Launceston Preview - Sunday Nov 28

Race 1

1 DAVPASS $26 bobs up on occasions but likely to get buried on the pegs so place at very best
2 KOIZORA $15 has a bit of early toe might find a couple too classy
3 CHASSYS BEST $21 just an average run when resuming, has shown ability in the past so might be an improver
4 EL JAYS MODEENA scr
5 MODERN SOCIETY $1.8 dominant win last time against virtually the same field, clearly the one to beat again
6 RUBYS LIFE $13 always runs on so a definite place chance but will need plenty to go her way to win
7 SPIRITED RULER $51 resuming and would need to draw well to be any hope and has drawn badly
8 HERNANDES $101 unplaced in all 11 career runs to date (actually hasn't finished better than 7th) and from this outside gate has virtually no hope
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MISS ETNA $34 first up run in Tassie wasn't the worst but was in a much easier race so need to improve to figure
10 CYCLONE DYNASTY $26 was a cheeky run at huge odds behind the fav 2 runs back and might sneak a place again
11 SUSANNE JENNIFER $34 has ability but been disappointing this time in, does get a change of driver but still needs to improve heaps to even figure
12 ALMA GRANT $3.8 broke when in contention last time, provided she is on her best behaviour will be right in the mix

Race 2

1 RUSHIN COURAGE NZ $6 draws to be on the speed all the way, whilst he has the speed to lead he will probably hand up and if the split comes can certainly win
2 AN EYE FOR AN EYE NZ $15 last run was his best effort in ages, looked a promising horse 12 months ago so might be on the way back so is some hope
3 HARLEY CLASSIC $5 tough pacer who went okay first up, should be in the finish
4 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE $26 racing well blow his best and prefer others
5 OUR SIR LEW $17 another who ran his best race in ages last time so one for exotics
6 AAPENNON $2.8 good effort after having no luck last time in a good form race, given even luck here will be mighty hard to beat
7 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA $15 going to need plenty of luck from out here but going well enough to feature, yet another for exotics
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY $17 has the ability to win but from this draw will have to go back at the start and faces an almost impossible task over this trip
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CUMULATIVE DREAMS scr
10 THE INHIBITOR $34 form is very average but its worth noting that Nat Emery gets the drive this week and horse has a decent record for her so may be an improver and worth throwing in the lower end of exotics
11 ARK WEST $7 won both starts for the new stable, did think he was flattered to win last time when they staggered home in 61.3 so prepared to risk somewhat from here as will have to come home at least 3 seconds quicker

Race 3

1 KARALTA WIZARD $2.2 hard to assess as an early season 3yo taking on older horses and see many fail at this time of year as they are just not seasoned enough, will probably start at a ridiculous price given that all form is against own age but still definitely can win. Whether he is value or not is another matter
2 SURPRISE PURCHASE $8 good win last time out against easier opposition, generally likes to lead so the battle between him and the pole early will be very important
3 JUST LIKE THUNDER $13 considered a bit of a Devonport specialist but form is okay at most tracks to be honest, a must for exotics
4 TOP MEMORIES $51 didn't do a lot on debut and needs to improve
5 TOP PREMIER $17 always running home and this is weakest race he has struck in a while, might surprise at odds
6 RAMSAYS FURY $67 saves best form for Devonport and when drawn to lead so not much chance from here
7 OUR LAST KNIGHT $101 virtually no hope from out here
8 MIGHTY MYF (Em 1) no hope if gains a start
---------- Second Row ----------
9 EMMAS HOPE $26 draws to receive a gun trip but place appears best
10 HONEST ART $5 honest 4yo who can work in his races, its worth noting he is a year older than the pole horse and that experience may tell late in the race
11 ELL ESS BABE $8 resumes here and always hard from 2nd row over a mile but but mixed it with the best fillies last season so be right in the finish if anywhere near her top but her trial was just fair. Watch market closely
12 INTHENICKOFTIME $21 going a bit better than form suggests but find it tough from this draw
13 LOOK LOOK $26 has run some good races this time in but very hard from here so minor place hope at very best

Race 4

1 PRINCE CALAF $2.3 has always raced best when drawn to lead and gets his chance to win again here, there is some speed outside him but he should lead and if he does should win
2 CELTIC LEGEND $5 been well driven in both races since a spell sitting leader's back both times for a narrow win and a narrow defeat. Likely to get every hope again from this draw so is the main danger
3 JANSZOON $15 another who has been perfectly driven to win past couple but with speed inside here is highly unlikely to get the same type of run and doubt he can come round them and win
4 EL JAYS MAVERICK $15 always a place hope at this level, probably lacks the ability to win but won't be far away
5 BAJARDO RIVER $26 been used from the gate at past couple and has disappointed in the straight, may go better if driven more quietly but place hopes appear best
6 SCARLETT BLAZE $8 going okay but draw is very tricky, will need luck but certainly going well enough to feature
7 RIVER IN BLUEJEANS $26 also going okay and this looks no harder than recent fields he has struck but going to have to work hard from the draw so prefer others
8 STEELINGTON NZ $51 won a slogfest here 2 runs back and going to have to work too hard from this barrier
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MATAI NIGEL NZ $13 honest type who draws to follow the speed and if that is the case is a good EW hope
10 KING FOR A DAY $15 been racing well since resuming, prefer if drawn the front but still some chance
11 SASSY RULER $51 find it very difficult from this barrier in this class
12 MOST HAPPY JASPER (Em 1) place at very best if gains a run
13 PROVENANCE $51 wait until he gets back into the draw, has the ability but too hard to come around this field

Race 5

1 BALENCIA $17 threw the race away when galloped whilst leading last time. Draw is a huge worry as may get crossed and is the type of horse who simply cannot sprint so a soft pegs run wouldn't be much good. Prepared to risk her as a winning chance
2 KING ALBERT $17 veteran who is normally thereabouts, hasn't won for a very long time though so place hopes appear best
3 LUGOVOI LEIS $4.5 ever consistent pacer who resumed with a gallant 2nd and draws best of the main fancies, only concern is that best form has always been when driven with cover and doubt he would hand up to anything drawn the front
4 IN CRUISE MODE $34 showed a glimpse of his best last time but this still looks too tough
5 CURRYNROSES $15 rarely wins and always seems to be running on so is a place chance as usual
6 OUR ZELLWEGER NZ $17 been disappointing recently but didn't have much luck last time and may improve as trials prior to last run were okay as well. One for exotics
7 STILL ROYAL $21 won a weaker race last time and place hopes appear best here
8 HELL FIRE BOY $34 has the ability to feature given the right run but is going to have to work too hard from the draw
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MAGGIE KENNEDY $7 last season's top filly who was a shade disappointing when resuming and this isn't a great draw for her. Too good to dismiss but I do rate some others higher
10 REMEMBERPREECE $11 been ultra consistent since returning to Tassie and a good EW hope again
11 STEP UP AND PLAY $3.2 classy mare who generally races best in front but her class will take her a long way. If it is truly run she might be the one
12 MAROSSI $21 been good at both starts since resuming but this is a very even field and he will do it tough from here
13 MI MADEMOISELLE (Em 1) going okay but too tough from this barrier

Race 6

1 TOPNOTCH DAN $4 former topline juvenile who has promised a bit at past couple and from this draw will be hard to beat
2 GRAND BROOK $34 wasn't too bad a run last time but this tougher
3 MURILLO BROMAC NZ $5.5 honest horse who follows speed well and likely to get a good trip from this gate, one of the top hopes
4 WINGSOFANEAGLE $5.5 has grown a leg at recent starts and whilst this is harder he might be the leader and be hard to run down
5 GRACIE HART $8 honest mare who is always a chance at this level, draw is a touch awkward but is still a must include
6 BUBBAS A FAKE $4 ignore last run when blew the stand completely, back to mobile here and previous mobile form is good enough for this
7 SECRET RENDEZVOUS $21 enigmatic type who will be driven cold and some hope if they overdo things up front
8 WAYNE ROONEY NZ $101 no hope
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SON OF JAM $21 struggling for best but likely to get a soft run on the pegs here so one for exotics
10 DOWN TOWN BABE $11 can do things wrong but has plenty of ability on her day, yet another with a chance in a very hard race

Race 7

1 CASTASPELL $26 honest horse who just lacks a bit of zip nowadays, draw gives him some place hope though
2 ULOS $3.5 is flying at the moment and if he stepped to the front and made his dangers chase would take no end of running down
3 ARMBRO SPUR $51 resuming and may struggle
4 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $8 the handicaps bring this fella into the race, has been competitive in mobiles so with the handicap advantage over most of his rivals is some hope
5 BONNY WEE LADDIE $34 huge step up in class from claiming grade, does follow speed well however so if stepped well may run a bit of a race despite the class rise
6 KINGS A COACH $51 racing well below best and wait until he shows something
7 DODGERMEMATE $51 honest run in an easier race last week, minor place chance at best here
8 REDSIDE SHREK $21 has galloped at both runs since a spell so hard to get a guide on how well he is going, would be well placed on best form so not without a rough hope
9 BABYITSU $7 has been a shade below his best since resuming but still been competitive, yet another who should appreciate the handicap edge
10 DANCE OF THE DEITY $13 has raced very well all season, this is by far his hardest test but a must for exotics
11 JUMPIN JACK JASPER $21 has a good record in stands but generally when he draws the front so might find it tough from 10m behind
12 SKY TOWER $8 big, tough horse who always puts in. The 2700m trip is no issue either. Provided he steps okay is still some hope despite the handicap
13 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS $15 genuine horse who looks harshly treated at the handicaps but if he gets the right run in can certainly feature
14 TI VOGLIOBENE $5 50m handicap is a huge impost even over the 2700m trip. The other factor to take into account is that there are 14 horses in the race. He is too good of a horse to say he can't win but its going to be tough

Race 8

1 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA $17 probably not in the same league as a couple in the race on ability but draws to receive a great run and he is a genuine horse so a must for exotics
2 EMPTY ENVELOPE $1.7 looks a very good horse in the making, still a touch green but has a big motor. Clearly the one to beat from this draw
3 ANOPTOMIST $26 honest type who lacks the ability of a couple of its rivals here but won't shirk the task. Place is best though
4 POP BILLY $51 hasn't been beaten far in both runs since resuming but still needs it weaker than this. May be a bit of a pest with his early speed as well
5 ZURBARAN $5 resumed from a spell for a new stable with a narrow win and whilst it didn't look impressive its worth noting the 2nd horse came out and dead set bolted in at its next start so there was more merit in the win than it appeared
6 ATTA JET $26 good win last time but this is much harder so place hope only
7 LITTLE ELF $101 form has really tapered off and impossible to see him featuring from out here
8 TENT PEG $101 outclassed
---------- Second Row ----------
9 OPERATIVE CARD $21 query runner having first start in the state, draws to get a soft run so worth including in exotics even if no support for him
10 SAAB QUALITY $13 this is much tougher than last start when simply outclassed an average line up but still in the mix but prefer as a place prospect
11 OUR KAIZAN NZ $17 hasn't had much luck recently, a must for exotics

