Melton
R5#5 Whisky And Ice
R6#8 The Marksman
Saturday, November 6, 2010
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Launceston Preview - Sunday November 7
Very good meeting this with heaps of very good horses resuming which isn't surprising considering we are just over a month away from the big December meetings. Must admit that I am not a great fan of the meeting having all races being run over the mile trip but its worth a try so will sit back and pass comment afterwards as I just might be wrong. Plus at least they are trying something new so rightly or wrongly deserve some credit for giving it a go.
I will say though that it is absurd to have 12 runners in mile races, it is at least 1 runner too many and probably 2 runners to be honest. Just means that a few horses don't get the opportunity to win even on a great track like Launceston.
Race 1
1 ZURBARAN $2.0 having first start for the Hillier stable and has always shown above average ability, has the speed to utilise the draw and clearly the one to beat if anywhere near right and he did win a recent trial (2.01.1, 58.7, 2170m) and the 3rd horse in that trial (Prince Calaf) won by 30 metres at Devonport Wednesday and the 4th horse (Look Look) ran a close 2nd so gives a decent pointer as to where he is at
2 ROSARIUM $21 hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in both career runs to date and from this better draw may surprise
3 ATTA JET $17 fair run when resuming, lacks a little bit of speed but always runs an honest race and might sneak into the placings
4 TIME TO PRAY $51 had every hope to break maiden status last week and just battled when the heat came on, unplaced in all 16 career starts so prefer others
5 ARTIFICE $8 dead set money muncher (look at starting price at past 6 starts) so despite this being her easiest assignment for a while you just can't back her as will be under the odds again. Must include if taking exotics though
6 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $11 another good run last time, draw is awkward but will be in the finish with even luck
7 MODERN SOCIETY $4.5 ex Victorian having first start for the Hodges camp and simply have to respect that as the stable is on fire currently. Has also trialled well recently so is a huge watch
8 DAINTY SUNRISE $101 race form is ordinary to say the least and whilst she hasn't been too bad at the trials this draw just makes her task a forlorn one
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WATTLE CREEK $34 another who has more ability than form suggests and if gets a soft run here may sneak into the exotics
10 HERNANDES $101 yet to be placed and didn't do much when resuming
11 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $17 going a lot better than form suggests and whilst the draw makes it tough is a must for exotics
12 SHEZA WESTERN ROSE $34 has some ability but manners have let her down but looks too hard from this draw over the mile
Ratings 1/7/5/6/11/3/2/9
Race 2
1 BARKERS RUN $17 much improved run last time and although this is a tougher race is still an EW chance
2 SOPHIES PLEASURE $21 honest mare who whacks away all day and might plug home into a place
3 ANOPTOMIST $9 well deserved win last time, is a tad limited ability wise but never runs a bad race and if found the pegs here would take some running down
4 LITTLE ELF $17 disappointed at past 3 runs after promising a bit at first few runs in the state, another who lacks speed but may improve back to a front line draw
5 MATAI NIGEL NZ $17 good run when resuming when did his share of work and boxed on well, going to have to work from this gate also so place best again
6 STEELINGTON NZ $51 in all Tasmanian runs without doing anything to write home about and this looks too tough from this gate been honest
7 LISKENS GIFT $17 good run last week when did plenty of work and refused to lie down, yet another who keeps trying and place only from out here
8 EMPTY ENVELOPE $2.0 won in the manner of a very good horse first up and its worth noting the horse who had the cold sit on him and couldn't get near him (El Jays Modeena) came out and won a good mares race last week. Bit of speed under him so draw is tricky but still looks too good for them
---------- Second Row ----------
9 THE JOUSTER $7 going very well but draw is horrendous for his chances, will need a ton of luck to win and whilst he might get it he is more than likely to get buried 3 to 4 back on the pegs so doubt he can win but is a must include for exotics
10 RUBYS LIFE $26 won a weak race here 2 starts back then wasn't too bad last time, need plenty of luck to figure but can't rule out completely
11 PRETTYBOYTOBY $34 went a bit better last week but still not going as well as he can and whilst he can always surprise I want to see him show a glimmer of his old form first
12 BRO TOWN NZ $34 not much went right last week and whilst he is up to most of these on the score of ability he really needs to draw well to figure
13 SAAB QUALITY (Em 1)
Ratings 8/3/9/1/4/5/7/2
Race 3
1 OUR SIR LEW $11 one paced type resuming and be some hope if held the front but best form has always been when driven by Nat Emery so prefer place only
2 RUSHIN COURAGE NZ $2.2 been ODM in both Tasmanian starts so far and runs have been very good. Is now back in the draw and I can recall him racing in Victoria and did have very good gatespeed so if he led here over the mile and ran up to previous runs he would almost be a good thing. Pretty keen on him actually
3 EARL HICKEY $34 not going well enough
4 COMMANDER DATA $51 has a bit of gatespeed but best form is always been around Devonport so look for him there
5 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA $13 honest type who probably isn't going as well as he was a couple of months back but still in the mix for exotics
6 THE BULLIONAIRE $34 disappointing last week but was used out of the gate and has always raced best when driven cold so may improve but would want to
7 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA $26 runs his best races when drawn to lead so place at best from out here
8 IN CRUISE MODE $34 ran a number of cheeky races in good fields last time in and whilst the draw makes it nigh on impossible is worth keeping an eye on as a future form reference
---------- Second Row ----------
9 DENVERS BOY $5 model of consistency who hasn't finished worse than 4th at past 9 runs but draws the worst possible gate for him here. Still have to respect despite the draw as is going well enough to win should the breaks go his way
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $11 form has tapered off at past couple and tends to race best in front but follows out the likely leader here so should get a good run through and be competitive from there
11 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE $26 best run in ages last time but going to need plenty of luck from here
12 MI MADEMOISELLE $26 making too many mistakes of late and would need to be on best behaviour to even rate a place chance from this draw
Ratings 2/9/10/1/5
Race 4
1 KING OF BLING $6 loves the mile trip and is certain to lead early then probably hand over to a horse of its choosing that will take him to the straight. If he gets the right split in the straight may surprise
2 OPERATIVE DELIGHT $34 now a 10yo and is resuming from a 2 year spell so prefer to watch
3 MURILLO BROMAC NZ $13 honest type who keeps coming, need everything to work out perfectly to win but won't be far away
4 THE MUSICS OVER NZ $3.2 disappointed last time but on previous form would still be the one to beat so giving one more chance
5 DODGERMEMATE $11 promised a bit last campaign but whilst this is easier than other runs this time in he still hasn't done a lot so place only until he shows a glimpse of his old form
6 BUBBAS A FAKE $3.2 enormous win last time but is a frustrating horse as can do plenty wrong. If she turns up on her "A" game will go mighty close again
7 GRACIE HART $8 opportunist mare who will be driven for one run at them and if the leaders overdo things may be the fresh horse late
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 resuming and has plenty of ability when right but this is tough first up from out here
Ratings 4/6/1/7/5/3/8
Race 5
1 MAGGIE KENNEDY $3.0 last season's champion Tasmanian filly resuming, tough race but from this gate over this trip will be right in the finish
2 OUR ZELLWEGER NZ $6 extremely disappointing last campaign when did nothing but has trialled okay this time in so from this draw must be respected
3 SANREOS $15 as honest as the day is long but reckon she will find a couple of these too nippy late
4 BIGGERNBETTERMAX $4.5 another who lacks really high speed but is yet to miss a place in 13 starts so again won't be far away
5 REMEMBERPREECE $8 well driven to win last time, this is harder and draw is some concern also so prefer as a place chance
6 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but needs it weaker
7 HELL FIRE BOY $11 interesting runner who resumes and been pretty good at the trials, can get it wrong at times and the draw makes things tough but certainly has ability
8 WINGSOFANEAGLE $21 going well enough to be competitive but from this draw will need plenty of things to go his way, one for exotics
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $51 been ordinary at both runs since resuming and prefer others despite drawing to get a pretty good trip
10 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($5,000) $11 enigmatic beast who mixes his form, super win last time and from this good trailing draw may be the blowout horse again if the favs overdo things up front
Ratings 1/4/2/5/10/7/3
Race 6
1 RIVERINA CHELSEA $1.6 yet another good juvenile resuming, also trialled well with Zurburan who races in race 1 to get some type of lead. At her best she loves to lead and will take a ton of running down here
2 NIGHT IN VEGAS $2.2 gets her best draw this time in and has been close up recently, really gets her chance from this gate
3 EL JAYS MODEENA $3.5 good win last week and this is no tougher so is a great chance again
4 CHASSYS BEST $51 simply not up to this class
5 SHIRNELL $51 another who is outclassed
6 WEEMALANEWS $34 not much luck last time but still too tough from out here
7 BLACKTIE AFFAIR $5 right up to these on ability and despite the tricky draw will be a major chance with even luck
8 THABELA BRIOSO $9 really going well at the moment, may have to work hard from the gate but still going too well to dismiss
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $34 draws to get a soft run but struggling for best form
Ratings 2/3/7/8
Race 7
1 DANCE OF THE DEITY $15 draws to trail the speed so a must for exotics as he simply loves that type of trip
2 MAJESTIC EMPEROR $9 much improved run last time and might be the leader here and if gets it soft over the mile trip may surprise
3 ALLA BREVE scr
4 KINGS A COACH $17 did trial okay recently but prefer place only
5 CASTASPELL $34 this looks too tough
6 REDSIDE SHREK $13 galloped when resuming and run was actually very good, has tons of ability at best so keep safe
7 ULOS $21 going okay but the draw really hampers his hopes
8 BABYITSU $5 resuming and also has a bad gate but did trial very well last week and he might be able to work to the death without expending too much juice here as not a very quick front line
---------- Second Row ----------
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $34 this is tougher than past few but might run into exotics with a cheap pegs run
10 ANGUS MCGREGOR $34 starting to show glimpses of his best but still hard to be enthused from the 2nd row draw
11 OUR SIR JECKYL $5 another resuming and was probably the best horse in Tassie at the end of last campaign, from this draw will need the right run but is simply too classy to leave out
12 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ $3.5 been the measuring stick at this level all season, horror draw for a mile race but given even luck in running will take a stack of holding out
Ratings 12/8/11/2/6/1/3
Race 8
1 HAMISH SANZ $7 big strong colt who lacks high speed so draw is a big issue here as if gets buried on the pegs will take an age to wind up
2 PUT MBACK $9 probably not as talented as some others in the race but is likely to be first to the pegs and is going to get the best run so is a must for exotics
3 KARALTA WIZARD $3.8 typical honest run when resuming and gets Gareth here, you would think that he would derive benefit from the first up run and will go very close here as is super tough
4 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 very good run on debut when stiff not to win, this race is much tougher but he has trialled well since so is a huge watch
5 JUST DANCE BABY $7 still a maiden but has yet to run a bad race, very even field this and given even luck from the draw will be right in the finish again
6 CODIE KARALTA $4.5 half sister to Villagem who oozes talent but still does plenty wrong, by the end of the season she might develop into a very good horse but still plenty of chinks to iron out. Too good to dismiss though as would probably win with a foolproof display but has a few issues currently. Is a huge watch first up
Ratings 3/4/6/5/1/2
I will say though that it is absurd to have 12 runners in mile races, it is at least 1 runner too many and probably 2 runners to be honest. Just means that a few horses don't get the opportunity to win even on a great track like Launceston.
