oozes ability but makes too many mistakes to jump in at the short odds but did trial well subsequent to first up run and will probably run favourite but can't afford any mistakes over the mile trip so poor value in my opinion. #1 Aapenon was driven overly aggressively first up and not surprisingly tired but from this draw is some hope with a softer run. #10 Top Premier has run a couple of placings lately in similar fields and is a place hope again, #5 Denvers Boy has trialled okay so may be a place hope
Ratings 7/4/1/10/5,6,11/2,8
Race 4
1 BIGGERNBETTERMAX 2.2
2 HES NO SAINT 51
3 PRISONBREAK 13
4 FOXYCLOUT 17
5 SURPRISE PURCHASE 7
6 CARDINAL TUCKER 17
7 SAAB QUALITY 7
8 WILLIE WINALOT 34
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CARDINAL DREAMER 6
10 KIRIJO 201
11 PEACE CHIEF 34
#1 Biggernbettermax didn't set the world on fire first up (got held up momentarily but they walked home) but still goes on top here. Am worried that will be poor value due to a few factors, good numerical form, barrier 1, Gareth driving and being very well related but still must go on top. There is gatespeed outside him and a bit of a query with that as well so don't take silly odds. #9 Cardinal Dreamer ran his best race in ages trailing the leader last time so could be in the same spot again here. #5 Surprise Purchase is close to a win but has been racing weaker fields but is very honest and #7 Saab Quality who has run some cracking races against some of the best but past couple haven't been at that level. #3 Prisonbreak led and got beaten at long odds on midweek so would have to improve lengths but have to respect on previous form. Of the rest, #4 Foxyclout ran a cheeky race midweek but this is tougher, #6 Cardinal Tucker is honest but draw makes it tough and #11 Peace Chief has some ability but is very wayward
Ratings 1/9/5,7/3/4,6,11
Race 5
1 GUERRERO 11
2 AN EYE FOR AN EYE NZ 21
3 GOOD TO BE HOLME scr
4 PRETTYBOYTOBY 34
5 BALENCIA 4.5
6 LUGOVOI LEIS 3.5
7 CANCELLARA 17
8 TOUCHWOOD FORTUNE 501
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CURRYNROSES 13
10 HARLEY FELLA 8
11 IN CRUISE MODE 13
12 GLENWOOD JASPER 5.5
Good race this with plenty of value and settled on the 3yo #6 Lugovoi Leis to continue on his winning way but do have a couple of reservations in that he generally goes best when not used out of the gate and will probably have to go forward from this draw as there isn't a ton of speed under him, plus he is taking on some pretty good seasoned horses. On ability though he must go on top. #5 Balencia lacks tactical speed but is as tough as old boots and is sure to be put into the race. #12 Glenwood Jasper finally got some luck and a well deserved win midweek but the barrier draw gods have frowned on him again but with any luck will be right in the thick of the finish. There are number of others who all can win the race with a bit of luck, #1 Geurrero draws to get the right run, #7 Cancellara drew well and was close up but the draw is the worry here but is the topical tip as just finished watching his namesake win the Tour de France time trial, #9 Currynroses is always a chance with the right run, #10 Harley Fella resumes but had decent form prior to a spell and #11 In Cruise Mode hasn't had any luck at all recently. Even #2 An Eye For An Eye isn't the worst. The one thing I am sure of is that if #8 Touchwood Fortune wins then I will give it away!!