Race 9

1 LILLY DARLING $11 filly taking on the boys, had big wraps on her as a young horse but didn't quite live up to them. Trial was just average as well so would prefer her against her own sex
2 BEAUTIDE $2.5 was right up there with the top 2yo colts last season and resumes here off a sound trial win. From this gate looks the one to beat
3 SAFE PROSPECT $11 another decent 2yo from last season who resumes, hasn't been seen at the trials but was competitive in most races last season and a forward showing is expected
4 ZIMERO $101 outclassed
5 HAMISH SANZ $5 tough, honest colt who lacks a bit of zip but tries very hard. Good EW hope again
6 MAJOR RULER $34 has some ability but this looks too tough
7 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $13 very good runs at both starts to date, draw makes it tough but certainly has the ability to feature with luck in running
8 TISU TOOTA $34 won a much easier race last time, place best this time
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CODIE KARALTA $4.5 very good filly who has proven that she can be competitive with the boys, draw is actually pretty good for her as should trail through okay. If there are any chinks in the armour of the 2 horse, she will be the one to find them

Hobart Preview - Monday Nov 29

Race 1

1 TIME TO PRAY $15 yet to run a place in 18 starts but past few haven't been awful, no surprise to see her sneak a place against this lot
2 LILLANS GIRL $17 has plenty of speed but isn't the strongest animal in the world, if she managed to cross the pole which she probably will would be in the mix for the placings
3 THANKGODYOURLOADED $17 both career starts have been well spaced and hasn't done much in either but trial form has been reasonable so one for exotics
4 ITS A HOOT $1.40 honest one paced type who has been placed in better fields at past 4 runs so looks extremely well placed against this lot. Will be put into the race and really should win on recent form
5 WATTLE CREEK $26 showed some ability early on but done little to enthuse at both runs this time in, is a shade better than form reads though so throw in the exotics if going wide
6 LITTLEBITOFGLORY $51 hasn't run a place and been beaten over 30 metres at past 5 runs so looks no hope from this draw
7 MERLIN OF CAMELOT $34 very disappointing when resuming and draw makes it tough but wouldn't surprise to see some improvement
---------- Second Row ----------
8 GUNBOWER JACK $51 needs to improve, has run last at 3 of past 4 starts and got beaten 51 metres in the other run which sums up how its going
9 ITSALLABOUTTHEFOOD $51 broke when resuming but previous form was average so prefer others
10 BAINFIELD AROHA NZ $11 interesting runner resuming and has run last, 2nd last, last and last at past 4 runs but has plenty of ability when right so watch market moves closely as would be the only danger to the fav if at her best

Race 2

1 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $4 honest type who will be right in the finish with a clean getaway
2 JEFFERSON NZ ($5,000) $4 this is his best draw in ages (meets most of rivals 20 metres better due to reduction in his claiming price) and would definitely win this on best form so a massive improvement would not surprise
3 AUSSIE CULLEN ($5,000) $6 good run at first start back in Tassie, another with a good winning chance in a very even race
4 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $6 very good win at this level 3 runs back then outclassed at past 2 runs so a good chance of bouncing back to form
5 NIBEBO ($5,000) $11 been around the mark at this level recently, will need to do everything right to win but not without claims
6 FORTY TWO GRAND ($6,000) $6 honest type who beat better than these when led 2 starts back, obviously won't lead from the handicap but still a very good chance

Race 3

1 BIDE YOUR TIME $7 going well at the moment, bit of a query from behind the tapes (as are a lot of these) but looks the only possible danger to fav if he did something wrong
2 EARL HICKEY $26 blew the stand at Carrick which isn't a good sign, previous form was fair so a minor place chance if does everything right
3 CATS AND DOGS $11 resumes and has won from the stand before which is an obvious bonus and has a good career record (placed in 9 of 11 Tassie starts). Trial form isn't startling for his return but a must for exotics
4 BESTOILYET $101 resuming and form simply isn't good enough
5 CHANCEABET $26 tough horse whose form has really tapered off lately but given a clean getaway might get into the placings
6 SHIRNELL $51 form is a lot better than it looks on paper but still faces a huge ask here
7 CRASH CART $21 always running on, must say that the stand is a huge worry as he has his issues from behind the mobile but another who could place with a safe getaway
8 GEDLEE $1.2 potential star who looked more like his true self last time finishing off in 27.8 hard held. Simply wins with a clean getaway and would be $1.04 in a mobile but has never started from behind the tapes before so hard to launch in at the shorts
9 DEANS LEGEND $101 first up for 3 years and hasn't won a race in over 5 years and has to give a star a 20 metre headstart. No thanks

Race 4

1 PUT MBACK $2.2 very cheeky run last time when led and just got nabbed late, Gareth jumps on here and looks the leader again so clearly the one to beat
2 REALLY WESTERN $3 has raced very well at both career starts to date and once again will be right in the mix
3 WUNDABABE $17 resuming and taking on the boys but did run some good races last time in so won't be far away but prefer place best
4 WOODY BEOURS $4.5 interesting runner resuming who was just a shade below the best in his 2yo campaign but looked as if he would develop into a fair horse. Trial form is okay so a huge query
5 CROMBIE BAY $34 find this easier than past couple but still needs to lift
6 DENVERADO $101 had cheap runs at both starts and hasn't done a lot so needs to improve
7 TRUMP LADY $51 did a bit wrong at first start and was beaten clearly, wait until she shows something
---------- Second Row ----------
8 BIDDY JONES $26 got it wrong on debut then was spelled, has trialled only fairly but from this good trailing draw is still one for exotics

Race 5

1 THE BULLIONAIRE $26 sit/sprint type who bobs up on occasions, will obviously be taking the short way home from this gate so may improve
2 MOST HAPPY JASPER $13 never gets beaten far but hasn't won for ages so place best
3 BRO TOWN NZ $4.5 showed teriffic gatespeed to lead in a tougher race last time and wasn't beaten far (did get away with a 66.1 first half though), however if he led again would be a good chance
4 WIZARD JONES $21 fair run when resuming, bit of speed under him here so minor place hope at best
5 MERLIN BROMAC NZ $21 hasn't done much in all three Tasmanian runs to date, has had a short let up so may improve but would need to
6 REALLY IMATIGERESS $17 good win when drew the pole 3 starts back then struggled at next couple. Likely to find it tough again from out here but not the worst
7 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $3.5 went like a jet winning last time, ton of speed under him here though so won't get the front but simply has to be regarded as a major hope
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LOCKDOWN $17 best run in ages last time, showed good ability early on but hadn't done anything for ages prior to last week. Likely to get a cheap run and might bob up with luck
9 ASHINAGA $8 past couple have been very good, generally races best when drawn the front as is very one paced but with a bit of speed off the front he should trail through okay and won't be far away at the end
10 WINDY WINGS $51 form simply isn't good enough
11 OSCARS ACE $13 couple of even runs when resuming, hard to see him winning from this draw but a must for exotics
12 DELTA SANDS $21 led and got away with murder to scrape home last week, diffrent kettle of fish from this gate so place hopes appear best

Race 6

1 SUMTIMELATER $21 has been okay at the trials but hasn't done much at the races, may be an improver from the better draw so throw into the exotics
2 STRATEGIC MISS $11 cheeky run in a better field last time, whilst she is a 31 start maiden she is certainly going well enough to be given a rough winning hope
3 SIR YOIE $3.5 been very good at both runs since resuming, should press forward from this gate and if found the pegs would be the one to beat. Still a decent chance if doesn't lead
4 IM ONLY DREAMING $26 first starter with reasonable trial form, betting the best guide
5 TASPACEDOTCOM $21 took full advantage of the pole draw last time to trail through into a place and whilst she doesn't draw as well here is a place hope again
6 SHEEZ EXQUISITE NZ $17 disappointing mare who promised a bit early on but never quite went on with it. First up run was just fair as well so whilst she has to be kept relatively safe would need to improve
7 MARACAS BAY $26 generally runs an honest race but hard to have from this gate
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $17 been going okay in similar races, will need luck to figure but certainly not the worst
9 ODINS LIONHEART $15 had his chance when resuming and just plugged into a place so once a again, place hopes appear best
10 MARGABLEON $13 recent trial winner in slow time, watch any betting moves closely
11 LINE THE POCKET NZ $3 looked very unlucky last time and this race is easier if anything but obviously draws far worse. Given ordinary luck though will be in the finish
12 ARKABE JEWEL $34 is now ODM, always runs on late when others are tiring but very hard to see her winning

Race 7

1 TROJAN CALM NZ $15 hasn't won for a very long time and recent form is average to say the least. This is her best draw in a long time though so an improvement wouldn't totally surprise
2 NEW YORK FELLA $4 has chased home some good ones lately and this looks a good race for him. Is always competitive and draws well so is right in the mix
3 PHANTOM JASPER $17 one paced type who struggles to win as finds the others too quick at the end of the race, only winning hope would be if he led and doubt that happens but still an exotics hope as will whack away
4 WEEMALANEWS (Em 1) improved of late, be about a $13 pop if got a run
5 MISTER GALLENTI $6 looks well placed in this race on best form, can mix his form but if the right one turned up would be a major player. He is usually well supported when they think he can win so monitor betting with him
6 CAM DILLON $26 resuming and hasn't won for 3 years but form was reasonable prior to a break. Not hopeless
7 TWOGRANDAHAND $13 certainly going well enough to win but going to need a lot to go right from this barrier. Prefer as a place chance but some hope of winning if gets the breaks
---------- Second Row ----------
8 BAYFIELD HIGH $13 underrated type who continues to run good races from bad barriers, will need luck from this gate but certainly not the worst
9 SPRINGVALE FLYER $7 enigmatic beast resuming from a let up and form prior to the break was well below his best. Would probably win this at his best so monitor betting moves closely
10 OPERATIVE DELIGHT $15 another horse who hasn't won for 3 years but both runs since a break have actually been okay and might go round at silly odds. Certainly include in exotics
11 DUART CASTLE $26 has beaten better than these but generally runs best races when leading so find it tough from here
12 PAUL ALBERT $101 has a habit of bobbing up and winning at big odds but recent form suggests that virtually no hope here and he is now a 10yo so best days appear past him
13 NOVEMBER TWENTY $51 racing well below his best form and can't concede him a winning chance from this gate

Sunday Tips and Full Preview - Hobart Nov 14

Tips all races

R1#2 Its A Hoot
R2#3 Shez Ryleymak
R3#7 Alma Grant
R4#9 Left Loaded
R5#1 Step Up And Play
R6#6 Gedlee
R7#9 Ti Vogliobene
R8#7 Codie Karalta

Quaddie

9/1/6/9,10 x $30 cost $60
1,3,8,10/1/6/9 x $4 cost $20
9/5,6,9,10,11/6/9 x $4 cost $20