Race 1
1 ZURBARAN $2.0 having first start for the Hillier stable and has always shown above average ability, has the speed to utilise the draw and clearly the one to beat if anywhere near right and he did win a recent trial (2.01.1, 58.7, 2170m) and the 3rd horse in that trial (Prince Calaf) won by 30 metres at Devonport Wednesday and the 4th horse (Look Look) ran a close 2nd so gives a decent pointer as to where he is at
2 ROSARIUM $21 hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in both career runs to date and from this better draw may surprise
3 ATTA JET $17 fair run when resuming, lacks a little bit of speed but always runs an honest race and might sneak into the placings
4 TIME TO PRAY $51 had every hope to break maiden status last week and just battled when the heat came on, unplaced in all 16 career starts so prefer others
5 ARTIFICE $8 dead set money muncher (look at starting price at past 6 starts) so despite this being her easiest assignment for a while you just can't back her as will be under the odds again. Must include if taking exotics though
6 MAGNIFICANTCAMELOT $11 another good run last time, draw is awkward but will be in the finish with even luck
7 MODERN SOCIETY $4.5 ex Victorian having first start for the Hodges camp and simply have to respect that as the stable is on fire currently. Has also trialled well recently so is a huge watch
8 DAINTY SUNRISE $101 race form is ordinary to say the least and whilst she hasn't been too bad at the trials this draw just makes her task a forlorn one
---------- Second Row ----------
9 WATTLE CREEK $34 another who has more ability than form suggests and if gets a soft run here may sneak into the exotics
10 HERNANDES $101 yet to be placed and didn't do much when resuming
11 HESADIEBERKNIGHT $17 going a lot better than form suggests and whilst the draw makes it tough is a must for exotics
12 SHEZA WESTERN ROSE $34 has some ability but manners have let her down but looks too hard from this draw over the mile
Ratings 1/7/5/6/11/3/2/9
Race 2
1 BARKERS RUN $17 much improved run last time and although this is a tougher race is still an EW chance
3 ANOPTOMIST $9 well deserved win last time, is a tad limited ability wise but never runs a bad race and if found the pegs here would take some running down
4 LITTLE ELF $17 disappointed at past 3 runs after promising a bit at first few runs in the state, another who lacks speed but may improve back to a front line draw
5 MATAI NIGEL NZ $17 good run when resuming when did his share of work and boxed on well, going to have to work from this gate also so place best again
6 STEELINGTON NZ $51 in all Tasmanian runs without doing anything to write home about and this looks too tough from this gate been honest
7 LISKENS GIFT $17 good run last week when did plenty of work and refused to lie down, yet another who keeps trying and place only from out here
8 EMPTY ENVELOPE $2.0 won in the manner of a very good horse first up and its worth noting the horse who had the cold sit on him and couldn't get near him (El Jays Modeena) came out and won a good mares race last week. Bit of speed under him so draw is tricky but still looks too good for them
---------- Second Row ----------
9 THE JOUSTER $7 going very well but draw is horrendous for his chances, will need a ton of luck to win and whilst he might get it he is more than likely to get buried 3 to 4 back on the pegs so doubt he can win but is a must include for exotics
10 RUBYS LIFE $26 won a weak race here 2 starts back then wasn't too bad last time, need plenty of luck to figure but can't rule out completely
11 PRETTYBOYTOBY $34 went a bit better last week but still not going as well as he can and whilst he can always surprise I want to see him show a glimmer of his old form first
12 BRO TOWN NZ $34 not much went right last week and whilst he is up to most of these on the score of ability he really needs to draw well to figure
Ratings 8/3/9/1/4/5/7/2
Race 3
1 OUR SIR LEW $11 one paced type resuming and be some hope if held the front but best form has always been when driven by Nat Emery so prefer place only
2 RUSHIN COURAGE NZ $2.2 been ODM in both Tasmanian starts so far and runs have been very good. Is now back in the draw and I can recall him racing in Victoria and did have very good gatespeed so if he led here over the mile and ran up to previous runs he would almost be a good thing. Pretty keen on him actually
3 EARL HICKEY $34 not going well enough
4 COMMANDER DATA $51 has a bit of gatespeed but best form is always been around Devonport so look for him there
5 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA $13 honest type who probably isn't going as well as he was a couple of months back but still in the mix for exotics
6 THE BULLIONAIRE $34 disappointing last week but was used out of the gate and has always raced best when driven cold so may improve but would want to
7 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA $26 runs his best races when drawn to lead so place at best from out here
8 IN CRUISE MODE $34 ran a number of cheeky races in good fields last time in and whilst the draw makes it nigh on impossible is worth keeping an eye on as a future form reference
---------- Second Row ----------
9 DENVERS BOY $5 model of consistency who hasn't finished worse than 4th at past 9 runs but draws the worst possible gate for him here. Still have to respect despite the draw as is going well enough to win should the breaks go his way
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $11 form has tapered off at past couple and tends to race best in front but follows out the likely leader here so should get a good run through and be competitive from there
11 GLORY IS ILLUSIVE $26 best run in ages last time but going to need plenty of luck from here
12 MI MADEMOISELLE $26 making too many mistakes of late and would need to be on best behaviour to even rate a place chance from this draw
Ratings 2/9/10/1/5
Race 4
1 KING OF BLING $6 loves the mile trip and is certain to lead early then probably hand over to a horse of its choosing that will take him to the straight. If he gets the right split in the straight may surprise
2 OPERATIVE DELIGHT $34 now a 10yo and is resuming from a 2 year spell so prefer to watch
3 MURILLO BROMAC NZ $13 honest type who keeps coming, need everything to work out perfectly to win but won't be far away
4 THE MUSICS OVER NZ $3.2 disappointed last time but on previous form would still be the one to beat so giving one more chance
5 DODGERMEMATE $11 promised a bit last campaign but whilst this is easier than other runs this time in he still hasn't done a lot so place only until he shows a glimpse of his old form
6 BUBBAS A FAKE $3.2 enormous win last time but is a frustrating horse as can do plenty wrong. If she turns up on her "A" game will go mighty close again
7 GRACIE HART $8 opportunist mare who will be driven for one run at them and if the leaders overdo things may be the fresh horse late
8 DOWN TOWN BABE $17 resuming and has plenty of ability when right but this is tough first up from out here
Ratings 4/6/1/7/5/3/8
Race 5
1 MAGGIE KENNEDY $3.0 last season's champion Tasmanian filly resuming, tough race but from this gate over this trip will be right in the finish
2 OUR ZELLWEGER NZ $6 extremely disappointing last campaign when did nothing but has trialled okay this time in so from this draw must be respected
3 SANREOS $15 as honest as the day is long but reckon she will find a couple of these too nippy late
4 BIGGERNBETTERMAX $4.5 another who lacks really high speed but is yet to miss a place in 13 starts so again won't be far away
5 REMEMBERPREECE $8 well driven to win last time, this is harder and draw is some concern also so prefer as a place chance
6 BAYFIELD HIGH $51 going okay but needs it weaker
7 HELL FIRE BOY $11 interesting runner who resumes and been pretty good at the trials, can get it wrong at times and the draw makes things tough but certainly has ability
8 WINGSOFANEAGLE $21 going well enough to be competitive but from this draw will need plenty of things to go his way, one for exotics
---------- Second Row ----------
9 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $51 been ordinary at both runs since resuming and prefer others despite drawing to get a pretty good trip
