Few difficult races to assess early on with some query runners but looks a few decent bets later on in the night
Race 1
1 WHY TAKE TIME 34
2 BUDDY BEAUTY 17
3 INCHBYINCH 21
4 HES NO SAINT 51
5 BIGGERNBETTERMAX 3.2
6 LEGERWOOD CREEK 15
7 SPOT NINE 4.5
8 ITS A HOOT 13
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SING AND DANCE 3.5
Extremely difficult race to assess this with a huge query over the impeccably bred #5 Biggernbettermax who resumes from a 15 mth spell without a trial but form prior to a spell was good against some handy horses but the market is the only possible guide. #9 Sing And Dance has run 3 great races since resuming and as the sole 2nd row runner here should get a good run through early so despite taking on the boys is going to receive a good trip. #7 Spot Nine looms as the other winning hope after an impressive win when first up for the Hodges camp but from the draw is going to have to go back and come around the entire field so have him as 3rd pick purely on that basis. Of the rest, place hopes go to #8 Its A Hoot who is racing very well but draw is a major issue and #6 Legerwood Creek has been okay at past couple so might run into a place. #2 Buddy Beauty is very one paced but has to go into exotics as never far away and #3 Inchbyinch has been very ordinary of late but cannot be totally dismissed
Ratings 5,9/7/8/6/2/3
Race 2
1 GO TOP 4.5
2 MONITA EM 41
3 SAFE PROSPECT 11
4 HAMISH SANZ 8
5 BETTORS EXPRESS 6
6 MAJOR RULER 15
7 STONE SKIPPER 7
8 HANGOVER JOE 3.2
Another difficult race to sort out with little form to go on and they all look extremely even. I have no doubts that #8 Hangover Joe has the most ability of the raced ones but he has issues mentally in producing it so hard to jump into him but must still go on top. #1 Go Top has trialled okay and draws to get every hope. #5 Bettors Express has been competitive in these types of races in the past and #7 Stone Skipper has been backed and beaten a few times so prefer to wait until she actually produces it before including her and the trio of #3 Safe Prospect, #4 Hamish Sanz and #6 Major Ruler have all finished together in the same races lately. The only one I would totally discard is #2 Monita Em
Ratings 8/1/5/3,4,6,7
Race 3
1 DIEBERCHARGED 15
2 FOXYCLOUT 26
3 SATURDAY NIGHTS 3.8
4 ANOPTOMIST 17
5 WILLY PLAY 17
6 EL JAYS MODEENA 26
7 SAAB QUALITY 1.8
8 SAFINA LEIS 9
---------- Second Row ----------
9 PEACE CHIEF 51
The betting will tell the tale with this race as #7 Saab Quality is simply better than the raced brigade but runs into a very well bred first starter who has also trialled okay in #3 Saturday Nights. By virtue of performance #7 Saab Quality must go on top but you must respect #3 Saturday Fever if any support as is in a top stable and the only other foal out of the mare is the well performed Babyitsyu. Outside of that duo place hopes go to #8 Safina Leis who steps up from fillies class here and #1 Diebercharged whose form is better than it looks on paper. If playing exotics, also include #2 Foxyclout, #4 Anoptimist, #5 Willy Play and #6 El Jats Modeena in the mix
Ratings 7/3/1,8/2,4,5,6
Race 4
1 CANCELLARA 6
2 GOOD TO BE HOLME 67
3 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA 41
4 IN CRUISE MODE 3.5
5 BALENCIA 13
6 NEW YORK FELLA 34
7 SANREOS 34
8 BAD BOY VINNY 21
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GLENWOOD JASPER 4.5
10 MAROSSI 13
11 CURRYNROSES 7
12 COMMANDER DATA 101
The 2 top raters here in #4 In Cruise Mode and #9 Glenwood Jasper met in the same race midweek and ran the quinella and I thought Glenwood Jasper went better from its draw but will face the same problem here. That leaves #4 In Cruise Mode as the top pick as is very tough and if he found the front would almost be impossible to run down. #9 Glenwood Jasper is simply flying of late but having no luck at all but you have to include him as the luck will come one day. #1 Cancellara should get the perfect run from the draw and looks a good EW chance. The only other hopes appear to be the stablemates in #11 Currynroses and #5 Balencia who are both sure to receive their share of support but I have some reservations regarding the form out of their last race when they ran the quinella so have them as place hopes only. #10 Marossi is next best but would need a ton of luck to win