Race 1 (hard race with 2,4,5 very even, 3 the wildcard as might lead them)

1 SIR YOIE $17 is a 20 start maiden but has trialled reasonably for return to racing so might be one for exotics
2 ITS A HOOT $3.5 has its hoof right on the till with a couple of placings from bad draws of late and from this gate gets his chance to break through
3 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $13 going a lot better than form suggests, has gatespeed and might be the surprise packet
4 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $4.5 been very good at past two starts and sure to be right in the finish again
5 DAYTIME JERRY $4.5 resuming from a slight break but had form good enough to go close in this prior so is a must include
6 STRATEGIC MISS $51 find it very tough from this gate
7 DELTA SANDS $34 first starter who has trialled fairly, can't have from this barrier though
---------- Second Row ----------
8 ARKABE JEWEL $17 honest type who plugs away and might sneak into a place by following the pegs
9 SUMTIMELATER $13 won a couple of trials in average time so obviously has some ability, watch betting moves
10 JUST LIKE THUNDER $13 decent run at Devonport from a bad gate, usually races best there but is still an exotics hope here
11 DREAMON DONNY
12 WHAT A SQUALL $26 ignore formline as has broken at both starts, has trialled okay for its return and might be one at value to throw in exotics
13 GUNBOWER JACK (Em 1) $101 not going well enough
Ratings 2/4/5/3/9/10/8/1

Race 2 (3 horse is miles better than them so all comes down to where she is at fitness wise)

1 ROSLYN AREFLYING $34 has some speed so might be one for exotics as may get a perfect trip
2 MURPHYS ROCKET $13 won past couple but this is a much, much harder race. Place only
3 SHEZ RYLEYMAK $1.50 top class mare resuming and panels better than these at her best, just a shade concerned that mightn't be at her top first up and if led would cop pressure from the 4 so whilst I am confident in thinking she will win I doubt I will be on
4 BUBBAS A FAKE $6 tough mare who was driven over aggressively last time, at her best would be a clear 2nd pick
5 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($7,000) $13 has found a new lease on life at past few starts and if runs up to recent form will be in the mix
6 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $26 honest type who will be running on but hasn't got enough speed to mix it with the top couple in betting
7 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $34 good win during the week but this is infinitely harder than a stand start claimer
---------- Second Row ----------
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 pretty good run when resuming, can get it wrong but has ability at best. A must for exotics
Ratings 3/4/2/5/8/6/1

Race 3 (7,10 stand out on exposed form but watch on 3)

1 ARTIFICE $8 disappointing animal who promised plenty early on but has burned punters badly recently, was a beaten fav 5 times in a row prior to last run when just fair again. Has definite place claims from the draw but hard to see her winning
2 PRINCESS GANGSTER $101 being well beaten in easier races, no
3 MODERN SOCIETY $5 worked home well at first Tasmanian start and whilst this is much harder she draws better and would not surprise to see her go very close
4 REALLY IMATIGERESS $11 gutsy win on Wednesday night, this is harder but must include in the exotics
5 TASPACEDOTCOM $101 simply not in same class as most of these
6 THIRTYSIXTOES $21 honest mare who is limited so may struggle a tad from out here but won't be for lack of trying so include in exotics
7 ALMA GRANT $2.8 is flying this mare and been stiff not to win past couple of starts, draw is shocking but is still the one to beat
---------- Second Row ----------
8 RUBYS LIFE $15 has ability at best and draws to get a cheap run, if all the planets align for her she might be the blowout
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $51 usually finishes around the mark but lacks the class to beat these
10 FLYIN INDI AIR $4.5 very good run last time and whilst the draw does her no favours again will be right in the finish with even luck
11 KOIZORA $51 needs to draw well to be a chance in her races as her gatespeed is her biggest attribute, has limited ability and from this draw prefer others
Ratings 7/10/3/1/4/8/6

Race 4 (9 horse looks very well placed here)

1 KING FOR A DAY $8 honest run when resuming and is a good place hope from this draw
2 MOUNTAIN MOMMA $51 this looks too tough
3 CULLENS COUNT NZ $8 honest trier who rarely wins but runs tons of placings (has finished in the top 4 placings at 16 of past 19 starts but hasn't won), looks the main danger to fav and an excellent EW prospect
4 LITTLE ELF $26 form has really tapered off since promising a bit at first few Tassie starts. Would probably need to lead to be a chance and can't see that occurring so place best
5 THE BULLIONAIRE $51 sit/sprint pacer who will struggle from here
6 BRO TOWN NZ $21 better run last week and has ability at best but place only from here
7 ARK WEST $21 resumed with a solid win when led and got away with murder in front, different kettle of fish from this draw but is going as well as most of them
---------- Second Row ----------
8 JET BLACK FLYER $9 sit/sprint mare who will need luck from the gate but if the breaks come could surprise
9 LEFT LOADED $2.0 yet another of the good Tassie 3YO crop from last season who resumes here and has been going like a jet at the trials winning by big margins. Looks better than them and trial form suggests is ready to win first up
10 PRETTYBOYTROY $13 good run at Tasmanian debut when got nosed out on the line and looks a good place prospect again
11 JANSZOON scr gone okay in all Tassie runs to date, probably can't win from this draw but could certainly place without surprising
12 THE DETONATOR $26 very disappointing as an odds on favourite last time and from this gate would need a massive improvement
Ratings 9/3/1/8/10

Race 5 (pole wins on best form and very even outside of her)

1 STEP UP AND PLAY $2.5 good class mare resuming, loves to lead in her races and provided she is near her best will take plenty of running down. Slightly concerned with the distance first up if cops pressure but has a touch of class
2 FLYING DUBAI scr ultra impressive win last start when worked early then raced away late, big difference here is that he probably won't lead and its a tougher race but will still be very competitive
3 CRASH CART $21 consistent type who never wins out of turn but will run an honest race
4 NEW YORK FELLA $21 resuming from a short break and will need to be right at the top of his game to be in the finish, prefer place only
5 LUGOVOI LEIS $6 interesting runner who resumes, will probably be giving his main rivals a start so whilst he is right up to them on ability the race tempo will determine his chances
6 DENVERS BOY $9 another honest type who is never far away, this a bit tougher than past few and would probably need to lead to win and doubt he can but always tries so a must for all exotics
7 TWOGRANDAHAND $51 draw realls kills his chances
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HELL FIRE BOY (Em 1)
9 REMEMBERPREECE $6 just battled last week but draws to get a beautiful trail here so can't be left out even if he isn't quite at the top of his game
10 MAROSSI $9 emphatic win when resuming from exactly the same draw and likely to get a decent run through again. This is a harder race but still not without a hope
11 MISTER GALLENTI $13 another horse going way better than form shows but will need plenty to go right from this draw, must include as a place prospect though
12 GEORGE GRANT $26 resumes and whilst form was very good last time in looks a risk from here in this class
13 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but simply looks too tough for him from this draw
Ratings 1/5/9/10/6/11

Race 6 (6 is a star with 4 the only possible danger if found best)

1 WEEMALANEWS $67 led and ran a cheeky race last time but this is infinitely tougher
2 THABELA BRIOSO $67 one paced mare who always runs honestly but a couple of these will be too fast
3 OUR SIR LEW $101 totally outclassed
4 DIEBERDON $6 looks the only danger to the fav, loves the mile trip and won well first up defeating a subsequent winner then was a "so-so" run last time. Its worth noting that he did beat Udoit and Lugovoi Leis to win the $20,000 Tasmanian Guineas last year which shows what he is capable of
5 DOMANI GEM NZ $34 disappointed first up when had good run in transit but didn't finish his race off, has good speed at his best but place only on first up run
6 GEDLEE $1.20 boom 3YO from last season resuming and trial form suggests he should account for this lot first up as has run home in 56.8 and 57.2 in easily winning 2 recent trials. Being aimed at some good races later on so should be winning this
7 AAPENNON $51 going very well in easier races but minor place hope at best from this gate
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LOCKDOWN $101 struggling to find best form but might sneak into the f4 if it turns into a fence dominated race but 4th place would be its best result
9 BIDE YOUR TIME $26 good win last time and whilst the draw does no favours again is a must for exotics
10 HYDEHURST BOY $34 very good run when resuming and blew the start then ran on late for 2nd, races best in front but a definite place hope even from this gate
Ratings 6/4/9/10/5/7/2/1

Race 7 (either 9,10 should be winning, 9 looks extremely well graded though as would be giving 10 a huge start in a handicap)

1 THE MUSICS OVER NZ $34 much improved pacer who never runs a bad race and will be taking the short way home so a good place chance
2 KINGS A COACH $67 place at best against this lot
3 WINJAMMER $67 good run when resuming but this is tougher, one for the exotics though
4 MAJESTIC EMPEROR $51 racing below his best and needs it easier but still a rough place hope
5 ANGUS MCGREGOR $201 not going well enough
6 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS $51 good win last time out but this tougher and draw does him no favours
7 SKY TOWER $51 good tough horse but his lack of speed will hurt him from this gate. Is as honest as they come though
---------- Second Row ----------
8 BABYITSU $17 fair run when resuming, will be taking the short way home here and with luck is a distinct place hope
9 TI VOGLIOBENE $1.6 figure form is average but has been racing against some of the best horses in the country. Also looks thrown into the race as an M7 so looks the winner with even luck
10 OUR SIR JECKYL $3.8 tremendous win when resuming, worked midrace and still finished off in 56.5. Is making a good case to be considered Tasmania's best pacer currently and looks the main (and only danger) to the fav
11 COSMIC UNDER FIRE $13 looked disappointing on face value last time but the sectionals almost made his task impossible. Always tries his heart out so is a must include for exotics
12 DODGERMEMATE $101 getting beaten in much easier races and being out of the draw against this lot means he will struggle
Ratings 9/10/11/8/1

Race 8 (7 clearly the best, 8 also miles better than the rest with 4 best trial form)

1 RIKKISU $17 actually going a shade better than form suggests but still a minor place hope at best against this lot
2 TRUMP LADY $34 first starter who hasn't done anything flash at the trials, prefer to see
3 CROMBIE BAY $21 another first starter who has been fair at the trials, might run into a place
4 REALLY WESTERN $13 probably has the best trial form of the first starters but runs into a couple of smart ones here, watch betting
5 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 been very good at first two starts and is sure to run well as draws better than main rivals
6 DENVERADO $34 pretty plain at the trials, prefer to watch also
7 CODIE KARALTA $1.40 is clearly the best horse in the race but generally isn't the type of horse to rush into short odds with as can get it wrong but impossible to tip against. Worth noting also that got nosed out when resuming and the horses who ran 1st and 3rd came out and cleared out in a race on Wednesday night
---------- Second Row ----------
8 JUST DANCE BABY $4.5 still a maiden but has run very well at every start to date, should trail through okay as the only horse on 2nd row and wasn't too far behind the fav last time so a clear 2nd pick
Ratings 7/8/4/1/3

Stewards are failing to protect punters

Surely its come to the time where stewards have to be more severe when penalising drivers. This is just one instance from last Saturday night where a driver (Gavin Lang) caused interference that single handedly caused a long odds on favourite (Whiskey And Ice, $1.40) to be beaten. If we purely look at the figures from a punters perspective, there was an enormous amount wagered on Whiskey And Ice that evening and we as punters deserve better when this type of thing occurs.