10 SECRET RENDEZVOUS ($5,000) $11 enigmatic beast who mixes his form, super win last time and from this good trailing draw may be the blowout horse again if the favs overdo things up front
Ratings 1/4/2/5/10/7/3
Race 6
2 NIGHT IN VEGAS $2.2 gets her best draw this time in and has been close up recently, really gets her chance from this gate
3 EL JAYS MODEENA $3.5 good win last week and this is no tougher so is a great chance again
4 CHASSYS BEST $51 simply not up to this class
5 SHIRNELL $51 another who is outclassed
6 WEEMALANEWS $34 not much luck last time but still too tough from out here
7 BLACKTIE AFFAIR $5 right up to these on ability and despite the tricky draw will be a major chance with even luck
8 THABELA BRIOSO $9 really going well at the moment, may have to work hard from the gate but still going too well to dismiss
---------- Second Row ----------
9 CYCLONE DYNASTY $34 draws to get a soft run but struggling for best form
Ratings 2/3/7/8
Race 7
1 DANCE OF THE DEITY $15 draws to trail the speed so a must for exotics as he simply loves that type of trip
2 MAJESTIC EMPEROR $9 much improved run last time and might be the leader here and if gets it soft over the mile trip may surprise
3 ALLA BREVE scr
4 KINGS A COACH $17 did trial okay recently but prefer place only
5 CASTASPELL $34 this looks too tough
6 REDSIDE SHREK $13 galloped when resuming and run was actually very good, has tons of ability at best so keep safe
7 ULOS $21 going okay but the draw really hampers his hopes
8 BABYITSU $5 resuming and also has a bad gate but did trial very well last week and he might be able to work to the death without expending too much juice here as not a very quick front line
---------- Second Row ----------
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $34 this is tougher than past few but might run into exotics with a cheap pegs run
10 ANGUS MCGREGOR $34 starting to show glimpses of his best but still hard to be enthused from the 2nd row draw
11 OUR SIR JECKYL $5 another resuming and was probably the best horse in Tassie at the end of last campaign, from this draw will need the right run but is simply too classy to leave out
12 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ $3.5 been the measuring stick at this level all season, horror draw for a mile race but given even luck in running will take a stack of holding out
Ratings 12/8/11/2/6/1/3
Race 8
1 HAMISH SANZ $7 big strong colt who lacks high speed so draw is a big issue here as if gets buried on the pegs will take an age to wind up
2 PUT MBACK $9 probably not as talented as some others in the race but is likely to be first to the pegs and is going to get the best run so is a must for exotics
3 KARALTA WIZARD $3.8 typical honest run when resuming and gets Gareth here, you would think that he would derive benefit from the first up run and will go very close here as is super tough
4 PACKEDTOTHERAFTERS $3.8 very good run on debut when stiff not to win, this race is much tougher but he has trialled well since so is a huge watch
5 JUST DANCE BABY $7 still a maiden but has yet to run a bad race, very even field this and given even luck from the draw will be right in the finish again
6 CODIE KARALTA $4.5 half sister to Villagem who oozes talent but still does plenty wrong, by the end of the season she might develop into a very good horse but still plenty of chinks to iron out. Too good to dismiss though as would probably win with a foolproof display but has a few issues currently. Is a huge watch first up
Ratings 3/4/6/5/1/2
Devonport Summary
Not much to report, same story as most other Devonport meetings actually. Barrier draws win races so leaders dominate and some horses also grow a leg there like Bajardo River.
Horses to Follow
Prince Calaf, times weren't flash but could have won by a lot further than he did. With his early speed he is sure to be competitive in anything he contests if he draws well
Bonny Wee Laddie, probably the run of the night when you consider he was 3 and 4 wide the last lap and they finished off in 58.4 which is low flying around Devonport. Sure to pick up another claimer soon
Drive of the Night
Keith Toulmin (Bajardo River), was picture perfect actually, drew next to the fav and followed her all the way and showed good patience to not pull out too early. Also thought his drive on Murphys Rocket was the 2nd best performance for the night.
Adrian Duggan showed how to drive a leader with Forty Two Grand, he kept the speed on and made all his main dangers work from their handicaps. See way too many drivers go slowly on leaders believing that maximises their chances when a lot of the time it just lets their dangers into the race. Especially in stand starts you can keep the speed on as you are not burning out of the mobile early so generally get a softer lead. Gareth Rattray didn't drive a winner but both his drives on Smileuponus and Look Look were good enough to win.
Driver votes
3. K Toulmin
2. A Duggan
1. G Rattray
Horses to Follow
Prince Calaf, times weren't flash but could have won by a lot further than he did. With his early speed he is sure to be competitive in anything he contests if he draws well
Bonny Wee Laddie, probably the run of the night when you consider he was 3 and 4 wide the last lap and they finished off in 58.4 which is low flying around Devonport. Sure to pick up another claimer soon
Drive of the Night
Keith Toulmin (Bajardo River), was picture perfect actually, drew next to the fav and followed her all the way and showed good patience to not pull out too early. Also thought his drive on Murphys Rocket was the 2nd best performance for the night.
Adrian Duggan showed how to drive a leader with Forty Two Grand, he kept the speed on and made all his main dangers work from their handicaps. See way too many drivers go slowly on leaders believing that maximises their chances when a lot of the time it just lets their dangers into the race. Especially in stand starts you can keep the speed on as you are not burning out of the mobile early so generally get a softer lead. Gareth Rattray didn't drive a winner but both his drives on Smileuponus and Look Look were good enough to win.
Driver votes
3. K Toulmin
2. A Duggan
1. G Rattray
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Devonport Tips
Without much confidence these are my top picks in each race prior to seeing what occurs with betting, just not exposed form to be confident with some many horses resuming
R1#11 Line The Pocket
R2#1 Modern Angel
R3#3 Chanceabet
R4#4 Ronnie Rat
R5#2 Kept Calm
R6#1 Inchbyinch
R7#9 Just Make Our Deigh
R8#8 Lola Bromac
Best Bet:
R4#4 Ronnie Rat - should be $3.50 min I hope
Also like R1#11 but hard to be confident drawn there around Devonport and good tip around for both the 1 and the 3 so might be a decent exotics bet
Will try and make time to post some live bets but won't be investing too much at all
My Quaddie
4,5,8,9
1,2,8
1,2
Field
R1#11 Line The Pocket
R2#1 Modern Angel
R3#3 Chanceabet
R4#4 Ronnie Rat
R5#2 Kept Calm
R6#1 Inchbyinch
R7#9 Just Make Our Deigh
R8#8 Lola Bromac
Best Bet:
R4#4 Ronnie Rat - should be $3.50 min I hope
Also like R1#11 but hard to be confident drawn there around Devonport and good tip around for both the 1 and the 3 so might be a decent exotics bet
Will try and make time to post some live bets but won't be investing too much at all
My Quaddie
4,5,8,9
1,2,8
1,2
Field
Devonport Preview - Wed Nov 3
Undoubtedly the hardest meeting I have ever tried to assess with seemingly half the field in every race resuming from a spell so be treading very warily betting wise. It does show however that Tassie Harness Racing is relatively healthy with full fields in every race and an 8 race program. The other thing to note is that all races are worth $5000 despite it clearly being a secondary meeting in the eyes of participants - just wanted to point that out as $5000 is the exact amount that all country races are run for in Victoria which shows how bad they are going currently.
My stats actually show that Devonport is the best place for me to bet as due to the nature of the track the speed map means just as much as the formguide but this meeting is simply too hard. I gave up an race 7 in the end, if you are taking a quad or a double with that race then take the field as impossible to rule any horse out.
