Sunday, October 31, 2010

Hobart Tips and Speed Maps

All Races

R1#3 Aapennon
R2#1 The Detonator
R3#8 Alma Grant
R4#1 Dieberdon
R5#10 Bide Your Time
R6#7 Sky Tower
R7#5 Teejay Fella
R8#7 Its A Hoot
R9#2 Smokin Mustard

Best Bet
R4#1 Dieberdon

also keen on the last 3 races as reckon all will run cheeky races and will all be 2nd fav I reckon so be a touch of value

Quaddie - total $96

1
1,2,6,8,9,10
1,3,7,8
3,5
$48 for 100%

1,2
1,2,6,8,9,10
1,7
3,5
$48 for 100%

Speed Maps

Race 1

Winning hopes - 3,4
Place hopes - 9,1,10,6,2

Leader - #3 Aapennon, both 1,2 race with a sit and neither of 5,6,7 have blistering gatespeed which means either 3 or 4 will lead and whichever one does becomes the horse to beat. Whilst I do give 4 a rough hope of crossing the 3 I will still stick with #3 as the leader

Race 2

Winning hopes - 1,2,8,3
Place hopes - 4,10

Leader - #1 The Detonator, 1,2,5,6 all have gatespeed but confident that one of the inside 2 have sufficient speed so will opt for #1 as the leader

Race 3

Winning hopes - 1,4,8
Place hopes - 2,9,11

Leader - #1 Artifice, 1 has been driven with a sit recently but back to the mile I expect to see a change of tactics tonight and has the speed to keep front, if she hands up then 4 will probably get there. 6 has led at past couple but its a lot harder from this gate

Race 4

Winning hopes - 1,2
Place hopes - 3,4,8,9

Leader - #1 Dieberdon, 1 showed good speed last time and confident that will hold up, 2 has speed but they rarely use it as doesn't finish her races off when they do. 4 also has speed and will go forward but doubt he will cross the pole

Race 5

Winning hopes - 2,6,10
Place hopes - 1,8,9

Leader - #2 Cullens Count, 1 is a query with its gatespeed as the driver nearly always wants to lead on anything he drives but outside of him 2 has speed and led last time and from the draw looks likely to do so again. 6 also led last time and with Gareth on its amazing sometimes how much he can improve a horses gatespeed so wouldn't totally surprise to see him get over

Race 6

Winning hopes - 1,7
Place hopes - 3,8

Leader - #3 Jumpin Jack Jasper, confident that 1 or 3 will lead based on previous stand start form, 3 especially has excellent stand start manners so is likely to be first to the pegs and then may hand up but should be first to the pegs

Race 7

Winning hopes - 3,5
Place hopes - 1,2,9

Leader - #3 Biggernbettermax, 1 probably has the speed to lead but has run best races when driven with a sit and with a couple of smart ones outside will hand up you would imagine. Both 3,5 led to win last time and would probably rate 3 an 80% hope of keeping 5 out early

Race 8

Winning hopes - 2,7
Place hopes - 4,5

Leader - #2 Anoptimist, 2 is the only one with proven gatespeed and he hasn't got a ton either but looks likely to lead given the strength of the ones drawn near him

Race 9

Winning hopes - 2,4
Place hopes - 3,5

Leader - #2 Smokin Mustard looks a certain leader

***** FULL PREVIEW BELOW *****