This is data purely based on the Victorian TAB holds on the race

- Whiskey And Ice started $1.40 in a win pool of $44,000 so would have roughly $25,000 invested on him
- As a $1.40 fav, its fair to say that at least 50% of quaddies would be invested standing him out and with $86,000 in the pool there would be nearly $50,000 alone on him
- There was also $10,000 in the Daily Double pool of which at least another $5000 would have been invested
- There was $20,000 in trifectas so could easily include another $10k that would have stood him out to win

Thats a total of $90,000 invested in Victoria alone and would be up to 6 figures if all bet types were included, plus if we add up what was invested Australia wide on other TABs, Betfair and Corporate Bookies it would be an enormous figure

And what was the punishment you ask???
Gavin Lang received 10 days which is an absolute joke not only considering the financial losses of punters but the possible damage the horse could have suffered from the interference. Should have been a minimum 4 weeks.

From the stewards report:

Drivers Gavin Lang (Julias Song NZ) and Kimberlie Hobby (Tickle The Falcon) were questioned regarding an incident in the back straight on the final occasion where Tickle The Falcon broke. After considering all the evidence tendered driver Gavin Lang was charged under Rule 163(1)(a) for causing interference for allowing Julias Song NZ to shift out from the one out line when not sufficiently clear of Tickle The Falcon, contacting that horse and causing it to break. Driver Lang was found guilty as charged and after considering his good driving record Stewards suspended his driver's licence for a period of 10 days to commence midnight 13 November 2010.

As a result of Tickle The Falcon galloping Whiskey And Ice was severely checked and broke and Texas Typ NZ was inconvenienced.

Severe interference such as this needs to be stamped out and to only give a driver 10 days is a dead set joke. The other thing from this race I struggle to comprehend is why there wasn't a protest from Whiskey And Ice against the winner (Gavin's drive) as would have been upheld surely as after losing around 30 metres from where the interference occurred at the 500m mark, Whiskey And Ice got going again to run 5th beaten 6 metres. The stewards themselves agree that the winner caused the interference so a protest would surely have been upheld which would have also elevated Whiskey And Ice to 4th place and give the also forgotten owners a bit more prizemoney.

Not taking aim at Gavin and only used this example as its the freshest one in my mind. This stuff happens every day in every state and the sooner the punishments start fitting the crimes the better. High profile drivers get away with murder with the stewards, I hear the argument that a 2 week suspension for a top driver is akin to 3 months for a part timer but that is a just a cop out as if they do something wrong then there should be parity in the penalty. After all, it has exactly the same impact on the punter and the owner but that's right, they don't really matter any more as its all about turnover!

Its little wonder the rank and file punters are giving the caper a wide berth.

Hobart Preview - Sunday November 14

Super meeting albeit with no value from a punting perspective but it sees the return to racing of the potential star Gedlee, the dual horse of the year Shez Ryleymak and a bona fide FFA horse from the mainland in Ti Vogliobene making its debut in the state. Will be very interesting to see how they all go.

Tips - All Races

R1#2 Its A Hoot
R2#3 Shez Ryleymak
R3#7 Alma Grant
R4#9 Left Loaded
R5#1 Step Up And Play
R6#6 Gedlee
R7#9 Ti Vogliobene
R8#7 Codie Karalta

Race 1

1 SIR YOIE $17 is a 20 start maiden but has trialled reasonably for return to racing so might be one for exotics
2 ITS A HOOT $3.5 has its hoof right on the till with a couple of placings from bad draws of late and from this gate gets his chance to break through
3 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $13 going a lot better than form suggests, has gatespeed and might be the surprise packet
4 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $4.5 been very good at past two starts and sure to be right in the finish again
5 DAYTIME JERRY $4.5 resuming from a slight break but had form good enough to go close in this prior so is a must include
6 STRATEGIC MISS $51 find it very tough from this gate
7 DELTA SANDS $34 first starter who has trialled fairly, can't have from this barrier though
---------- Second Row ----------
8 ARKABE JEWEL $17 honest type who plugs away and might sneak into a place by following the pegs
9 SUMTIMELATER $13 won a couple of trials in average time so obviously has some ability, watch betting moves
10 JUST LIKE THUNDER $13 decent run at Devonport from a bad gate, usually races best there but is still an exotics hope here
11 DREAMON DONNY
12 WHAT A SQUALL $26 ignore formline as has broken at both starts, has trialled okay for its return and might be one at value to throw in exotics
13 GUNBOWER JACK (Em 1) $101 not going well enough

Race 2

1 ROSLYN AREFLYING $34 has some speed so might be one for exotics as may get a perfect trip
2 MURPHYS ROCKET $17 won past couple but this is a much, much harder race. Place only
3 SHEZ RYLEYMAK $1.50 top class mare resuming and panels better than these at her best, just a shade concerned that mightn't be at her top first up and if led would cop pressure from the 4 so whilst I am confident in thinking she will win I doubt I will be on
4 BUBBAS A FAKE $6 tough mare who was driven over aggressively last time, at her best would be a clear 2nd pick
5 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($7,000) $13 has found a new lease on life at past few starts and if runs up to recent form will be in the mix
6 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $26 honest type who will be running on but hasn't got enough speed to mix it with the top couple in betting
7 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $34 good win during the week but this is infinitely harder than a stand start claimer
---------- Second Row ----------
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 pretty good run when resuming, can get it wrong but has ability at best. A must for exotics
Ratings 3/4/5/9/2/6/1

Race 3

1 ARTIFICE $7 disappointing animal who promised plenty early on but has burned punters badly recently, was a beaten fav 5 times in a row prior to last run when just fair again. Has definite place claims from the draw but hard to see her winning
2 PRINCESS GANGSTER $101 being well beaten in easier races, no
3 MODERN SOCIETY $5 worked home well at first Tasmanian start and whilst this is much harder she draws better and would not surprise to see her go very close
4 REALLY IMATIGERESS $13 gutsy win on Wednesday night, this is harder but must include in the exotics
5 TASPACEDOTCOM $101 simply not in same class as most of these
6 THIRTYSIXTOES $21 honest mare who is limited so may struggle a tad from out here but won't be for lack of trying so include in exotics
7 ALMA GRANT $2.8 is flying this mare and been stiff not to win past couple of starts, draw is shocking but is still the one to beat
---------- Second Row ----------
8 RUBYS LIFE $15 has ability at best and draws to get a cheap run, if all the planets align for her she might be the blowout
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $51 usually finishes around the mark but lacks the class to beat these
10 FLYIN INDI AIR $4.5 very good run last time and whilst the draw does her no favours again will be right in the finish with even luck
11 KOIZORA $51 needs to draw well to be a chance in her races as her gatespeed is her biggest attribute, has limited ability and from this draw prefer others
Ratings 7/10/3/1/4/8/6

Race 4

1 KING FOR A DAY $9 honest run when resuming and is a good place hope from this draw
2 MOUNTAIN MOMMA $51 this looks too tough
3 CULLENS COUNT NZ $9 honest trier who rarely wins but runs tons of placings (has finished in the top 4 placings at 16 of past 19 starts but hasn't won), looks the main danger to fav and an excellent EW prospect
4 LITTLE ELF $26 form has really tapered off since promising a bit at first few Tassie starts. Would probably need to lead to be a chance and can't see that occurring so place best
5 THE BULLIONAIRE $51 sit/sprint pacer who will struggle from here
6 BRO TOWN NZ $21 better run last week and has ability at best but place only from here
7 ARK WEST $21 resumed with a solid win when led and got away with murder in front, different kettle of fish from this draw but is going as well as most of them
---------- Second Row ----------
8 JET BLACK FLYER $13 sit/sprint mare who will need luck from the gate but if the breaks come could surprise
9 LEFT LOADED $1.70 yet another of the good Tassie 3YO crop from last season who resumes here and has been going like a jet at the trials winning by big margins. Looks better than them and trial form suggests is ready to win first up
10 PRETTYBOYTROY $13 good run at Tasmanian debut when got nosed out on the line and looks a good place prospect again
11 JANSZOON scr gone okay in all Tassie runs to date, probably can't win from this draw but could certainly place without surprising
12 THE DETONATOR $26 very disappointing as an odds on favourite last time and from this gate would need a massive improvement

Race 5

1 STEP UP AND PLAY $2.5 good class mare resuming, loves to lead in her races and provided she is near her best will take plenty of running down. Slightly concerned with the distance first up if cops pressure but has a touch of class
2 FLYING DUBAI scr
3 CRASH CART $21 consistent type who never wins out of turn but will run an honest race
4 NEW YORK FELLA $21 resuming from a short break and will need to be right at the top of his game to be in the finish, prefer place only
5 LUGOVOI LEIS $4.5 interesting runner who resumes, will probably be giving his main rivals a start so whilst he is right up to them on ability the race tempo will determine his chances
6 DENVERS BOY $15 another honest type who is never far away, had no luck last week but prepared to risk from this draw as this race is stronger than recent starts
7 TWOGRANDAHAND $51 draw realls kills his chances
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HELL FIRE BOY (Em 1)
9 REMEMBERPREECE $7 just battled last week but draws to get a beautiful trail here so can't be left out even if he isn't quite at the top of his game
10 MAROSSI $9 emphatic win when resuming from exactly the same draw and likely to get a decent run through again. This is a harder race but still not without a hope
11 MISTER GALLENTI $15 another horse going way better than form shows but will need plenty to go right from this draw, must include as a place prospect though
12 GEORGE GRANT $26 resumes and whilst form was very good last time in looks a risk from here in this class
13 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but simply looks too tough for him from this draw
Ratings 1/5/9/10/11/6

Race 6

1 WEEMALANEWS $67 led and ran a cheeky race last time but this is infinitely tougher
2 THABELA BRIOSO $67 one paced mare who always runs honestly but a couple of these will be too fast
3 OUR SIR LEW $101 totally outclassed
4 DIEBERDON $6 looks the only danger to the fav, loves the mile trip and won well first up defeating a subsequent winner then was a "so-so" run last time. Its worth noting that he did beat Udoit and Lugovoi Leis to win the $20,000 Tasmanian Guineas last year which shows what he is capable of
5 DOMANI GEM NZ $34 disappointed first up when had good run in transit but didn't finish his race off, has good speed at his best but place only on first up run
6 GEDLEE $1.20 boom 3YO from last season resuming and trial form suggests he should account for this lot first up as has run home in 56.8 and 57.2 in easily winning 2 recent trials. Being aimed at some good races later on so should be winning this
7 AAPENNON $51 going very well in easier races but minor place hope at best from this gate
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LOCKDOWN $101 struggling to find best form but might sneak into the f4 if it turns into a fence dominated race but 4th place would be its best result
9 BIDE YOUR TIME $26 good win last time and whilst the draw does no favours again is a must for exotics
10 HYDEHURST BOY $34 very good run when resuming and blew the start then ran on late for 2nd, races best in front but a definite place hope even from this gate
Ratings 6/4/9/10/5/7/2/1