Race 1
1 SCARLETT BLAZE $4 has run some terrific races at times this season but past couple have just been a tad below best. From this gate though is a leading hope as if he led and raced at his best would win for sure
2 THE ACES $9 raced without luck last campaign so ignore the figure form as right in this on best form. Must respect at first run back
3 ELLIE LATTE $4.5 first starter who trialled very well here recently and also chased home a couple of smart ones at the trials prior to that so is a huge watch
4 NO TIME TO DREAM $34 resuming and whilst she did race some handy ones last time in this still looks too tough
5 JOEY MERCURY NZ $26 has run some cheeky races at times but from this gate first up prepared to risk
6 SURPRISE PURCHASE $8 goes best when drawn to lead and mighty hard to do that from this barrier at Devonport but will be going forward early and if found the front would be a huge chance and still a rough hope if doesn't lead as can work in his races
---------- Second Row ----------
7 APACHE ALBA $21 wasn't too bad last time and draws to take the cheap way home so one for exotics
8 TENT PEG (Em 1)
9 TRELAWNEY $51 first starter and been pretty plain at the trials
10 REALLY IMATIGERESS $26 has some ability but may find it tough from this draw, not the worst
11 LINE THE POCKET NZ $3.8 simply enormous last time against better than these making up a ton of ground in a 28.8 closing split. Hard to be confident from this draw around here though but take a ton of beating with even luck
Ratings 11/1/3?/6/2/7
Race 2
1 MODERN ANGEL $2.2 is a filly taking on the boys and has a lot of ability but can get it wrong at times, showed some early speed at last run so if led up here would be entitled to start fav
2 PUBLICAN PETE $2.8 resuming and has been in the market at every run and also been competitive. Would need to be at the top of his game if the pole led but still clearly the main danger
3 THE JET $15 resumes without a trial and did run well at debut 3 starts back so keeping relatively safe whilst fresh despite finishing last at his 2 subsequent runs
4 PARKMOUNT LADY $34 first starter who hasn't set the world on fire at the trials
5 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51 had 4 starts and never looked likely, wait until she shows something
6 BENJI VEE $11 won his first 2 starts as an early 2YO but hasn't been placed in 8 subsequent runs, however his first up run wasn't too bad in a stronger race so if gets any luck from the barrier may surprise
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ZIMERO $34 form on paper reads 7444 which doesn't look too bad but in reality its last, 2nd last, last and last so isn't as impressive as it seems. Has finished close up a few times though and trials haven't been awful so with the trailing draw maybe one for the first four
8 BARE ROCK BOY $21 was in the market on debut when got it wrong and hasn't trialled so hard to assess but from the 2nd row am prepared to risk unless there is some major backing for him
9 SMILEUPONUS $9 good run in a strong race last time, certainly has her share of ability but manners let her down currently. If puts it together is a good place prospect though
Ratings 1/2/9/6/3/8/7
Race 3
1 PRINCE CALAF $8 ex Victorian with average form but joins in form stable and has gatespeed which is a huge positive around here. Big watch
2 TRULY BLISSFULL $4 inconsistent mare who has plenty of ability at best, trial form only looks fair on paper but too good to dismiss
3 CHANCEABET $3.5 tough pacer who has run a couple of shockers this time in but outside of those runs has form good enough to win this, will get put into the race and provided he is on his game will take plenty of beating
4 ULTIMATE SECRET $21 another resuming but only had average form last time in so prepared to risk
5 WINDY WINGS $15 had support but didn't do much at first Tassie run, obviously doing something to justify the support so keeping safer than form suggests. Also engaged in Hobart Sunday
6 JANSZOON $6 both Tassie runs have been okay in better company, will probably have to circle the field to win here which is a big ask but is in the mix
---------- Second Row ----------
7 BENJAMIN SHANNON $26 yet another horse resuming off average form, draws to get a cheap run but place looks best
8 COMMANDER DATA $26 usually goes okay here but best runs have been when drawn to use its gatespeed so wait for a front row draw
9 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $15 going better than form suggests, 3 wide the trip in a much harder race last time. Draw does it no favours but will appreciate the drop in class and may surprise
10 ROCKY CREEK $11 excellent run when resuming and did plenty of work in the run and boxed on bravely, another who is best suited when drawn the front but has some hope if can work into the race
Ratings 3/2/6/1/10/9
Race 4
1 NIBEBO ($5,000) $21 form is average to say the least but isn't going quite as bad as it seems. Wouldn't surprise to see him bob up in the placings if does everything right
2 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $17 resuming for a new stable and whilst he he usually a reliable stand performer (led at past 4 stand start runs) his form prior to a spell was average and he isn't getting any younger so prefer to watch
3 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $11 just continues to run an honest race every week, needs a bit to go his way to win but certainly won't shirk the task
4 RONNIE RAT ($5,000) $4 looks extremely well graded dropping back from FFA grade and usually loves stand starts, if he led he shouldn't get beaten. Looks a decent buy at the price to be honest
5 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $5 the king of the claimers who has won 8 of past 13 at this level and been placed 2nd on another 3 occasions but has led the majority of the time and there is plenty of speed under him here so prepared to risk a little. Too honest to leave out though and if led again would go mighty close
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $21 went too poorly last time to be a factor here
---------- Second Row ----------
7 MY CENTURION NZ ($5,000) $15 usually runs an honest race so might sneak into the placings
8 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $6 well graded on best form but was a shade disappointing last time but still wasn't too bad. Will be around the mark somewhere
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($7,000) $4 has had races run to suit and been well driven to capitalise at past 2 when has smashed them, he is flying at the moment and if the leaders run it truly again which looks some chance then he would be the one to beat
Ratings 4/9/8/5/3/field
Race 5
1 AS YOU WISH $7 loves to follow speed and with his stablemate drawn gate 2 he is likely to get every hope, if the split comes he might blouse them late
2 KEPT CALM $3.5 led and got nabbed on the line in a harder race last time (finished off in 58.6), if he leads around here will take a ton of running down
3 OUR SIR THOMAS $15 sit/sprint type resuming and would be competitive in this at best but prefer place only
4 BORNFIRST $34 generally goes well on this track but past few have been ordinary so wait until he shows something
5 SPECIAL GALLENTI $11 been racing in good form but goes best when drawn to lead and would be the one to beat if he did lead but doubt he will get over here so may struggle as tends to pull hard when he doesn't lead
6 PAV AND KIM (Em 1)
---------- Second Row ----------
7 IN CRUISE MODE $15 resuming and has plenty of ability at best, likely to be buried on pegs from here though so will need plenty of luck to figure
8 CRASH CART $3.5 bolted in last time after a dream run in transit, follows out a quick beginner here so looks likely to enjoy a similar run again. Hard to beat
9 KING ALBERT $17 this is the easiest race he has met in a long time but its also a long time since he won, one for exotics
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $9 unsuited by the tempo last week when unable to work into race, will obviously need it run to suit to figure from this draw but going as well as anything
11 TROJAN CALM NZ $34 didn't do a lot when resuming and whilst is well up to this race on best form its hard to make a case from this gate
Ratings 2/8/1/10/5/9/7/3
Race 6
1 INCHBYINCH $2.2 disappointing animal who looked like becoming a fair horse when younger, still draws to lead here and take a ton of running down
2 CELTIC LEGEND $6 honest type who is always thereabouts, doesn't win out of turn but will be around the placings somewhere
3 PRINCESS GANGSTER $26 resumes and wasn't too bad at first couple of starts but prefer to see
4 RAMSAYS FURY $15 was actually a fair run last week when resuming, might be value for exotics
5 SPACE KNIGHT $51 form simply isn't good enough to feature from this gate
6 JUST LIKE THUNDER $6 resuming and generally is competitive but the draw makes it tough
---------- Second Row ----------
7 POP BILLY (Em 1)
8 DREAM OF THE WEST $15 one paced mare who whacks away all day, draws to follow the speed here though so looms as a distinct place chance
9 LOOK LOOK $21 ran a couple of decent races earlier in the season and hasn;t had the best of luck of late, might run a race at odds with luck
10 INTHENICKOFTIME $21 another who is going better than form suggests, probably can't win but will certainly be including in exotics
11 PROVENANCE $7 well up to winning this on best form but is resuming and has a horror gate to overcome, has also broken at past 3 starts so needs to be taken on trust a bit. Maybe just watch him with an eye to the future betting wise
Ratings 1/2/11/7/6/4/9/10
Race 7
1 MISTER GALLENTI $4 stand is a bit of a query as with a lot of runners here but is going well so if steps its a huge advantage in a 2200m race around here
2 FORTY TWO GRAND $6 changed stables after being claimed last week, recent efforts have been honest and some hope by the very nature of the race
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $6 been ordinary in all Tasmanian runs so far, has had a break though so might go better this time in as raced and beat decent horses in Victoria prior to coming to Tassie. Watch betting
4 MOLLIE FINN $11 fair run when resuming when had every hope and battled away, would need to do everything right to be a winning hope but can't rule her out
5 PENNYS DRAGON $17 be well up to this class on best form but recent form has been below par, last run was a touch better though so might be ready to show something
6 SWEETEN THE POT $7 form tapered off at the end of last campaign but resumes here and at her best would be very competitive. Watch market
7 GRAND BROOK $17 honest type who is never far away but rarely wins so place may be best
8 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $5 appeared to have his chance last time but they did run 1.59 so may have gone better than it looked in hindsight, will need to do everything right from here but is still one of a host of winning hopes
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $5 well backed at FFA level last time when led and faded, the handicap makes things tough here but clearly well up to this on class
10 DODGERMEMATE $8 another who looks well graded but I can't emphasisie enough how tough it is to win from handicaps around Devonport, still must include as is simply better than most of them
Ratings Simply too hard, definite field job
Race 8
1 LITTLE MISS AJAY $26 has run the occasional good race in the past but simply didn't do enough first up to rate a chance even from this draw around here
2 KOIZORA $4 looks the leader which is always a plus around here, if she gets left alone might become the one to beat
3 MIGHTY MYF $34 form simply isn't good enough
4 SASSY RULER $8 honest mare resuming, lacks a bit of speed but never shirks the task so a must for exotics
5 DAINTY SUNRISE $51 need a massive improvement on recent form
6 ROCK THE POCKET NZ $7 not well drawn but been finishing close up with the other favs recently so some hope with luck
---------- Second Row ----------
7 KATES ALLY $13 has pulled very hard at all Tassie runs, wouldn't be surprised to see improvement at first start back
8 LOLA BROMAC NZ $1.80 looks well placed here, has good trailing draw and clearly the one to beat
9 BAJARDO RIVER $17 always races well here so despite being pretty plain of late she might bob up into the placings
Ratings 8/2/6/4/9/7
My stats actually show that Devonport is the best place for me to bet as due to the nature of the track the speed map means just as much as the formguide but this meeting is simply too hard. I gave up an race 7 in the end, if you are taking a quad or a double with that race then take the field as impossible to rule any horse out.
