Launceston - all races
R1#1 Zurbaran
R2#8 Empty Envelope
R3#2 Rushin Courage
R4#6 Bubbas A Fake
R5#1 Maggie Kennedy
R6#2 Night In Vegas
R7#12 Cosmic Under Fire
R8#4 Packedtotherafters
Best Bet
Pretty keen on first 3 races so even a parlay wouldn't be a bad option. If backing them individually then level stake them as be surprised if 2 of the 3 didn't win and that would get you a small profit
$100 Quaddie
1,4,6
1,2,4,5,7,10
2,3,7,8
8,11,12
Roughly 46% I think
Quick synopsis and early speed indicator for each race
Race 1
#1 Zurbaran really should be winning with the only real worry being #7 who is first up in the state
Leader - #1 has led in the past and led in his trial so would imagine he would hold up again
Race 2
#8 Empty Envelope has a tricky draw to overcome but looks too good, reckon the only way he gets beaten is if they go back at the start over the mile trip (remember there are 12 runners so if he goes back will be 30 metres minimum off leader) and if he does that he also takes the risk that a bolter may pull out in front of him
Leader - impossible to be confident but forced to pick would opt for #3
Race 3
#2 Rushin Courage holds the key here as if he led he looks certain to get it soft as no pressure horses drawn the front row. The pole has showed speed at times which is a bit of a concern as wouldn't hand up but confident enough that the 2 will lead. #9 Denvers Boy is going well and looks the danger but the draw is awful for him
Leader - confident that #2 will lead, outside of the pole horse who I'm confident he will cross, #4 has plenty of speed but would hand up anyway and not much other speed of note. #3 led last time but can't see him leading here
Race 4
#6 Bubbas A Fake was simply huge last time and would win with a repeat of that but she can mix her form at times, #4 The Musics Over ran odds on in that race last time and disappointed but draws better here so must respect and #1 King Of Bling loves the mile trip. If they overdo things then maybe #7 Gracie Hart might blouse them but would need a ton of speed on
Leader - #1 is a flying machine early but wouldn't be surprised to see him take a sit behind either of the favs
Race 5
#1 Maggie Kennedy holds the key here as would probably win on best form but being first up its hard to know where she is at. #4 Biggernbettermax never runs a bad race and draws well so is an obvious danger. Another query is #2 Our Zellweger who was ordinary last time in but has been okay at the trials and you must also concede chances to 5,7,10 so just a terribly difficult race
Leader - also not easy but either of the inside 2 should have enough speed to muster through early
Race 6
with the scratching of the fav who looked a moral it has opened it up a tad but only look 4 chances in 2,3,7,8. #2 Night In Vegas has been ultra consistent and gets her best draw in a while but I have some reservations as to whether she has the killer instinct to win races as has run a lot of placings of late after looking the winner in the run
Leader - #2 hasn't been used from the gate in a while but has shown speed in the past and outside of her #3 led last time so confident in saying that either of those will lead
Race 7
Great race and very hard to sort out. 5,9,10 are probably the only 3 who can't win and I think whoever gets the best run out of 8,11,12 will win and also concede #2 a hope if gets a soft lead
Leader - #2 looks the one with not a ton of speed off the front
Race 8
exceptionalally hard race and very even with no runner not without a hope, pretty confident that either 3,4,5,6 will win but once again it comes down to tempo and luck in running. Be very interested to see how #6 Codie Karalta goes as if she learned to harness the speed that she had as a 2yo she will make an exciting 3yo
Leader - pole horse walks out which probably leaves either of the stablemates in 2 or 4 as the leader and if that happened I would expect 4 to roll to the front