Race 7

1 THE MUSICS OVER NZ
2 KINGS A COACH $67 place at best against this lot
3 WINJAMMER $67 good run when resuming but this is tougher, one for the exotics though
4 MAJESTIC EMPEROR
5 ANGUS MCGREGOR $101 not going well enough
6 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS $41 good win last time out but this tougher and draw does him no favours
7 SKY TOWER $41 good tough horse but his lack of speed will hurt him from this gate. Is as honest as they come though
---------- Second Row ----------
8 BABYITSU $17 fair run when resuming, will be taking the short way home here and with luck is a distinct place hope
9 TI VOGLIOBENE $1.60 figure form is average but has been racing against some of the best horses in the country. Also looks thrown into the race as an M7 so looks the winner with even luck
10 OUR SIR JECKYL $3.5 tremendous win when resuming, worked midrace and still finished off in 56.5. Is making a good case to be considered Tasmania's best pacer currently and looks the main (and only danger) to the fav
11 COSMIC UNDER FIRE $13 looked disappointing on face value last time but the sectionals almost made his task impossible. Always tries his heart out so is a must include for exotics
12 DODGERMEMATE $201 getting beaten in much easier races and being out of the draw against this lot means he will struggle
Ratings 9/10/11/8

Race 8

1 RIKKISU $17 actually going a shade better than form suggests but still a minor place hope at best against this lot
2 TRUMP LADY $34 first starter who hasn't done anything flash at the trials, prefer to see
3 CROMBIE BAY $21 another first starter who has been fair at the trials, might run into a place
4 REALLY WESTERN $13 probably has the best trial form of the first starters but runs into a couple of smart ones here, watch betting
5 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 been very good at first two starts and is sure to run well as draws better than main rivals
6 DENVERADO $34 pretty plain at the trials, prefer to watch also
7 CODIE KARALTA $2.2 is clearly the best horse in the race but isn't the type of horse to rush into short odds with as can get it wrong. Still a clear top pick
---------- Second Row ----------
8 JUST DANCE BABY $4.5 still a maiden but has run very well at every start to date, should trail through okay as the only horse on 2nd row so comes into the mix
Ratings 7/5/8/4/1/3

Launceston Meeting Review - Wed Nov 10

Meeting saw some very bunched finishes which probably means that its hard to be confident in the races as a form reference. As far as blackbookers go, I only have one:

Just Make Our Deigh - finished close up in a 56.5 closing half on Sunday then ran home well again last night in a 28.3 closing fraction. Now that he is graded back to a C6 means that he simply has to get away with a race soon

Similar with the drivers, there weren't any real standout performances but I have to say that Alex Ashwood really impresses me and he is proactive in races which more drivers should be. 3 drivers had winning doubles on the card but it was the decision by Alex to make mid race moves on Honest Art and Still Royal that gets him the nod as neither horse would have been in the finish if he sat back in the running line.

Votes:

3. A Ashwood
2. J Walters
1. J Campbell

Launceston Wednesday - Tips and Full Preview

Excellent class of meeting tonight for midweek grade, also confident that the track bias that existed on Sunday night won't be evident this evening as Launceston is a great track and usually very fair. From experience, the only time track bias usually occurs in Harness Racing is when there is a combination of the surface being top-soiled and major rain periods following which results in the loose soil being washed down the camber of the track making the inside like quicksand.

Whilst I have no idea if any topsoil was applied to the track it certainly did belt down with rain on Sunday and with Launceston hosting 2 meetings in the space of 3 days, they just might have dressed the track surface.

All Races

R1#7 Prince Calaf
R2#3 Hamish Sanz
R3#7 Royal Alchemist
R4#10 Honest Art
R5#5 Balencia
R6#9 Bonny Wee Laddie
R7#1 Teejay Fella
R8#5 El Jays Maverick

No best bet, warming to Hamish Sanz a tad but not ultra confident

Quaddie

1,3,7,8,10,12
3,4,5,8,10,11
3,5,7,9
1,5

Race 1 (hard race to sort out, winning hopes 1,4,7)

1 MATAI NIGEL NZ $6 honest type with some gatespeed and does box on okay, fair bit of speed outside here but if he held up would take plenty of running down
2 JANSZOON $13 been fair in all Tasmanian starts to date, got beaten 30 metres by Prince Calaf at Devonport so hard to see him winning but a definite place possibility
3 SUSANNE JENNIFER $17 handy mare resuming and would need to be right at her best to figure, prefer to watch
4 LOLA BROMAC NZ $3.8 honest mare who is always hard to beat, this is her best draw in a while so is sure to be in the finish
5 INTHENICKOFTIME $34 is going better than form suggests but still looks too tough
6 RIVER IN BLUEJEANS $8 gone very well at both runs since a spell (was badly held up first up so ignore the duck egg), not as well drawn this time but only needs even luck and could surprise
7 PRINCE CALAF $3 arrogant win at first Tasmanian start but this is an entirely different task with plenty of speed under him which means he will have to work much harder. Still clearly the one to beat as first up run was awesome
8 ROCKY CREEK $26 going okay but generally needs to draw well to figure so prepared to risk from out here but certainly not the worst
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WAIKOKO KING $101 first up run wasn't the worst I have ever seen but is still a 10YO who hasn't won for 4 years so impossible to come into
10 COMMANDER DATA $41 hasn't been too far away of late, generally races best at Devonport but still the best of the bolters in this
11 HIGHFLYIN FRED $41 resuming from a spell and hard to get enthused from this draw
12 ASHINAGA $34 very one paced type who isn't the worst in the race but from this gate will find it tough
Ratings 7/4/1/6/2/3/8

Race 2 (formline from race 3,6 come through is far stronger than the race 1,7 competed in last time)

1 PUBLICAN PETE $9 even run when resuming but this is much tougher so prefer place only
2 BENJI VEE $34 getting beaten in easier races
3 HAMISH SANZ $2.3 tough horse who is certain to be in the finish from here, reckon he can turn the tables on the stablemate
4 LACHIE JAMES $11 interesting runner who beat a good horse prior to a break, runs into a couple of smart ones here but is a big watch
5 TISU TOOTA $26 resuming and would need to improve on previous form to trouble these
6 KARALTA WIZARD $2.4 got a well deserved win on Sunday, never runs a bad race and is the one to beat again
7 SMILEUPONUS $8 very good run at Devonport and despite this being harder looks an improving type, a must for exotics
8 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51 simply doesn't look good enough
Ratings 3/6/7/1/4

Race 3 (7 holds the key to race as to which one shows up, raffle outside of him)

1 BERTILS ROCKET $7 opportunist type who generally runs well when gets a decent draw, looks a great exotics chance from this gate
2 BAJARDO RIVER $7 won at bolters odds last time and from this gate may surprise again as draws to get every possible hope
3 MOST HAPPY JASPER $15 form has dropped away at past few and want to see him doing something prior to including as a chance
4 STEELINGTON NZ $11 another honest run last time, never far away so one for exotics
5 LITTLE MISS AJAY $67 find this too tough
6 TENT PEG $67 unplaced in all 15 starts to date, prefer others
7 ROYAL ALCHEMIST $2.3 very hard to assess as won like a star 2 runs back then disgraced himself at subsequent run. Would win this on best form so must respect but as for backing him .....
8 AS YOU WISH $17 draw makes it tough but has ability but simply need too much luck to feature from here
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SCARLETT BLAZE $6 got a well deserved win last time and whilst he is likely to get buried on the pegs here you must respect if he gets any luck
10 PROVENANCE $15 erratic type with ability but prefer to wait until he produces something
11 OUR KAIZAN NZ $4 unlucky last time when knocked over at the start, previous form was good enough to win this so will be right in the mix
Ratings 7/9/1/2/4

Race 4 (10 horse looks very well graded)

1 REALLY IMATIGERESS $9 wasn't a bad run at Devonport after suffering interference, each way hope from this draw
2 PRINCESS GANGSTER $101 getting beaten in easier races, wait until she shows something
3 ELLIE LATTE $9 had support but was just a fair run on debut, had trialled well prior to debut run so a massive improvement would not surprise, keep very safe
4 TRELAWNEY $51 need to improve on debut effort
5 NO TIME TO DREAM $26 got knocked over when resuming and not the worst, one for exotics
6 INCHBYINCH $11 had his chance when resuming and led and got run over at Devonport, this race is about the same level so not out of calculations
7 PRETTYBOYTROY $8 interesting runner having first start in the state for an in form stable, watch betting very closely
8 LINE THE POCKET NZ (Em 1) $8 forget last run when wasn't put into the race then suffered interference, previous run was super and even from this gate has a chance
---------- Second Row ----------
9 APACHE ALBA $21 honest run last time when chased the pegs home, likely to get same type of run here so a place hope again
10 HONEST ART $3.8 looked very unlucky last time and this race looks easier if anything, the one to beat
11 THE ACES $21 well driven to place when resuming, much harder from this draw and minor exotics hope only
12 LOOK LOOK $7 very good run last time and with even luck from this draw will figure in the finish
13 TOP PREMIER $21 is always running home and one day the planets will align and he will blouse them but prefer place only
Ratings 10/12/8/7/1/3/6/9,11,13

Race 5 (very hard race, 5 the safe bet as will be put into race)

1 OUR SIR THOMAS $13 draws to get the type of run he loves but not sure if he is at the top of his game so prefer as a place prospect
2 AN EYE FOR AN EYE NZ $21 racing well below his best and whilst he would be right in the mix at his top he hasn't done anything for a while so prefer to watch
3 KEPT CALM $7 has led and been run down late at past couple but did have his chance to win, may lead again here and if he does will be hard to beat again
4 RUSHIN COURAGE $8 had every hope after leading on Sunday, may go better driven with a sit so keep safe
5 BALENCIA $4.5 one paced mare who was enormous last time, sometimes leaves herself a sitting shot but is very tough and will be in the finish for sure
6 THE INHIBITOR $34 has ability but not racing well currently
7 CUMULATIVE DREAMS $34 would be some chance from a better gate but looks too tough from here
8 CURRYNROSES $8 looks the easiest race she has struck for a while so a definite chance despite the draw
---------- Second Row ----------
9 TROJAN CALM NZ $26 really struggling for form and wait until she shows something
10 STILL ROYAL $8 honest pacer who ran a shocker last time, good chance if you overlook that run
11 MY CENTURION NZ $5 been competitive in harder races than this of late and is a definite chance here
12 KATES ALLY $51 very unreliable and tends to race best from front row draws to prepared to risk
13 MI MADEMOISELLE (Em 1)
Ratings 5/11/3/4/8/10/1