Race 1
1 SCARLETT BLAZE $4 has run some terrific races at times this season but past couple have just been a tad below best. From this gate though is a leading hope as if he led and raced at his best would win for sure
2 THE ACES $9 raced without luck last campaign so ignore the figure form as right in this on best form. Must respect at first run back
3 ELLIE LATTE $4.5 first starter who trialled very well here recently and also chased home a couple of smart ones at the trials prior to that so is a huge watch
4 NO TIME TO DREAM $34 resuming and whilst she did race some handy ones last time in this still looks too tough
5 JOEY MERCURY NZ $26 has run some cheeky races at times but from this gate first up prepared to risk
6 SURPRISE PURCHASE $8 goes best when drawn to lead and mighty hard to do that from this barrier at Devonport but will be going forward early and if found the front would be a huge chance and still a rough hope if doesn't lead as can work in his races
---------- Second Row ----------
7 APACHE ALBA $21 wasn't too bad last time and draws to take the cheap way home so one for exotics
9 TRELAWNEY $51 first starter and been pretty plain at the trials
10 REALLY IMATIGERESS $26 has some ability but may find it tough from this draw, not the worst
11 LINE THE POCKET NZ $3.8 simply enormous last time against better than these making up a ton of ground in a 28.8 closing split. Hard to be confident from this draw around here though but take a ton of beating with even luck
Ratings 11/1/3?/6/2/7
Race 2
1 MODERN ANGEL $2.2 is a filly taking on the boys and has a lot of ability but can get it wrong at times, showed some early speed at last run so if led up here would be entitled to start fav
2 PUBLICAN PETE $2.8 resuming and has been in the market at every run and also been competitive. Would need to be at the top of his game if the pole led but still clearly the main danger
3 THE JET $15 resumes without a trial and did run well at debut 3 starts back so keeping relatively safe whilst fresh despite finishing last at his 2 subsequent runs
4 PARKMOUNT LADY $34 first starter who hasn't set the world on fire at the trials
5 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51 had 4 starts and never looked likely, wait until she shows something
6 BENJI VEE $11 won his first 2 starts as an early 2YO but hasn't been placed in 8 subsequent runs, however his first up run wasn't too bad in a stronger race so if gets any luck from the barrier may surprise
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ZIMERO $34 form on paper reads 7444 which doesn't look too bad but in reality its last, 2nd last, last and last so isn't as impressive as it seems. Has finished close up a few times though and trials haven't been awful so with the trailing draw maybe one for the first four
9 SMILEUPONUS $9 good run in a strong race last time, certainly has her share of ability but manners let her down currently. If puts it together is a good place prospect though
Ratings 1/2/9/6/3/8/7
Race 3
1 PRINCE CALAF $8 ex Victorian with average form but joins in form stable and has gatespeed which is a huge positive around here. Big watch
2 TRULY BLISSFULL $4 inconsistent mare who has plenty of ability at best, trial form only looks fair on paper but too good to dismiss
3 CHANCEABET $3.5 tough pacer who has run a couple of shockers this time in but outside of those runs has form good enough to win this, will get put into the race and provided he is on his game will take plenty of beating
4 ULTIMATE SECRET $21 another resuming but only had average form last time in so prepared to risk
5 WINDY WINGS $15 had support but didn't do much at first Tassie run, obviously doing something to justify the support so keeping safer than form suggests. Also engaged in Hobart Sunday
6 JANSZOON $6 both Tassie runs have been okay in better company, will probably have to circle the field to win here which is a big ask but is in the mix
---------- Second Row ----------
7 BENJAMIN SHANNON $26 yet another horse resuming off average form, draws to get a cheap run but place looks best
8 COMMANDER DATA $26 usually goes okay here but best runs have been when drawn to use its gatespeed so wait for a front row draw
9 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $15 going better than form suggests, 3 wide the trip in a much harder race last time. Draw does it no favours but will appreciate the drop in class and may surprise
10 ROCKY CREEK $11 excellent run when resuming and did plenty of work in the run and boxed on bravely, another who is best suited when drawn the front but has some hope if can work into the race
Ratings 3/2/6/1/10/9
Race 4
1 NIBEBO ($5,000) $21 form is average to say the least but isn't going quite as bad as it seems. Wouldn't surprise to see him bob up in the placings if does everything right
2 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $17 resuming for a new stable and whilst he he usually a reliable stand performer (led at past 4 stand start runs) his form prior to a spell was average and he isn't getting any younger so prefer to watch
3 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $11 just continues to run an honest race every week, needs a bit to go his way to win but certainly won't shirk the task
4 RONNIE RAT ($5,000) $4 looks extremely well graded dropping back from FFA grade and usually loves stand starts, if he led he shouldn't get beaten. Looks a decent buy at the price to be honest
5 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $5 the king of the claimers who has won 8 of past 13 at this level and been placed 2nd on another 3 occasions but has led the majority of the time and there is plenty of speed under him here so prepared to risk a little. Too honest to leave out though and if led again would go mighty close
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $21 went too poorly last time to be a factor here
---------- Second Row ----------
7 MY CENTURION NZ ($5,000) $15 usually runs an honest race so might sneak into the placings
8 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $6 well graded on best form but was a shade disappointing last time but still wasn't too bad. Will be around the mark somewhere
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($7,000) $4 has had races run to suit and been well driven to capitalise at past 2 when has smashed them, he is flying at the moment and if the leaders run it truly again which looks some chance then he would be the one to beat
Ratings 4/9/8/5/3/field
Race 5
1 AS YOU WISH $7 loves to follow speed and with his stablemate drawn gate 2 he is likely to get every hope, if the split comes he might blouse them late
2 KEPT CALM $3.5 led and got nabbed on the line in a harder race last time (finished off in 58.6), if he leads around here will take a ton of running down
3 OUR SIR THOMAS $15 sit/sprint type resuming and would be competitive in this at best but prefer place only
4 BORNFIRST $34 generally goes well on this track but past few have been ordinary so wait until he shows something
5 SPECIAL GALLENTI $11 been racing in good form but goes best when drawn to lead and would be the one to beat if he did lead but doubt he will get over here so may struggle as tends to pull hard when he doesn't lead
---------- Second Row ----------
7 IN CRUISE MODE $15 resuming and has plenty of ability at best, likely to be buried on pegs from here though so will need plenty of luck to figure
8 CRASH CART $3.5 bolted in last time after a dream run in transit, follows out a quick beginner here so looks likely to enjoy a similar run again. Hard to beat
9 KING ALBERT $17 this is the easiest race he has met in a long time but its also a long time since he won, one for exotics
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $9 unsuited by the tempo last week when unable to work into race, will obviously need it run to suit to figure from this draw but going as well as anything
11 TROJAN CALM NZ $34 didn't do a lot when resuming and whilst is well up to this race on best form its hard to make a case from this gate
Ratings 2/8/1/10/5/9/7/3
Race 6
1 INCHBYINCH $2.2 disappointing animal who looked like becoming a fair horse when younger, still draws to lead here and take a ton of running down
2 CELTIC LEGEND $6 honest type who is always thereabouts, doesn't win out of turn but will be around the placings somewhere
3 PRINCESS GANGSTER $26 resumes and wasn't too bad at first couple of starts but prefer to see
4 RAMSAYS FURY $15 was actually a fair run last week when resuming, might be value for exotics
5 SPACE KNIGHT $51 form simply isn't good enough to feature from this gate
6 JUST LIKE THUNDER $6 resuming and generally is competitive but the draw makes it tough
---------- Second Row ----------
8 DREAM OF THE WEST $15 one paced mare who whacks away all day, draws to follow the speed here though so looms as a distinct place chance
9 LOOK LOOK $21 ran a couple of decent races earlier in the season and hasn;t had the best of luck of late, might run a race at odds with luck
10 INTHENICKOFTIME $21 another who is going better than form suggests, probably can't win but will certainly be including in exotics
11 PROVENANCE $7 well up to winning this on best form but is resuming and has a horror gate to overcome, has also broken at past 3 starts so needs to be taken on trust a bit. Maybe just watch him with an eye to the future betting wise
Ratings 1/2/11/7/6/4/9/10
Race 7
2 FORTY TWO GRAND $6 changed stables after being claimed last week, recent efforts have been honest and some hope by the very nature of the race
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $6 been ordinary in all Tasmanian runs so far, has had a break though so might go better this time in as raced and beat decent horses in Victoria prior to coming to Tassie. Watch betting
4 MOLLIE FINN $11 fair run when resuming when had every hope and battled away, would need to do everything right to be a winning hope but can't rule her out
5 PENNYS DRAGON $17 be well up to this class on best form but recent form has been below par, last run was a touch better though so might be ready to show something
6 SWEETEN THE POT $7 form tapered off at the end of last campaign but resumes here and at her best would be very competitive. Watch market
7 GRAND BROOK $17 honest type who is never far away but rarely wins so place may be best
