1 PEARLS FROM HEAVEN 13
2 LADY ELEANOR 41
3 MOST HAPPY JASPER 26
4 CRASH CART 9
5 BIGGERNBETTERMAX 1.8
6 TITLED 101
7 TOPOTHECLOUDS 17
---------- Second Row ----------
8 HAVILAH HAWK 67
9 HARBHAJAN 3.5
#5 Biggernbettermax gets into another winnable race here, must admit that I won't be jumping in though as there are a couple of queries but if he finds the front which he should do he is mighty hard to run down. There is some speed under him though so despite having good gatespeed I don't have him as a certain leader hence my apprehension or would have priced him shorter as #9 Harbhajan has drawn to take advantage should the fav have to do it too hard early. Totally ignore his last run when used out of the gate and pulled himself into the ground (ran first 1800m in 2.12.7 which equates to a 1.58.6 mile rate). His previous form is first class when driven cold early so expect to see him back to his best from this draw. #4 Crash Cart is one I blackbooked at his last run but didn't expect him to run into a couple of good ones but still some chance, he is back in the draw for the first time in ages so his gatespeed is totally unknown but is a must for exotics as is #1 Pearls From Heaven who always runs an honest race when drawn well and whilst she probably can't beat the favs will be thereabouts somewhere. #7 Topotheclouds is another who never runs a bad race but may struggle a tad from this gate. If going wide in exotics, maybe include both #2 Lady Eleanor who has early speed and #3 Most Happy Jasper who is first up for a new stable
Ratings 5,9/4/1/7/2,3
Race 2
1 MONICAS NOTCH 6
2 PARADIGM GIRL 21
3 RISENSHINE 41
4 BOOZY ROUGE 2.2
5 PADDY MY BOY 21
6 BIDE YOUR TIME 17
7 ULTIMATE HEIR 51
---------- Second Row ----------
8 THE BULLIONAIRE 11
9 SAAB QUALITY 3.8
#4 Boozy Rouge hasn't enjoyed the best of luck recently and looks to have found a nice race here, shouldn't be any excuses anyway. He usually races best when not used early but would imagine that would go forward at some stage here and just outplug them late. #9 Saab Quality is a very good horse who tends to race best from the front of the field so the draw does him no favours but if he can get into the race early will definitely make a race of things with Boozy. Of the rest, #1 Monicas Notch is a one paced type and from this draw with not much speed off the front row may improve a lot on recent runs. One of that trio should definitely win but #8 The Bullionaire is always a blowout chance if he gets the right run and from this draw that just might happen. #6 Bide Your Time is an interesting runner resuming with good form in easier races prior to a spell but trial looks plain on paper but respect any betting moves
Ratings 4/9/1/8/2,5,6
Race 3
1 EMMA ETOILE 34
2 THIRTYSIXTOES 17
3 GIRLS IN PINK 34
4 STRATEGIC MISS 21
5 ARTIFICE 4
6 IMA BLISSFUL BELL 21
7 DREAMON DONNY 101
---------- Second Row ----------
8 BRO TOWN NZ 17
9 MELMAN 9
10 SCARLETT BLAZE 13
11 DEEJAY BROMAC 101
12 IDEN JUSTASMYRK 2.5
#12 Iden Justasmyrk looks clearly better than his rivals here and if not for the barrier would almost be a good thing, he is big and tough though so can certainly overcome the draw and reckon he wins easily if driven aggressively early. #5 Artifice has been a shade disappointing this time in despite winning 2 of 4 starts as both of those were in very average time. Think she is better suited against her own sex but the barrier draw advantage over all the other chances here brings her into play as could get a very cheap lead. #9 Melman had every hope when winning first up but did beat a decent field and although not as well drawn here still looms as a chance. #10 Scarlett Blaze boxed on okay last time and finished well clear of the 5th placegetter and has definite place claims, #8 Bro Town has ability when right and should get a cheap pegs run from the draw, #2 Thirtysixtoes is another who is competitive in most races but from the draw is a must include for exotics. #6 Ima Blissfull Bell is an interesting runner, was kept very safe in a good field when resuming and did absolutely nothing but is better than that and #4 Strategic Miss whacks away and might sneak a place
Ratings 12/5/9/2,8/6/3
Race 4
1 AWESOME BUDDY 26
2 ODINS DRAGON RIDER 5.5
3 GUN FILLY 13
4 BETTOR DRAW 3.2
5 TOWN TRICKSTER 17
6 LAURAS HAPPY TIME 51
7 DELTA DEE DEE 34
---------- Second Row ----------
8 SMOKIN MUSTARD 21
9 IDEN NOSHOT 3.8
10 DUSTY KALENA 21
11 NOELSGIRL 51
#4 Bettor Draw looked a shade disappointing on face value last time but in hindsight had little hope the race was run settling last in a slowly run race. His form prior to last run was good enough for this, he draws better and gets Gareth and also should be driven more aggressively from this draw so is the top pick. #9 Iden Noshot won the race last week and this isn't the worst draw for him either with his sit/sprint style as should trail through early into a handy position and be the one coming home late. #2 Odins Dragon Rider ran 3rd in that same race last week and from this similar draw should be close up again. One of that trio should win but #3 Gun Filly has run a couple of cheeky races from bad draws lately so might be a chance here, #5 Town Trickster was a decent run in a leader dominated race at last start as was #8 Smokin Mustard and #10 Dusty Kalena is one who has shocking numerical form but certainly has some ability when gets it right so might bump up the exotics