Race 6 (9 is better than them but 30m is a big impost over 2200m)

1 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $26 didn't do much when resuming so prepared to risk until he shows a glimpse of his old form
2 NIBEBO ($5,000) $13 had a soft run last time and ran best race in ages, may be an exotics hope again with the same type of run
3 AUSSIE CULLEN ($5,000) $5 returning from a SA stint but would be well placed in this based on previous Tassie form at this level, big watch
4 POP BILLY ($5,000) $34 resuming and first start at this level but has run some cheeky races at huge odds from time to time, still prefer to watch
5 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $5 good win last time when pinged to the front, has been consistent at this level so an EW chance again
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $17 last couple of runs have been getting better but still needs to find more to figure
7 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $4.5 ran his worst race in ages last time, has been ultra competitive at this level for a long time so prepared to give another chance
8 JEFFERSON NZ ($7,000) $11 has disappointed recently, whilst he is well up to winning this on best form place chances appear best on current form
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($8,000) $3.5 absolutely flying at present but its an enormous ask to give a 30 metre start over 2200m, the one thing in his favour is the smallish field as means there are less runners to round up. Still a clear top pick
Ratings 9/7/5/3/8/2/6

Race 7 (1,4,5 look superior)

1 TEEJAY FELLA $3.0 went like a jet when he led and won two starts back then ultra disappointing last time, should lead here and if repeats run 2 starts back should win but last run has me worried a shade
2 KING ALBERT $15 honest type who draws to get the right trip, great chance of adding value to exotics
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $21 hasn't done much since coming to Tassie, has ability at best though so keeping relatively safe
4 TOPNOTCH DAN $5 didn't quite finish his race off when resuming but did over race in the run, looks well placed in this if found best form so prepared to give another chance
5 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH $3.0 went very well Sunday in the Launceston Mile getting beaten 4.5 metres in a race where they finished off in 56.5 so if repeats anything like that will be right in the mix
6 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $15 has disappointed since arriving in the state so overlooking him as a winning chance until he does something
7 SON OF JAM $15 best run in ages last time when enjoyed a perfect run in transit, hard to see him getting the same run again from here but must keep safe
8 HARLEY FELLA $17 as honest as the day is long and whilst he doesn't have the speed to come wide and beat these he will try all the way so include in exotics
Ratings 1/5/4/2/field

Race 8 (dartboard job, half keen on 5 though)

1 MIGHTY MYF $34 simply isn't going well enough
2 CELTIC LEGEND $5 had every chance when won narrowly on resumption to racing, draws to get his chance again
3 SASSY RULER $6 typical honest run when resuming, never far away and is a good each way hope from this draw
4 TRULY BLISSFULL $15 had every hope when resuming and looked disappointing on face value, may improve here but would need to
5 EL JAYS MAVERICK $5 ran his best race in ages last time, this is actually his best draw in a long time so comes right into calculations
6 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $13 much improved run last time, might be the surprise packet
7 OSCARS ACE $7 interesting runner resuming from a spell for the state's leading trainer, watch market moves
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY $8 superbly driven to win last time and going to need a similar drive to feature from this gate
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ULTIMATE SECRET $15 didn't enjoy a great deal of luck when resuming, will need luck from draw but not the worst
10 KING FOR A DAY $7 find this easier than last run and a must for exotics
11 WINDY WINGS $51 not going well enough
Ratings 5/2/3/10/8/7/6/9/4

Launceston Wednesday - Early Market plus Sunday Recap

Haven't finished this as yet and done no form study since Saturday morning but thought I would post it. Had a dull ache in my left eye for a few days so went to the Doc on Monday morning and was at the specialist an hour later getting laser surgery for a torn retina so have to minimise things like using a computer and watching tv for a few days - as a punter I don't use those things much anyway!!!

Won't be venturing out the front door either as look an absolute treat with a big cotton patch over my eye for a couple of days so going to be a bit boring I think.

Obviously huge form doubts around the racing on Sunday night with the inside of the track being off - there was just too many cases of a well supported leader being the first beaten whilst numerous 50/1 pops sat 3 deep the trip working and beat them home so anybody who doesn't think there was a bias will have to explain how that scenario can occur in a number of races.

Obviously won't have any blackbookers as too hard to make sense of the form (apart from Our Sir Jeckyl who was electric first up) and my driver's votes for the night were:

3. G Rattray
2. A Ashwood
1. K Toulmin

Odds and Markets for Wednesday - will try to do comments tomorrow arvo as should listen to a doctor for once in my life

1 MATAI NIGEL NZ $6
2 JANSZOON $9
3 SUSANNE JENNIFER $13
4 LOLA BROMAC NZ $4.5
5 INTHENICKOFTIME $26
6 RIVER IN BLUEJEANS $8
7 PRINCE CALAF $3.5
8 ROCKY CREEK $26
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WAIKOKO KING $101
10 COMMANDER DATA $67
11 HIGHFLYIN FRED $51
12 ASHINAGA $51

Race 2

1 PUBLICAN PETE $7
2 BENJI VEE $26
3 HAMISH SANZ $3
4 LACHIE JAMES $11
5 TISU TOOTA $26
6 KARALTA WIZARD $2.8
7 SMILEUPONUS $6
8 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51

Race 3

1 BERTILS ROCKET $9
2 BAJARDO RIVER $8
3 MOST HAPPY JASPER $21
4 STEELINGTON NZ $8
5 LITTLE MISS AJAY $34
6 TENT PEG $51
7 ROYAL ALCHEMIST $4
8 AS YOU WISH $17
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SCARLETT BLAZE $7
10 PROVENANCE $15
11 OUR KAIZAN NZ $4.5

Race 4

1 REALLY IMATIGERESS $8
2 PRINCESS GANGSTER $51
3 ELLIE LATTE $8
4 TRELAWNEY $51
5 NO TIME TO DREAM $26
6 INCHBYINCH $7
7 PRETTYBOYTROY $8
8 LINE THE POCKET NZ (Em 1)
---------- Second Row ----------
9 APACHE ALBA $17
10 HONEST ART $4
11 THE ACES $17
12 LOOK LOOK $7
13 TOP PREMIER $11

Race 5

1 OUR SIR THOMAS $13
2 AN EYE FOR AN EYE NZ $21
3 KEPT CALM $7
4 RUSHIN COURAGE $8
5 BALENCIA $4.5
6 THE INHIBITOR $34
7 CUMULATIVE DREAMS $34
8 CURRYNROSES $7
---------- Second Row ----------
9 TROJAN CALM NZ $26
10 STILL ROYAL $7
11 MY CENTURION NZ $7
12 KATES ALLY $26
13 MI MADEMOISELLE (Em 1)

Race 6

1 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $26
2 NIBEBO ($5,000) $11
3 AUSSIE CULLEN ($5,000) $5
4 POP BILLY ($5,000) $51
5 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $6
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $17
7 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $5
8 JEFFERSON NZ ($7,000) $11
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($8,000) $3

Race 7

1 TEEJAY FELLA $2.5
2 KING ALBERT $13
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $17
4 TOPNOTCH DAN $6
5 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH $7
6 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $11
7 SON OF JAM $13
8 HARLEY FELLA $13

Race 8

1 MIGHTY MYF $34
2 CELTIC LEGEND $4
3 SASSY RULER $6
4 TRULY BLISSFULL $13
5 EL JAYS MAVERICK $7
6 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $11
7 OSCARS ACE $7
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY $7
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ULTIMATE SECRET $34
10 KING FOR A DAY $11
11 WINDY WINGS $34

Sunday Tips

Launceston - all races

R1#1 Zurbaran
R2#8 Empty Envelope
R3#2 Rushin Courage
R4#6 Bubbas A Fake
R5#1 Maggie Kennedy
R6#2 Night In Vegas
R7#12 Cosmic Under Fire
R8#4 Packedtotherafters

Best Bet

Pretty keen on first 3 races so even a parlay wouldn't be a bad option. If backing them individually then level stake them as be surprised if 2 of the 3 didn't win and that would get you a small profit

$100 Quaddie

1,4,6
1,2,4,5,7,10
2,3,7,8
8,11,12
Roughly 46% I think

Quick synopsis and early speed indicator for each race

Race 1

#1 Zurbaran really should be winning with the only real worry being #7 who is first up in the state

Leader - #1 has led in the past and led in his trial so would imagine he would hold up again

Race 2

#8 Empty Envelope has a tricky draw to overcome but looks too good, reckon the only way he gets beaten is if they go back at the start over the mile trip (remember there are 12 runners so if he goes back will be 30 metres minimum off leader) and if he does that he also takes the risk that a bolter may pull out in front of him

Leader - impossible to be confident but forced to pick would opt for #3

Race 3

#2 Rushin Courage holds the key here as if he led he looks certain to get it soft as no pressure horses drawn the front row. The pole has showed speed at times which is a bit of a concern as wouldn't hand up but confident enough that the 2 will lead. #9 Denvers Boy is going well and looks the danger but the draw is awful for him

Leader - confident that #2 will lead, outside of the pole horse who I'm confident he will cross, #4 has plenty of speed but would hand up anyway and not much other speed of note. #3 led last time but can't see him leading here

Race 4

#6 Bubbas A Fake was simply huge last time and would win with a repeat of that but she can mix her form at times, #4 The Musics Over ran odds on in that race last time and disappointed but draws better here so must respect and #1 King Of Bling loves the mile trip. If they overdo things then maybe #7 Gracie Hart might blouse them but would need a ton of speed on

Leader - #1 is a flying machine early but wouldn't be surprised to see him take a sit behind either of the favs

Race 5

#1 Maggie Kennedy holds the key here as would probably win on best form but being first up its hard to know where she is at. #4 Biggernbettermax never runs a bad race and draws well so is an obvious danger. Another query is #2 Our Zellweger who was ordinary last time in but has been okay at the trials and you must also concede chances to 5,7,10 so just a terribly difficult race

Leader - also not easy but either of the inside 2 should have enough speed to muster through early

Race 6

with the scratching of the fav who looked a moral it has opened it up a tad but only look 4 chances in 2,3,7,8. #2 Night In Vegas has been ultra consistent and gets her best draw in a while but I have some reservations as to whether she has the killer instinct to win races as has run a lot of placings of late after looking the winner in the run

Leader - #2 hasn't been used from the gate in a while but has shown speed in the past and outside of her #3 led last time so confident in saying that either of those will lead

Race 7

Great race and very hard to sort out. 5,9,10 are probably the only 3 who can't win and I think whoever gets the best run out of 8,11,12 will win and also concede #2 a hope if gets a soft lead

Leader - #2 looks the one with not a ton of speed off the front

Race 8

exceptionalally hard race and very even with no runner not without a hope, pretty confident that either 3,4,5,6 will win but once again it comes down to tempo and luck in running. Be very interested to see how #6 Codie Karalta goes as if she learned to harness the speed that she had as a 2yo she will make an exciting 3yo