8 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $5 appeared to have his chance last time but they did run 1.59 so may have gone better than it looked in hindsight, will need to do everything right from here but is still one of a host of winning hopes
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $5 well backed at FFA level last time when led and faded, the handicap makes things tough here but clearly well up to this on class
10 DODGERMEMATE $8 another who looks well graded but I can't emphasisie enough how tough it is to win from handicaps around Devonport, still must include as is simply better than most of them
Ratings Simply too hard, definite field job
Race 8
1 LITTLE MISS AJAY $26 has run the occasional good race in the past but simply didn't do enough first up to rate a chance even from this draw around here
2 KOIZORA $4 looks the leader which is always a plus around here, if she gets left alone might become the one to beat
3 MIGHTY MYF $34 form simply isn't good enough
4 SASSY RULER $8 honest mare resuming, lacks a bit of speed but never shirks the task so a must for exotics
5 DAINTY SUNRISE $51 need a massive improvement on recent form
6 ROCK THE POCKET NZ $7 not well drawn but been finishing close up with the other favs recently so some hope with luck
---------- Second Row ----------
7 KATES ALLY $13 has pulled very hard at all Tassie runs, wouldn't be surprised to see improvement at first start back
8 LOLA BROMAC NZ $1.80 looks well placed here, has good trailing draw and clearly the one to beat
9 BAJARDO RIVER $17 always races well here so despite being pretty plain of late she might bob up into the placings
Ratings 8/2/6/4/9/7
Monday, November 1, 2010
Meeting Review - Hobart October 31
Horses to Follow
Flying Dubai, very emphatic win in a good depth race for that class. Will win more races this time in for sure
Hydehurst Boy, top effort after blowing the start and coming 5 wide. Only issue with him is that he is now ODM and loves to lead
Aapenon, simply forget he went around as had no luck and still ran very well. This trio finished miles in front of the rest which is also a pretty strong form reference
Alma Grant, simply has to win shortly as going too well not to
Flying Indi Air, very hard to win mile races from barrier 11 but she went mighty close, sure to win at mares level shortly
Drive of the Night
Ricky Duggan (Bide Your Time), might not have looked pretty being 3 wide without cover but a lot of drivers could learn from watching it. He had the leaders covered at the 300 but sat there for another 200 metres ensuring that he had something left in the straight instead of just grinding it out from a long way out and leaving himself a sitting shot. All his drives were perfect again - Flying Dubai won the race at the start when he got in front of Aapennon, Jet Black Flyer settled leaders back and had her chance in the straight, Flying Indi Air was 3 wide with cover and even Twograndahand and Rikkisu were perfectly positioned in the run if they were good enough
Kate MacLeod was stiff not to get a vote last week and showed good aggression early which resulted in Artifice handing up in a mile race which ultimately won her the race and Nathan Ford simply gave Marossi every possible hope
Driver Votes
3. R Duggan
2. K MacLeod
1. N Ford
Slaughter of the Night
Paul Williams, gets 2 votes here. (a) The Inhibitor - decides to come 4 wide at the bell and circle the 3 wide train. Obviously forgot he was driving a $40 pop and not a $1.40 pop as not surprising dropped dead and ran last. (b) Iden Justasmyrk, every time he death seats on this horse he tends to run the 3rd quarter quicker than the last which won't win you many races when you get up in class especially like last night where it was 28.7, 30.0, might get away with in lower grades when the horse is simply better than them but not when a decent horse is camped on you
Also wasn't too impressed with the decision to lead on Blacktie Affair (presume that the stewards were informed of the change of tactics). Can't blame the driver as instructions must have come from connections but the weird part was that she drew to get the perfect run as was certain to be the horse sitting on the back of Iden Justasmyrk in the run getting the run she loves instead of being the one copping pressure from him down the back. Just as a side note, the actual winner (Marossi) sat in exactly the same spot as Blacktie Affair should have and would have been in the run
Flying Dubai, very emphatic win in a good depth race for that class. Will win more races this time in for sure
Hydehurst Boy, top effort after blowing the start and coming 5 wide. Only issue with him is that he is now ODM and loves to lead
Aapenon, simply forget he went around as had no luck and still ran very well. This trio finished miles in front of the rest which is also a pretty strong form reference
Alma Grant, simply has to win shortly as going too well not to
Flying Indi Air, very hard to win mile races from barrier 11 but she went mighty close, sure to win at mares level shortly
Drive of the Night
Ricky Duggan (Bide Your Time), might not have looked pretty being 3 wide without cover but a lot of drivers could learn from watching it. He had the leaders covered at the 300 but sat there for another 200 metres ensuring that he had something left in the straight instead of just grinding it out from a long way out and leaving himself a sitting shot. All his drives were perfect again - Flying Dubai won the race at the start when he got in front of Aapennon, Jet Black Flyer settled leaders back and had her chance in the straight, Flying Indi Air was 3 wide with cover and even Twograndahand and Rikkisu were perfectly positioned in the run if they were good enough
Kate MacLeod was stiff not to get a vote last week and showed good aggression early which resulted in Artifice handing up in a mile race which ultimately won her the race and Nathan Ford simply gave Marossi every possible hope
Driver Votes
3. R Duggan
2. K MacLeod
1. N Ford
Slaughter of the Night
Paul Williams, gets 2 votes here. (a) The Inhibitor - decides to come 4 wide at the bell and circle the 3 wide train. Obviously forgot he was driving a $40 pop and not a $1.40 pop as not surprising dropped dead and ran last. (b) Iden Justasmyrk, every time he death seats on this horse he tends to run the 3rd quarter quicker than the last which won't win you many races when you get up in class especially like last night where it was 28.7, 30.0, might get away with in lower grades when the horse is simply better than them but not when a decent horse is camped on you
Also wasn't too impressed with the decision to lead on Blacktie Affair (presume that the stewards were informed of the change of tactics). Can't blame the driver as instructions must have come from connections but the weird part was that she drew to get the perfect run as was certain to be the horse sitting on the back of Iden Justasmyrk in the run getting the run she loves instead of being the one copping pressure from him down the back. Just as a side note, the actual winner (Marossi) sat in exactly the same spot as Blacktie Affair should have and would have been in the run
Devonport Preview - Wednesday November 3
Undoubtedly the hardest meeting I have ever tried to assess with seemingly half the field in every race resuming from a spell so be treading very warily betting wise. It does show however that Tassie Harness Racing is relatively healthy with full fields in every race and an 8 race program. The other thing to note is that all races are worth $5000 despite it clearly being a secondary meeting in the eyes of participants - just wanted to point that out as $5000 is the exact amount that all country races are run for in Victoria which shows how bad they are going currently.
My stats actually show that Devonport is the best place for me to bet as due to the nature of the track the speed map means just as much as the formguide but this meeting is simply too hard. I gave up an race 7 in the end, if you are taking a quad or a double with that race then take the field as impossible to rule any horse out.
Race 1
1 SCARLETT BLAZE $4 has run some terrific races at times this season but past couple have just been a tad below best. From this gate though is a leading hope as if he led and raced at his best would win for sure
2 THE ACES $9 raced without luck last campaign so ignore the figure form as right in this on best form. Must respect at first run back
3 ELLIE LATTE $4.5 first starter who trialled very well here recently and also chased home a couple of smart ones at the trials prior to that so is a huge watch
4 NO TIME TO DREAM $34 resuming and whilst she did race some handy ones last time in this still looks too tough
5 JOEY MERCURY NZ $26 has run some cheeky races at times but from this gate first up prepared to risk
6 SURPRISE PURCHASE $8 goes best when drawn to lead and mighty hard to do that from this barrier at Devonport but will be going forward early and if found the front would be a huge chance and still a rough hope if doesn't lead as can work in his races
---------- Second Row ----------
7 APACHE ALBA $21 wasn't too bad last time and draws to take the cheap way home so one for exotics
8 TENT PEG (Em 1)
9 TRELAWNEY $51 first starter and been pretty plain at the trials
10 REALLY IMATIGERESS $26 has some ability but may find it tough from this draw, not the worst
11 LINE THE POCKET NZ $3.8 simply enormous last time against better than these making up a ton of ground in a 28.8 closing split. Hard to be confident from this draw around here though but take a ton of beating with even luck
Ratings 11/1/3?/6/2/7
Race 2
1 MODERN ANGEL $1.80 is a filly taking on the boys and has a lot of ability but can get it wrong at times, showed some early speed at last run so if led up here would be entitled to start fav
2 PUBLICAN PETE $3.8 resuming and has been in the market at every run and also been competitive. Would need to be at the top of his game if the pole led but still clearly the main danger
3 THE JET $15 resumes without a trial and did run well at debut 3 starts back so keeping relatively safe whilst fresh despite finishing last at his 2 subsequent runs
4 PARKMOUNT LADY $34 first starter who hasn't set the world on fire at the trials
5 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51 had 4 starts and never looked likely, wait until she shows something