Ratings 4/9/1/11/5/10
Race 5
1 THE MUSICS OVER NZ 5.5
2 FORTY TWO GRAND 21
3 ADVANCE DUNDEE NZ 13
4 JONZAAK 21
5 TOPUP 15
6 KING OF BLING 2.5
7 LOADED TO RUN 7
8 FOR MY MUM MAGGIE NZ 34
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MURILLO BROMAC NZ 15
10 TOP PAIGE 8
Not much between the entire field here ability wise but in mile races the speed map is vitally important so have framed the market around that. #6 King Of Bling has exceptional gatespeed and looks the leader again and finished off in 27.1 the last time he led over the mile trip so have him as a clear top pick. #1 The Musics Over had the same draw when trailed King Of Bling last time and ran him to 3 metres on the line and should be in the same spot again and if the fav cops pressure will be in the right place. #7 Loaded To Run never runs a bad race and will be around the money again and the query runner is #10 Top Paige who has a great record in mile races but is resuming and has a 2nd row draw to overcome. Cannot totally discount any runner but would be surprised if anything outside of that quartet won
Ratings 6/1/7/10/field
Race 6
1 KAMWOOD KENNY 13
2 TOUCHWOOD FORTUNE 101
3 THE MUSICIAN 13
4 TOPOTHECLOUDS 4.5
5 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA 11
6 CALL ME JAMES scr
7 MONICAS NOTCH 41
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY 11
---------- Second Row ----------
9 STILL ROYAL 8
10 BAJARDO RIVER 17
11 LUGOVOI LEIS 2.5
12 DAVPASS 101
#6 Call Me James has come back to racing in fine fettle and looks the top pick here, he can go forward and make his own luck so will look the winner at some stage. #11 Lugovoi Leis is one dimensional in that must be driven cold but if he gets the right trip will be hard to hold out. #4 Topoftheclouds has travelled like a winner a couple of times lately and hasn't found the line so prepared to declare him a place prospect only. Outside of that trio, there are plenty of others with place prospects providing the breaks go their way in #1 Kamwood Kenny, #3 The Musician, #5 Touchwood Teeksta, #8 Prettyboytoby, #9 Still Royal and #10 Bajardo River
Ratings 6/11/4/1,3,5,8,9,10
Race 7
1 WINJAMMER scr
2 ALLA BREVE 13
3 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS 7
4 SHEZ RYLEYMAK scr
5 YUSHCHENKO LEIS 4.5
6 SKY TOWER 4
7 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ 2.2
#7 Cosmic Under Fire was attacked in front last time and did a super job to run 3rd and given a clean getaway here should be the one to beat. He rates on top of the stablemates in #5 Yuschenko Leis and #6 Sky Tower who actually both beat him home last time after having easier runs. It is interesting to note that Erin jumps onto Sky Tower here over the longer trip after having driven Yuschenko Leis in all races this season which may be a lead in itself as she is fighting out the female drivers title with Nat Emery. The other Hodges stablemate in #3 Gettysburg Address appears the only other winning hope with both the frontmarkers being disappointing of late but by the nature of stand start racing they cannot be totally discounted
Ratings 7/6/5/3/1,2
Race 8
1 JUSTABRITTMORE 17
2 ENCHANTED HEART 1.1
3 BROWN PAIGE 21
4 TENT PEG 101
5 SILENT JIM 26
6 LITTLE BLUEJEANS 21
7 DENVERS BOY scr
8 TOP PREMIER 51
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GO GO CISCO 51
10 AAPENNON 51
No hope of getting out in the last if you have to with #2 Enchanted Heart looking a stone bonking moral who has won 3 of his past 4 starts and just looks classes above this lot (outside of him, the rest of the field are a combined 153 starts for 1 win which probably best sums it up). Of the rest, #1 Justabrittmore has actually won a race, draws the pole and at his only Tasmanian run he wasn't too bad despite doing some things wrong. #3 Brown Paige must be driven for luck but is always a place hope, #6 Little Bluejeans ran the quinella with the fav last time but did have a cheap pegs run and find it tougher from out here and #5 Silent Jim was going okay earlier in the year but last few have been awful but maybe Gareth jumping on may rejuvenate him a bit
Ratings 2/1,3/5,6/field