Leader - pole horse walks out which probably leaves either of the stablemates in 2 or 4 as the leader and if that happened I would expect 4 to roll to the front

Launceston Preview - Sunday Nov 7

Just bumping this back to the top

Race 1

1 ZURBARAN $2.0 having first start for the Hillier stable and has always shown above average ability, has the speed to utilise the draw and clearly the one to beat if anywhere near right and he did win a recent trial (2.01.1, 58.7, 2170m) and the 3rd horse in that trial (Prince Calaf) won by 30 metres at Devonport Wednesday and the 4th horse (Look Look) ran a close 2nd so gives a decent pointer as to where he is at
2 ROSARIUM $21 hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in both career runs to date and from this better draw may surprise
3 ATTA JET $17 fair run when resuming, lacks a little bit of speed but always runs an honest race and might sneak into the placings
4 TIME TO PRAY $51 had every hope to break maiden status last week and just battled when the heat came on, unplaced in all 16 career starts so prefer others
5 ARTIFICE $8 dead set money muncher (look at starting price at past 6 starts) so despite this being her easiest assignment for a while you just can't back her as will be under the odds again. Must include if taking exotics though
6 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $11 another good run last time, draw is awkward but will be in the finish with even luck
7 MODERN SOCIETY $4.5 ex Victorian having first start for the Hodges camp and simply have to respect that as the stable is on fire currently. Has also trialled well recently so is a huge watch
8 DAINTY SUNRISE $101 race form is ordinary to say the least and whilst she hasn't been too bad at the trials this draw just makes her task a forlorn one
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WATTLE CREEK $34 another who has more ability than form suggests and if gets a soft run here may sneak into the exotics
10 HERNANDES $101 yet to be placed and didn't do much when resuming
11 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $17 going a lot better than form suggests and whilst the draw makes it tough is a must for exotics
12 SHEZA WESTERN ROSE $34 has some ability but manners have let her down but looks too hard from this draw over the mile
Ratings 1/7/5/6/11/3/2/9

Race 2

1 BARKERS RUN $17 much improved run last time and although this is a tougher race is still an EW chance
2 SOPHIES PLEASURE $21 honest mare who whacks away all day and might plug home into a place
3 ANOPTOMIST $9 well deserved win last time, is a tad limited ability wise but never runs a bad race and if found the pegs here would take some running down
4 LITTLE ELF $17 disappointed at past 3 runs after promising a bit at first few runs in the state, another who lacks speed but may improve back to a front line draw
5 MATAI NIGEL NZ $17 good run when resuming when did his share of work and boxed on well, going to have to work from this gate also so place best again
6 STEELINGTON NZ $51 in all Tasmanian runs without doing anything to write home about and this looks too tough from this gate been honest
7 LISKENS GIFT $17 good run last week when did plenty of work and refused to lie down, yet another who keeps trying and place only from out here
8 EMPTY ENVELOPE $2.0 won in the manner of a very good horse first up and its worth noting the horse who had the cold sit on him and couldn't get near him (El Jays Modeena) came out and won a good mares race last week. Bit of speed under him so draw is tricky but still looks too good for them
---------- Second Row ----------
9 THE JOUSTER $7 going very well but draw is horrendous for his chances, will need a ton of luck to win and whilst he might get it he is more than likely to get buried 3 to 4 back on the pegs so doubt he can win but is a must include for exotics
10 RUBYS LIFE $26 won a weak race here 2 starts back then wasn't too bad last time, need plenty of luck to figure but can't rule out completely
11 PRETTYBOYTOBY $34 went a bit better last week but still not going as well as he can and whilst he can always surprise I want to see him show a glimmer of his old form first
12 BRO TOWN NZ $34 not much went right last week and whilst he is up to most of these on the score of ability he really needs to draw well to figure
13 SAAB QUALITY (Em 1)
Ratings 8/3/9/1/4/5/7/2

Race 3

1 OUR SIR LEW $11 one paced type resuming and be some hope if held the front but best form has always been when driven by Nat Emery so prefer place only
2 RUSHIN COURAGE NZ $2.2 been ODM in both Tasmanian starts so far and runs have been very good. Is now back in the draw and I can recall him racing in Victoria and did have very good gatespeed so if he led here over the mile and ran up to previous runs he would almost be a good thing. Pretty keen on him actually
3 EARL HICKEY $34 not going well enough
4 COMMANDER DATA $51 has a bit of gatespeed but best form is always been around Devonport so look for him there
5 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA $13 honest type who probably isn't going as well as he was a couple of months back but still in the mix for exotics
6 THE BULLIONAIRE $34 disappointing last week but was used out of the gate and has always raced best when driven cold so may improve but would want to
7 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA $26 runs his best races when drawn to lead so place at best from out here
8 IN CRUISE MODE $34 ran a number of cheeky races in good fields last time in and whilst the draw makes it nigh on impossible is worth keeping an eye on as a future form reference
---------- Second Row ----------
9 DENVERS BOY $5 model of consistency who hasn't finished worse than 4th at past 9 runs but draws the worst possible gate for him here. Still have to respect despite the draw as is going well enough to win should the breaks go his way
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $11 form has tapered off at past couple and tends to race best in front but follows out the likely leader here so should get a good run through and be competitive from there
11 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE $26 best run in ages last time but going to need plenty of luck from here
12 MI MADEMOISELLE $26 making too many mistakes of late and would need to be on best behaviour to even rate a place chance from this draw
Ratings 2/9/10/1/5

Race 4

1 KING OF BLING $6 loves the mile trip and is certain to lead early then probably hand over to a horse of its choosing that will take him to the straight. If he gets the right split in the straight may surprise
2 OPERATIVE DELIGHT $34 now a 10yo and is resuming from a 2 year spell so prefer to watch
3 MURILLO BROMAC NZ $13 honest type who keeps coming, need everything to work out perfectly to win but won't be far away
4 THE MUSICS OVER NZ $3.2 disappointed last time but on previous form would still be the one to beat so giving one more chance
5 DODGERMEMATE $11 promised a bit last campaign but whilst this is easier than other runs this time in he still hasn't done a lot so place only until he shows a glimpse of his old form
6 BUBBAS A FAKE $3.2 enormous win last time but is a frustrating horse as can do plenty wrong. If she turns up on her "A" game will go mighty close again
7 GRACIE HART $8 opportunist mare who will be driven for one run at them and if the leaders overdo things may be the fresh horse late
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 resuming and has plenty of ability when right but this is tough first up from out here
Ratings 6/4/1/7/5/3/8

Race 5

1 MAGGIE KENNEDY $3.0 last season's champion Tasmanian filly resuming, tough race but from this gate over this trip will be right in the finish
2 OUR ZELLWEGER NZ $6 extremely disappointing last campaign when did nothing but has trialled okay this time in so from this draw must be respected
3 SANREOS $15 as honest as the day is long but reckon she will find a couple of these too nippy late
4 BIGGERNBETTERMAX $4.5 another who lacks really high speed but is yet to miss a place in 13 starts so again won't be far away
5 REMEMBERPREECE $8 well driven to win last time, this is harder and draw is some concern also so prefer as a place chance
6 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but needs it weaker
7 HELL FIRE BOY $11 interesting runner who resumes and been pretty good at the trials, can get it wrong at times and the draw makes things tough but certainly has ability
8 WINGSOFANEAGLE $21 going well enough to be competitive but from this draw will need plenty of things to go his way, one for exotics
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $51 been ordinary at both runs since resuming and prefer others despite drawing to get a pretty good trip
10 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($5,000) $11 enigmatic beast who mixes his form, super win last time and from this good trailing draw may be the blowout horse again if the favs overdo things up front
Ratings 1/4/2/5/10/7/3

Race 6

1 RIVERINA CHELSEA $1.6 yet another good juvenile resuming, also trialled well with Zurburan who races in race 1 to get some type of lead. At her best she loves to lead and will take a ton of running down here
2 NIGHT IN VEGAS $2.2 gets her best draw this time in and has been close up recently, really gets her chance from this gate
3 EL JAYS MODEENA $3.5 good win last week and this is no tougher so is a great chance again
4 CHASSYS BEST $51 simply not up to this class
5 SHIRNELL $51 another who is outclassed
6 WEEMALANEWS $34 not much luck last time but still too tough from out here
7 BLACKTIE AFFAIR $5 right up to these on ability and despite the tricky draw will be a major chance with even luck
8 THABELA BRIOSO $9 really going well at the moment, may have to work hard from the gate but still going too well to dismiss
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $34 draws to get a soft run but struggling for best form
Ratings 2/3/7/8

Race 7

1 DANCE OF THE DEITY $15 draws to trail the speed so a must for exotics as he simply loves that type of trip
2 MAJESTIC EMPEROR $9 much improved run last time and might be the leader here and if gets it soft over the mile trip may surprise
3 ALLA BREVE scr
4 KINGS A COACH $17 did trial okay recently but prefer place only
5 CASTASPELL $34 this looks too tough
6 REDSIDE SHREK $13 galloped when resuming and run was actually very good, has tons of ability at best so keep safe
7 ULOS $21 going okay but the draw really hampers his hopes
8 BABYITSU $5 resuming and also has a bad gate but did trial very well last week and he might be able to work to the death without expending too much juice here as not a very quick front line
---------- Second Row ----------
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $34 this is tougher than past few but might run into exotics with a cheap pegs run
10 ANGUS MCGREGOR $34 starting to show glimpses of his best but still hard to be enthused from the 2nd row draw
11 OUR SIR JECKYL $5 another resuming and was probably the best horse in Tassie at the end of last campaign, from this draw will need the right run but is simply too classy to leave out
12 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ $3.5 been the measuring stick at this level all season, horror draw for a mile race but given even luck in running will take a stack of holding out
Ratings 12/8/11/2/6/1/3

Race 8

1 HAMISH SANZ $7 big strong colt who lacks high speed so draw is a big issue here as if gets buried on the pegs will take an age to wind up
2 PUT MBACK $9 probably not as talented as some others in the race but is likely to be first to the pegs and is going to get the best run so is a must for exotics
3 KARALTA WIZARD $3.8 typical honest run when resuming and gets Gareth here, you would think that he would derive benefit from the first up run and will go very close here as is super tough
4 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 very good run on debut when stiff not to win, this race is much tougher but he has trialled well since so is a huge watch
5 JUST DANCE BABY $7 still a maiden but has yet to run a bad race, very even field this and given even luck from the draw will be right in the finish again
6 CODIE KARALTA $4.5 half sister to Villagem who oozes talent but still does plenty wrong, by the end of the season she might develop into a very good horse but still plenty of chinks to iron out. Too good to dismiss though as would probably win with a foolproof display but has a few issues currently. Is a huge watch first up
Ratings 4/3/6/5/1/2

Saturday Tips

Melton

R5#5 Whisky And Ice
R6#8 The Marksman

Launceston Preview - Sunday November 7

Very good meeting this with heaps of very good horses resuming which isn't surprising considering we are just over a month away from the big December meetings. Must admit that I am not a great fan of the meeting having all races being run over the mile trip but its worth a try so will sit back and pass comment afterwards as I just might be wrong. Plus at least they are trying something new so rightly or wrongly deserve some credit for giving it a go.