6 BENJI VEE $11 won his first 2 starts as an early 2YO but hasn't been placed in 8 subsequent runs, however his first up run wasn't too bad in a stronger race so if gets any luck from the barrier may surprise
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ZIMERO $34 form on paper reads 7444 which doesn't look too bad but in reality its last, 2nd last, last and last so isn't as impressive as it seems. Has finished close up a few times though and trials haven't been awful so with the trailing draw maybe one for the first four
8 BARE ROCK BOY $21 was in the market on debut when got it wrong and hasn't trialled so hard to assess but from the 2nd row am prepared to risk unless there is some major backing for him
9 SMILEUPONUS $11 good run in a strong race last time, certainly has her share of ability but manners let her down currently. If puts it together is a good place prospect though
Ratings 1/2/6/9/3/8/7
Race 3
1 PRINCE CALAF $6 ex Victorian with average form but joins in form stable and has gatespeed which is a huge positive around here. Big watch
2 TRULY BLISSFULL $4 inconsistent mare who has plenty of ability at best, hasn't trialled publicly for her return but is a must include
3 CHANCEABET $4 tough pacer who has run a couple of shockers this time in but outside of those runs has form good enough to win this, will get put into the race and provided he is on his game will take plenty of beating
4 ULTIMATE SECRET $21 another resuming but only had average form last time in so prepared to risk
5 WINDY WINGS $15 had support but didn't do much at first Tassie run, obviously doing something to justify the support so keeping safer than form suggests. Also engaged in Hobart Sunday
6 JANSZOON $7 both Tassie runs have been okay in better company, will probably have to circle the field to win here which is a big ask but is in the mix
---------- Second Row ----------
7 BENJAMIN SHANNON $21 yet another horse resuming off average form, draws to get a cheap run but place looks best
8 COMMANDER DATA $21 usually goes okay here but best runs have been when drawn to use its gatespeed so wait for a front row draw
9 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $15 going better than form suggests, 3 wide the trip in a much harder race last time. Draw does it no favours but will appreciate the drop in class and may surprise
10 ROCKY CREEK $11 excellent run when resuming and did plenty of work in the run and boxed on bravely, another who is best suited when drawn the front but has some hope if can work into the race
Ratings 3/2/1/6/10/9
Race 4
1 NIBEBO ($5,000) $21 form is average to say the least but isn't going quite as bad as it seems. Wouldn't surprise to see him bob up in the placings if does everything right
2 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $17 resuming for a new stable and whilst he he usually a reliable stand performer (led at past 4 stand start runs) his form prior to a spell was average and he isn't getting any younger so prefer to watch
3 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $11 just continues to run an honest race every week, needs a bit to go his way to win but certainly won't shirk the task
4 RONNIE RAT ($5,000) $4 looks extremely well graded dropping back from FFA grade and usually loves stand starts, if he led he shouldn't get beaten. Looks a decent buy at the price to be honest
5 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $5 the king of the claimers who has won 8 of past 13 at this level and been placed 2nd on another 3 occasions but has led the majority of the time and there is plenty of speed under him here so prepared to risk a little. Too honest to leave out though and if led again would go mighty close
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $21 went too poorly last time to be a factor here
---------- Second Row ----------
7 MY CENTURION NZ ($5,000) $15 usually runs an honest race so might sneak into the placings
8 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $6 well graded on best form but was a shade disappointing last time but still wasn't too bad. Will be around the mark somewhere
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($7,000) $4 has had races run to suit and been well driven to capitalise at past 2 when has smashed them, he is flying at the moment and if the leaders run it truly again which looks some chance then he would be the one to beat
Ratings 4/9/8/5/3/field
Race 5
1 AS YOU WISH $7 loves to follow speed and with his stablemate drawn gate 2 he is likely to get every hope, if the split comes he might blouse them late
2 KEPT CALM $3.5 led and got nabbed on the line in a harder race last time (finished off in 58.6), if he leads around here will take a ton of running down
3 OUR SIR THOMAS $15 sit/sprint type resuming and would be competitive in this at best but prefer place only
4 BORNFIRST $34 generally goes well on this track but past few have been ordinary so wait until he shows something
5 SPECIAL GALLENTI $8 been racing in good form but goes best when drawn to lead and would be the one to beat if he did lead but doubt he will get over here so may struggle as tends to pull hard when he doesn't lead
6 PAV AND KIM (Em 1)
---------- Second Row ----------
7 IN CRUISE MODE $15 resuming and has plenty of ability at best, likely to be buried on pegs from here though so will need plenty of luck to figure
8 CRASH CART $3.5 bolted in last time after a dream run in transit, follows out a quick beginner here so looks likely to enjoy a similar run again. Hard to beat
9 KING ALBERT $15 this is the easiest race he has met in a long time but its also a long time since he won, one for exotics
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $15 unsuited by the tempo last week when unable to work into race, will obviously need it run to suit to figure from this draw but going as well as anything
11 TROJAN CALM NZ $34 didn't do a lot when resuming and whilst is well up to this race on best form its hard to make a case from this gate
Ratings 2/8/1/5/10/9/7/3
Race 6
1 INCHBYINCH $2.0 disappointing animal who looked like becoming a fair horse when younger, still draws to lead here and take a ton of running down
2 CELTIC LEGEND $6 honest type who is always thereabouts, doesn't win out of turn but will be around the placings somewhere
3 PRINCESS GANGSTER $26 resumes and wasn't too bad at first couple of starts but prefer to see
4 RAMSAYS FURY $15 was actually a fair run last week when resuming, might be value for exotics
5 SPACE KNIGHT $51 form simply isn't good enough to feature from this gate
6 JUST LIKE THUNDER $11 resuming and generally is competitive but the draw makes it tough
---------- Second Row ----------
7 POP BILLY (Em 1)
8 DREAM OF THE WEST $15 one paced mare who whacks away all day, draws to follow the speed here though so looms as a distinct place chance
9 LOOK LOOK $21 ran a couple of decent races earlier in the season and hasn;t had the best of luck of late, might run a race at odds with luck
10 INTHENICKOFTIME $21 another who is going better than form suggests, probably can't win but will certainly be including in exotics
11 PROVENANCE $7 well up to winning this on best form but is resuming and has a horror gate to overcome, has also broken at past 3 starts so needs to be taken on trust a bit. Maybe just watch him with an eye to the future betting wise
Ratings 1/2/11/7/6/4/9/10
Race 7
1 MISTER GALLENTI $4 stand is a bit of a query as with a lot of runners here but is going well so if steps its a huge advantage in a 2200m race around here
2 FORTY TWO GRAND $8 changed stables after being claimed last week, recent efforts have been honest but still some hope by the very nature of the race
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $13 been ordinary in all Tasmanian runs so far, has had a break though so might go better this time in but would need to. Watch betting
4 MOLLIE FINN $9 fair run when resuming when had every hope and battled away, would need to do everything right to be a winning hope but can't rule her out
5 PENNYS DRAGON $13 be well up to this class on best form but recent form has been below par, last run was a touch better though so might be ready to show something
6 SWEETEN THE POT $7 form tapered off at the end of last campaign but resumes here and at her best would be very competitive. Watch market
7 GRAND BROOK $17 honest type who is never far away but rarely wins so place may be best
8 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $6 appeared to have his chance last time but they did run 1.59 so may have gone better than it looked in hindsight, will need to do everything right from here but is still one of a host of winning hopes
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $7 well backed at FFA level last time when led and faded, the handicap makes things tough here but clearly well up to this on class
10 DODGERMEMATE $9 another who looks well graded but I can't emphasisie enough how tough it is to win from handicaps around Devonport, still must include as is simply better than most of them
Ratings 1/?????????? Simply too hard, definite field job
Race 8
1 LITTLE MISS AJAY $26 has run the occasional good race in the past but simply didn't do enough first up to rate a chance even from this draw around here
2 KOIZORA $4 looks the leader which is always a plus around here, if she gets left alone might become the one to beat
3 MIGHTY MYF $34 form simply isn't good enough
4 SASSY RULER $8 honest mare resuming, lacks a bit of speed but never shirks the task so a must for exotics
5 DAINTY SUNRISE $51 need a massive improvement on recent form
6 ROCK THE POCKET NZ $7 not well drawn but been finishing close up with the other favs recently so some hope with luck
---------- Second Row ----------
7 KATES ALLY $13 has pulled very hard at all Tassie runs, wouldn't be surprised to see improvement at first start back
8 LOLA BROMAC NZ $1.80 looks well placed here, has good trailing draw and clearly the one to beat
9 BAJARDO RIVER $17 always races well here so despite being pretty plain of late she might bob up into the placings
Ratings 8/2/6/4/9/7
My stats actually show that Devonport is the best place for me to bet as due to the nature of the track the speed map means just as much as the formguide but this meeting is simply too hard. I gave up an race 7 in the end, if you are taking a quad or a double with that race then take the field as impossible to rule any horse out.