Ratings 4/9/2/3,5/8,10
Race 5
1 MICKEY DELAHEY 7
2 BAYFIELD HIGH 11
3 PHANTOM JASPER 8
5 TOUCHA REVENGE 34
6 NEW YORK FELLA 8
7 RESURGENCE 13
---------- Second Row ----------
8 NOVEMBER TWENTY 17
9 KING ALBERT 2.8
10 ROSLYN AREFLYING 26
Looks very well placed in this #9 King Albert, has been very competitive of late in C4 or better races and with the junior driver lift here gets into a C3-C4 race that is much easier than he has been meeting. The only downside is that he hasn't won for 20 starts but should be quite backable so happy to be on. The remainder of the field are very even, #1 Mickey Delahey had every possible last time and just missed but draws to get every hope again, #4 Odins Constantine had 2 mobile starts last campaign and led and bolted in both times so must be respected at first start back. #3 Phantom Jasper is an honest type who benefitted from a stagger home last time, #2 Bayfield High has speed and from the good draw must be included, #6 New York Fella was a little unlucky last time but draws awkwardly this time and #7 Resurgence is a good honest type who has won his past 3 starts but its worth noting he never broke 60 the last half in any of those wins and draws 7 here so is a place hope only. To sum it up, I am keen on King Albert and confident he beats the rest with a slight query on #4 Odins Constantine first up
Ratings 9/1/2,3,6,7/field
Race 6
1 JET BLACK FLYER 3.5
2 MOUNTAIN MOMMA 51
3 DOVES PATCH NZ 6
4 RED RIVER GEE GEE 34
5 DENVERS BOY 4.2
6 GUNBOWER JACK 101
7 CHANCEABET 4.2
---------- Second Row ----------
8 CULLENS COUNT NZ 9
9 CANCELLARA 17
Struggled a bit with this race as all the chances are coming through differing formlines so a bit hard to assess. #1 Jet Black Flyer gets the draw and the form around her has stood up so goes on top. The only query with her is that her best runs have been when driven with cover and not sure if they would hand up here if she can retain the front. #5 Denvers Boy has really come in at past few, he will go forward and despite looking a little plain when winning last time I think that was more to do with him switching off after walking mid race. #7 Chanceabet would definitely have been my top pick from a better gate as his 2 runs for the Ford camp have been enormous and he does make his own luck so still a major player. The query runner is #3 Doves Patch who does plenty wrong but certainly has ability and this is the first time she has drawn a gate in Tassie so improvement certainly wouldn't surprise and #8 Cullens Count gets the draw to have a soft run and is going okay of late. Pretty confident that winds up the chances with #9 Cancellara being the only other place hope but he has been below his best this season and its worth noting that in his last 2 races where he has been placed that they staggered home in 32 each time
Ratings 1,5,7/3/8/9
Race 7
1 STILL ROYAL 6
2 GUERRERO 13
3 AS YOU WISH 11
4 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA 5
5 SPENDIT NZ 13
6 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE 26
7 PRINCE PLANET NZ 34
---------- Second Row ----------
8 LOCKDOWN 13
10 THABELA BRIOSO 6
11 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA 4
Terribly difficult race to sort out, have settled on #11 Touchwood Bucksta who despite being somewhat flattered to win last time courtesy of a fence hugging drive still ran good time coming from last in a 57.7 closing half. Will obviously need some luck from this draw but will be right in the mix if he gets any. #10 Thabela Brioso might be the value as last run doesn't look too flash on paper but its worth noting that she did a ton of work from barrier 7 to get the death seat in a very fast lead time followed by a 60.9 opening half so was no surprise to see her tire. #4 Touchwood Teeksta loves to lead in its races and might just get there here and would be the horse to beat if he did. #1 Still Royal is another who is racing consistently and the start will be crucial to him as got headed easily the last time he drew the pole but if he could hold his position early would be a major player. Also have to afford chances to most other runners so its a field job for the minor end of the exotics
Ratings 11/4,10/1/3,5/2,8/field
Race 8
1 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($5,000) 5
3 THE CROWD PLEASER ($5,000) 21
4 THE APPRENTICE ($5,000) 21
5 ALBERT JONES ($8,000) 3.5
6 JEFFERSON NZ ($10,000) 3.5
7 ULOS ($10,000) 3.2
The Claimers revert to the mobile here and I am really struggling to split the bottom 3 runners. Forced to pick one would go with #7 Ulos who I spotted run well last time making ground out wide in a 57.6 half but he will probably settle last here so hard to be confident. #6 Jefferson went okay in a stronger Claimer at Melton last time and this is easier and #5 Albert Jones probably threw victory away last week with a mid race error. Will probably come down to who gets the right run from the trio but I won't underestimate #1 Secret Rendezvous who has been disappointing at past couple but has a great record in these mobile Claimers as a rule. That quartet should really fight things out
Ratings 7/5,6/1
