Saturday, May 29, 2010

Harness Tips - Saturday May 29

Geelong - no specials but will be having something on these

R1#4 Knightof Elderslie, been trialling okay at the Marsh and thought last run was full of merit after being shunted 4 wide at the 500. Could represent a bit of value with poor numerical form. Going to play exotics around 1,4,7,9 as don't like 5 at all and 3 has been disappointing
UNP Lobbed leaders back at odds of $6.80 and some idiot (me) went the early crow declaring it. Should've known better as choked down and was retired from race

R2#4 Ninegrandsons, talking of trial form this bloke just flies. Ran last mile in 2.01.0 at the trials which is unheard of in this class so if he decides to put it together should win. Barring mistakes the only danger is #1 Im Chilled so play the quin for something. The other chances all come off handicaps and in 2100 stands if something half decent leads it is a mathematical impossibility to make up the ground out wide. Don't break the bank in this race though as horse is a fruit loop
1st $2.70, did everything right this evening and smashed them

R3#5 Farmersntradies, went enormous in Tatlow final (went heaps better than #7 Did It Alone who just beat him home), then backed up Monday and smashed an average lot where they walked home in 61 but appeals as one of those 2yos that didn't have the speed to compete over short trips but as he just keeps grinding the 2100 suits a lot better. You know he won't shirk the task so be having something on and standing him out into 6,7,8 in the quin
1st $2.30, once he found the front it was time to get in the queue, 5,6 quin paid $7

R5#2 Just Don't Be Cruel, too bad to be true first up when raced very flat all race and also hung on every turn and I am sure the Strathfieldsaye boys have spent time sorting him out. Showed excellent gate speed at the trials and the horse he trialled similarly to simply flew at Ballarat. Well worth another chance on the basis that first up was just an aberration. Will probably know as soon as the mobile pulls away whether we are on the horse who raced flat and hung or whether the real one turns up
1st $3.70, got the front, walked em and staggered in. Never again but take the win all the same

and for those keen enough

R8#5 Forest Babe, just miles better than these and sometimes see these start silly odds in the last. Should be $1.20 or shorter but with people looking for value to get out it might pay something silly like $1.40 and that is akin to stealing. Just keep an eye out if watching as it won't lose
Brained em, 1st $1.30

Might have a go at picking my own Quaddie (in races I like, not the ones the TAB dictates me to take)

Race 1 - 1,4,7,9
Race 2 - 1,4
Race 3 - 5,6,8
Race 5 - 2,4

Take for $2 = $96
Collect $399.75

Race 1 - 1,4,7,9
Race 2 - 12
Race 3 - 5,6,8
Race 5 - 2,4
No good obviously if the other one got up!!

Take for $1 = $24