I will say though that it is absurd to have 12 runners in mile races, it is at least 1 runner too many and probably 2 runners to be honest. Just means that a few horses don't get the opportunity to win even on a great track like Launceston.

Race 1

1 ZURBARAN $2.0 having first start for the Hillier stable and has always shown above average ability, has the speed to utilise the draw and clearly the one to beat if anywhere near right and he did win a recent trial (2.01.1, 58.7, 2170m) and the 3rd horse in that trial (Prince Calaf) won by 30 metres at Devonport Wednesday and the 4th horse (Look Look) ran a close 2nd so gives a decent pointer as to where he is at
2 ROSARIUM $21 hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in both career runs to date and from this better draw may surprise
3 ATTA JET $17 fair run when resuming, lacks a little bit of speed but always runs an honest race and might sneak into the placings
4 TIME TO PRAY $51 had every hope to break maiden status last week and just battled when the heat came on, unplaced in all 16 career starts so prefer others
5 ARTIFICE $8 dead set money muncher (look at starting price at past 6 starts) so despite this being her easiest assignment for a while you just can't back her as will be under the odds again. Must include if taking exotics though
6 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $11 another good run last time, draw is awkward but will be in the finish with even luck
7 MODERN SOCIETY $4.5 ex Victorian having first start for the Hodges camp and simply have to respect that as the stable is on fire currently. Has also trialled well recently so is a huge watch
8 DAINTY SUNRISE $101 race form is ordinary to say the least and whilst she hasn't been too bad at the trials this draw just makes her task a forlorn one
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WATTLE CREEK $34 another who has more ability than form suggests and if gets a soft run here may sneak into the exotics
10 HERNANDES $101 yet to be placed and didn't do much when resuming
11 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $17 going a lot better than form suggests and whilst the draw makes it tough is a must for exotics
12 SHEZA WESTERN ROSE $34 has some ability but manners have let her down but looks too hard from this draw over the mile
Ratings 1/7/5/6/11/3/2/9

Race 2

1 BARKERS RUN $17 much improved run last time and although this is a tougher race is still an EW chance
2 SOPHIES PLEASURE $21 honest mare who whacks away all day and might plug home into a place
3 ANOPTOMIST $9 well deserved win last time, is a tad limited ability wise but never runs a bad race and if found the pegs here would take some running down
4 LITTLE ELF $17 disappointed at past 3 runs after promising a bit at first few runs in the state, another who lacks speed but may improve back to a front line draw
5 MATAI NIGEL NZ $17 good run when resuming when did his share of work and boxed on well, going to have to work from this gate also so place best again
6 STEELINGTON NZ $51 in all Tasmanian runs without doing anything to write home about and this looks too tough from this gate been honest
7 LISKENS GIFT $17 good run last week when did plenty of work and refused to lie down, yet another who keeps trying and place only from out here
8 EMPTY ENVELOPE $2.0 won in the manner of a very good horse first up and its worth noting the horse who had the cold sit on him and couldn't get near him (El Jays Modeena) came out and won a good mares race last week. Bit of speed under him so draw is tricky but still looks too good for them
---------- Second Row ----------
9 THE JOUSTER $7 going very well but draw is horrendous for his chances, will need a ton of luck to win and whilst he might get it he is more than likely to get buried 3 to 4 back on the pegs so doubt he can win but is a must include for exotics
10 RUBYS LIFE $26 won a weak race here 2 starts back then wasn't too bad last time, need plenty of luck to figure but can't rule out completely
11 PRETTYBOYTOBY $34 went a bit better last week but still not going as well as he can and whilst he can always surprise I want to see him show a glimmer of his old form first
12 BRO TOWN NZ $34 not much went right last week and whilst he is up to most of these on the score of ability he really needs to draw well to figure
13 SAAB QUALITY (Em 1)
Ratings 8/3/9/1/4/5/7/2

Race 3

1 OUR SIR LEW $11 one paced type resuming and be some hope if held the front but best form has always been when driven by Nat Emery so prefer place only
2 RUSHIN COURAGE NZ $2.2 been ODM in both Tasmanian starts so far and runs have been very good. Is now back in the draw and I can recall him racing in Victoria and did have very good gatespeed so if he led here over the mile and ran up to previous runs he would almost be a good thing. Pretty keen on him actually
3 EARL HICKEY $34 not going well enough
4 COMMANDER DATA $51 has a bit of gatespeed but best form is always been around Devonport so look for him there
5 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA $13 honest type who probably isn't going as well as he was a couple of months back but still in the mix for exotics
6 THE BULLIONAIRE $34 disappointing last week but was used out of the gate and has always raced best when driven cold so may improve but would want to
7 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA $26 runs his best races when drawn to lead so place at best from out here
8 IN CRUISE MODE $34 ran a number of cheeky races in good fields last time in and whilst the draw makes it nigh on impossible is worth keeping an eye on as a future form reference
---------- Second Row ----------
9 DENVERS BOY $5 model of consistency who hasn't finished worse than 4th at past 9 runs but draws the worst possible gate for him here. Still have to respect despite the draw as is going well enough to win should the breaks go his way
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $11 form has tapered off at past couple and tends to race best in front but follows out the likely leader here so should get a good run through and be competitive from there
11 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE $26 best run in ages last time but going to need plenty of luck from here
12 MI MADEMOISELLE $26 making too many mistakes of late and would need to be on best behaviour to even rate a place chance from this draw
Ratings 2/9/10/1/5

Race 4

1 KING OF BLING $6 loves the mile trip and is certain to lead early then probably hand over to a horse of its choosing that will take him to the straight. If he gets the right split in the straight may surprise
2 OPERATIVE DELIGHT $34 now a 10yo and is resuming from a 2 year spell so prefer to watch
3 MURILLO BROMAC NZ $13 honest type who keeps coming, need everything to work out perfectly to win but won't be far away
4 THE MUSICS OVER NZ $3.2 disappointed last time but on previous form would still be the one to beat so giving one more chance
5 DODGERMEMATE $11 promised a bit last campaign but whilst this is easier than other runs this time in he still hasn't done a lot so place only until he shows a glimpse of his old form
6 BUBBAS A FAKE $3.2 enormous win last time but is a frustrating horse as can do plenty wrong. If she turns up on her "A" game will go mighty close again
7 GRACIE HART $8 opportunist mare who will be driven for one run at them and if the leaders overdo things may be the fresh horse late
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 resuming and has plenty of ability when right but this is tough first up from out here
Ratings 4/6/1/7/5/3/8

Race 5

1 MAGGIE KENNEDY $3.0 last season's champion Tasmanian filly resuming, tough race but from this gate over this trip will be right in the finish
2 OUR ZELLWEGER NZ $6 extremely disappointing last campaign when did nothing but has trialled okay this time in so from this draw must be respected
3 SANREOS $15 as honest as the day is long but reckon she will find a couple of these too nippy late
4 BIGGERNBETTERMAX $4.5 another who lacks really high speed but is yet to miss a place in 13 starts so again won't be far away
5 REMEMBERPREECE $8 well driven to win last time, this is harder and draw is some concern also so prefer as a place chance
6 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but needs it weaker
7 HELL FIRE BOY $11 interesting runner who resumes and been pretty good at the trials, can get it wrong at times and the draw makes things tough but certainly has ability
8 WINGSOFANEAGLE $21 going well enough to be competitive but from this draw will need plenty of things to go his way, one for exotics
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $51 been ordinary at both runs since resuming and prefer others despite drawing to get a pretty good trip
10 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($5,000) $11 enigmatic beast who mixes his form, super win last time and from this good trailing draw may be the blowout horse again if the favs overdo things up front
Ratings 1/4/2/5/10/7/3

Race 6

1 RIVERINA CHELSEA $1.6 yet another good juvenile resuming, also trialled well with Zurburan who races in race 1 to get some type of lead. At her best she loves to lead and will take a ton of running down here
2 NIGHT IN VEGAS $2.2 gets her best draw this time in and has been close up recently, really gets her chance from this gate
3 EL JAYS MODEENA $3.5 good win last week and this is no tougher so is a great chance again
4 CHASSYS BEST $51 simply not up to this class
5 SHIRNELL $51 another who is outclassed
6 WEEMALANEWS $34 not much luck last time but still too tough from out here
7 BLACKTIE AFFAIR $5 right up to these on ability and despite the tricky draw will be a major chance with even luck
8 THABELA BRIOSO $9 really going well at the moment, may have to work hard from the gate but still going too well to dismiss
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $34 draws to get a soft run but struggling for best form
Ratings 2/3/7/8

Race 7

1 DANCE OF THE DEITY $15 draws to trail the speed so a must for exotics as he simply loves that type of trip
2 MAJESTIC EMPEROR $9 much improved run last time and might be the leader here and if gets it soft over the mile trip may surprise
3 ALLA BREVE scr
4 KINGS A COACH $17 did trial okay recently but prefer place only
5 CASTASPELL $34 this looks too tough
6 REDSIDE SHREK $13 galloped when resuming and run was actually very good, has tons of ability at best so keep safe
7 ULOS $21 going okay but the draw really hampers his hopes
8 BABYITSU $5 resuming and also has a bad gate but did trial very well last week and he might be able to work to the death without expending too much juice here as not a very quick front line
---------- Second Row ----------
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $34 this is tougher than past few but might run into exotics with a cheap pegs run
10 ANGUS MCGREGOR $34 starting to show glimpses of his best but still hard to be enthused from the 2nd row draw
11 OUR SIR JECKYL $5 another resuming and was probably the best horse in Tassie at the end of last campaign, from this draw will need the right run but is simply too classy to leave out
12 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ $3.5 been the measuring stick at this level all season, horror draw for a mile race but given even luck in running will take a stack of holding out
Ratings 12/8/11/2/6/1/3

Race 8

1 HAMISH SANZ $7 big strong colt who lacks high speed so draw is a big issue here as if gets buried on the pegs will take an age to wind up
2 PUT MBACK $9 probably not as talented as some others in the race but is likely to be first to the pegs and is going to get the best run so is a must for exotics
3 KARALTA WIZARD $3.8 typical honest run when resuming and gets Gareth here, you would think that he would derive benefit from the first up run and will go very close here as is super tough
4 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 very good run on debut when stiff not to win, this race is much tougher but he has trialled well since so is a huge watch
5 JUST DANCE BABY $7 still a maiden but has yet to run a bad race, very even field this and given even luck from the draw will be right in the finish again
6 CODIE KARALTA $4.5 half sister to Villagem who oozes talent but still does plenty wrong, by the end of the season she might develop into a very good horse but still plenty of chinks to iron out. Too good to dismiss though as would probably win with a foolproof display but has a few issues currently. Is a huge watch first up
Ratings 3/4/6/5/1/2