Ratings 6/5,12/1,9/7,10,11/2
Race 6
1 UNRIVALLED 13
2 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ 21
3 THE MATO GROSSO 17
4 MOST HAPPY JASPER 5
5 KAMWOOD KENNY 11
6 SANREOS 4
7 STILL ROYAL 15
8 HARLEKEN WIZED 5
---------- Second Row ----------
9 THE MUSICIAN 11
10 TENT PEG (Em 1)
11 TOPOTHECLOUDS 15
12 PROVENANCE 21
13 MEANDPOP 101
Very hard race but settled on #6 Sanreos who ran a terrific race midweek and at her best would beat these clearly but hasn't done much this season until last run. She makes her own luck and half keen on her actually. Couple of query runners in #8 Harleken Wizard who is first up in the state and has good form around Mount Gambier and the Western Districts of Victoria so must be included despite the draw and #4 Most Happy Jasper has been woeful this season but does have ability and did trial well in preparation for this. Outside of that trio they are an even lot with #9 The Musician drawn to get a soft run on the pegs and may surprise, #11 Topoftheclouds has been perfectly driven at past few and just won't finish off so prepared to risk as a winning chnce. #5 Kamwood Kenny hasn't had much luck since arriving in Tassie so might surprise and both #1 Unrivalled and #3 The Mato Grosso have speed. Can't completely ignore #2 Livin In Heaven who got knocked over when resuming and #12 Provenance goes best in front but isn't hopeless
Ratings 6/4,8/9,11/5/1,3,12
Race 7
1 TOPUP 5
2 PENNYS DRAGON 7
3 ADVANCE DUNDEE NZ 9
4 FORTY TWO GRAND 7
5 PALOONA 34
6 KING ALBERT 9
7 KING OF BLING 5
8 MURILLO BROMAC NZ 7
---------- Second Row ----------
9 FOR MY MUM MAGGIE NZ 17
10 WAYNE ROONEY NZ ($4,000) 51
11 THE APPRENTICE ($5,000) scr
Extremely difficult race to finish the quaddie and have opted for #1 Topup who is drawn to get a perfect run. She goes very well when held up for a late crack at them and draws to get that opportunity here. #7 King Of Bling led and copped a bit of pressure last time but must be respected on previous form, #3 Advance Dundee is actually the horse who took it on so may benefit from a quiter drive itself. #2 Pennys Dragon is up in class but racing very well, #8 Murillo Bromac is down in class but draws badly and both #4 Forty Two Garnd and #6 King Albert ran well without luck midweek. #9 For My Mum Maggie is down on best form but wouldn't totally surprise. Also wouldn't totally discount #5 Paloona who bobs up on occasions
Ratings 1/7/2,4/6,8/3,9
Race 8
1 JEFFERSON NZ 26
2 MAJESTIC EMPEROR 4
3 THE MUSICS OVER NZ 11
4 CASTASPELL 17
5 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ 2.7
6 YUSHCHENKO LEIS 3
#5 Cosmic Under Fire has led and been garrotted in front at past 2 starts (in races won by the stablemate of the attacker both times) and has been very brave hanging on to run 3rd both times. Last time for instance they ran 28.9 from the 1200-800m mark and yet no questions were asked by stewards which is another story. Can't see any attackers here so despite the 20m backmark still looms as top pick. #6 Yuschenko Leis has been a revelation since returning to Tassie and never runs a bad race so will go close again. #2 Majestic Emperor also ran a decent race at first run back in the state and if he managed to ping to the front here would take a ton of running down. #3 The Musics Over has super numerical form but this is much harder so will need the right run to figure. #4 Castaspell resumes and is up to this class on best form but resumes from a long spell and #1 Jefferson was disgraceful in a claimer at first run in the state on Wednesday night
Ratings 5/6/2/3/4/1
Race 9
1 PUT MBACK 21
2 THE JET scr
3 BETTORS EXPRESS 21
4 SAFE PROSPECT 1.8
5 SEMOSE TWENTY 3.2
6 JOHNNYACE 6
7 DRIFTING WEST 13
#4 Safe Prospect was super impressive leading and winning during the week and can see no reason why he won't repeat the dose here. #5 Semose Twenty probably should have run 2nd to Quastor Centurion last week and can work in his races so looms as the biggest danger. #6 Johnnyacy is a good sit/sprint type who will take advantage if the favs overdo things and the small field suits so not without claims. #7 Drifting West has also gone okay at past couple but will need luck from the draw and his stablemate #3 Bettors Express isn't totally out of the equation. #1 Put Mback has been fair at the trials but runs into a decent field here so prepared to risk
Ratings 4/5/6/7/3/1
Race 10
1 BENEDICTION 1.1
2 KRISTINS NIADH 7
3 DAWN OFA NIADH 21
4 ZIVAS MAGIC 101
Breeders heat for the fillies sees another standout in #1 Benediction who led and won the Evicus final last time. Looks a certain leader here and simply should be too good. #2 Kristins Niadh ran a cheeky race when 3rd to Benedcition and looks a lock for the quinella spot. Her stablemate #3 Dawn Ofa Niadh has similar ability but doesn't produce it too often but is still well clear of #4 Zivas Magic who is totally outclassed
Ratings 1/2/3/4