Race 1
1 SCARLETT BLAZE $4 has run some terrific races at times this season but past couple have just been a tad below best. From this gate though is a leading hope as if he led and raced at his best would win for sure
2 THE ACES $9 raced without luck last campaign so ignore the figure form as right in this on best form. Must respect at first run back
3 ELLIE LATTE $4.5 first starter who trialled very well here recently and also chased home a couple of smart ones at the trials prior to that so is a huge watch
4 NO TIME TO DREAM $34 resuming and whilst she did race some handy ones last time in this still looks too tough
5 JOEY MERCURY NZ $26 has run some cheeky races at times but from this gate first up prepared to risk
6 SURPRISE PURCHASE $8 goes best when drawn to lead and mighty hard to do that from this barrier at Devonport but will be going forward early and if found the front would be a huge chance and still a rough hope if doesn't lead as can work in his races
---------- Second Row ----------
7 APACHE ALBA $21 wasn't too bad last time and draws to take the cheap way home so one for exotics
8 TENT PEG (Em 1)
9 TRELAWNEY $51 first starter and been pretty plain at the trials
10 REALLY IMATIGERESS $26 has some ability but may find it tough from this draw, not the worst
11 LINE THE POCKET NZ $3.8 simply enormous last time against better than these making up a ton of ground in a 28.8 closing split. Hard to be confident from this draw around here though but take a ton of beating with even luck
Ratings 11/1/3?/6/2/7
Race 2
1 MODERN ANGEL $1.80 is a filly taking on the boys and has a lot of ability but can get it wrong at times, showed some early speed at last run so if led up here would be entitled to start fav
2 PUBLICAN PETE $3.8 resuming and has been in the market at every run and also been competitive. Would need to be at the top of his game if the pole led but still clearly the main danger
3 THE JET $15 resumes without a trial and did run well at debut 3 starts back so keeping relatively safe whilst fresh despite finishing last at his 2 subsequent runs
4 PARKMOUNT LADY $34 first starter who hasn't set the world on fire at the trials
5 SHEZALITTLERUSTLER $51 had 4 starts and never looked likely, wait until she shows something
6 BENJI VEE $11 won his first 2 starts as an early 2YO but hasn't been placed in 8 subsequent runs, however his first up run wasn't too bad in a stronger race so if gets any luck from the barrier may surprise
---------- Second Row ----------
7 ZIMERO $34 form on paper reads 7444 which doesn't look too bad but in reality its last, 2nd last, last and last so isn't as impressive as it seems. Has finished close up a few times though and trials haven't been awful so with the trailing draw maybe one for the first four
8 BARE ROCK BOY $21 was in the market on debut when got it wrong and hasn't trialled so hard to assess but from the 2nd row am prepared to risk unless there is some major backing for him
9 SMILEUPONUS $11 good run in a strong race last time, certainly has her share of ability but manners let her down currently. If puts it together is a good place prospect though
Ratings 1/2/6/9/3/8/7
Race 3
1 PRINCE CALAF $6 ex Victorian with average form but joins in form stable and has gatespeed which is a huge positive around here. Big watch
2 TRULY BLISSFULL $4 inconsistent mare who has plenty of ability at best, hasn't trialled publicly for her return but is a must include
3 CHANCEABET $4 tough pacer who has run a couple of shockers this time in but outside of those runs has form good enough to win this, will get put into the race and provided he is on his game will take plenty of beating
4 ULTIMATE SECRET $21 another resuming but only had average form last time in so prepared to risk
5 WINDY WINGS $15 had support but didn't do much at first Tassie run, obviously doing something to justify the support so keeping safer than form suggests. Also engaged in Hobart Sunday
6 JANSZOON $7 both Tassie runs have been okay in better company, will probably have to circle the field to win here which is a big ask but is in the mix
---------- Second Row ----------
7 BENJAMIN SHANNON $21 yet another horse resuming off average form, draws to get a cheap run but place looks best
8 COMMANDER DATA $21 usually goes okay here but best runs have been when drawn to use its gatespeed so wait for a front row draw
9 LIVIN N HEAVEN NZ $15 going better than form suggests, 3 wide the trip in a much harder race last time. Draw does it no favours but will appreciate the drop in class and may surprise
10 ROCKY CREEK $11 excellent run when resuming and did plenty of work in the run and boxed on bravely, another who is best suited when drawn the front but has some hope if can work into the race
Ratings 3/2/1/6/10/9
Race 4
1 NIBEBO ($5,000) $21 form is average to say the least but isn't going quite as bad as it seems. Wouldn't surprise to see him bob up in the placings if does everything right
2 PRINCE OF TARA NZ ($5,000) $17 resuming for a new stable and whilst he he usually a reliable stand performer (led at past 4 stand start runs) his form prior to a spell was average and he isn't getting any younger so prefer to watch
3 THE CHEROKEE CHIEF NZ ($5,000) $11 just continues to run an honest race every week, needs a bit to go his way to win but certainly won't shirk the task
4 RONNIE RAT ($5,000) $4 looks extremely well graded dropping back from FFA grade and usually loves stand starts, if he led he shouldn't get beaten. Looks a decent buy at the price to be honest
5 WATERLOO BAY ($5,000) $5 the king of the claimers who has won 8 of past 13 at this level and been placed 2nd on another 3 occasions but has led the majority of the time and there is plenty of speed under him here so prepared to risk a little. Too honest to leave out though and if led again would go mighty close
6 ROCK AND RUN ($5,000) $21 went too poorly last time to be a factor here
---------- Second Row ----------
7 MY CENTURION NZ ($5,000) $15 usually runs an honest race so might sneak into the placings
8 ALBERT JONES ($7,000) $6 well graded on best form but was a shade disappointing last time but still wasn't too bad. Will be around the mark somewhere
9 BONNY WEE LADDIE ($7,000) $4 has had races run to suit and been well driven to capitalise at past 2 when has smashed them, he is flying at the moment and if the leaders run it truly again which looks some chance then he would be the one to beat
Ratings 4/9/8/5/3/field
Race 5
1 AS YOU WISH $7 loves to follow speed and with his stablemate drawn gate 2 he is likely to get every hope, if the split comes he might blouse them late
2 KEPT CALM $3.5 led and got nabbed on the line in a harder race last time (finished off in 58.6), if he leads around here will take a ton of running down
3 OUR SIR THOMAS $15 sit/sprint type resuming and would be competitive in this at best but prefer place only
4 BORNFIRST $34 generally goes well on this track but past few have been ordinary so wait until he shows something
5 SPECIAL GALLENTI $8 been racing in good form but goes best when drawn to lead and would be the one to beat if he did lead but doubt he will get over here so may struggle as tends to pull hard when he doesn't lead
6 PAV AND KIM (Em 1)
---------- Second Row ----------
7 IN CRUISE MODE $15 resuming and has plenty of ability at best, likely to be buried on pegs from here though so will need plenty of luck to figure
8 CRASH CART $3.5 bolted in last time after a dream run in transit, follows out a quick beginner here so looks likely to enjoy a similar run again. Hard to beat
9 KING ALBERT $15 this is the easiest race he has met in a long time but its also a long time since he won, one for exotics
10 MURPHYS ROCKET $15 unsuited by the tempo last week when unable to work into race, will obviously need it run to suit to figure from this draw but going as well as anything
11 TROJAN CALM NZ $34 didn't do a lot when resuming and whilst is well up to this race on best form its hard to make a case from this gate
Ratings 2/8/1/5/10/9/7/3
Race 6
1 INCHBYINCH $2.0 disappointing animal who looked like becoming a fair horse when younger, still draws to lead here and take a ton of running down
2 CELTIC LEGEND $6 honest type who is always thereabouts, doesn't win out of turn but will be around the placings somewhere
3 PRINCESS GANGSTER $26 resumes and wasn't too bad at first couple of starts but prefer to see
4 RAMSAYS FURY $15 was actually a fair run last week when resuming, might be value for exotics
5 SPACE KNIGHT $51 form simply isn't good enough to feature from this gate
6 JUST LIKE THUNDER $11 resuming and generally is competitive but the draw makes it tough
---------- Second Row ----------
7 POP BILLY (Em 1)
8 DREAM OF THE WEST $15 one paced mare who whacks away all day, draws to follow the speed here though so looms as a distinct place chance
9 LOOK LOOK $21 ran a couple of decent races earlier in the season and hasn;t had the best of luck of late, might run a race at odds with luck
10 INTHENICKOFTIME $21 another who is going better than form suggests, probably can't win but will certainly be including in exotics
11 PROVENANCE $7 well up to winning this on best form but is resuming and has a horror gate to overcome, has also broken at past 3 starts so needs to be taken on trust a bit. Maybe just watch him with an eye to the future betting wise
Ratings 1/2/11/7/6/4/9/10
Race 7
1 MISTER GALLENTI $4 stand is a bit of a query as with a lot of runners here but is going well so if steps its a huge advantage in a 2200m race around here
2 FORTY TWO GRAND $8 changed stables after being claimed last week, recent efforts have been honest but still some hope by the very nature of the race
3 TELLMESOMETHINGOOD NZ $13 been ordinary in all Tasmanian runs so far, has had a break though so might go better this time in but would need to. Watch betting
4 MOLLIE FINN $9 fair run when resuming when had every hope and battled away, would need to do everything right to be a winning hope but can't rule her out
5 PENNYS DRAGON $13 be well up to this class on best form but recent form has been below par, last run was a touch better though so might be ready to show something
6 SWEETEN THE POT $7 form tapered off at the end of last campaign but resumes here and at her best would be very competitive. Watch market
7 GRAND BROOK $17 honest type who is never far away but rarely wins so place may be best
8 MIAMI ROCKET NZ $6 appeared to have his chance last time but they did run 1.59 so may have gone better than it looked in hindsight, will need to do everything right from here but is still one of a host of winning hopes
9 JUST MAKE OUR DEIGH NZ $7 well backed at FFA level last time when led and faded, the handicap makes things tough here but clearly well up to this on class
10 DODGERMEMATE $9 another who looks well graded but I can't emphasisie enough how tough it is to win from handicaps around Devonport, still must include as is simply better than most of them
Ratings 1/?????????? Simply too hard, definite field job
Race 8
1 LITTLE MISS AJAY $26 has run the occasional good race in the past but simply didn't do enough first up to rate a chance even from this draw around here
2 KOIZORA $4 looks the leader which is always a plus around here, if she gets left alone might become the one to beat
3 MIGHTY MYF $34 form simply isn't good enough
4 SASSY RULER $8 honest mare resuming, lacks a bit of speed but never shirks the task so a must for exotics
5 DAINTY SUNRISE $51 need a massive improvement on recent form
6 ROCK THE POCKET NZ $7 not well drawn but been finishing close up with the other favs recently so some hope with luck
---------- Second Row ----------
7 KATES ALLY $13 has pulled very hard at all Tassie runs, wouldn't be surprised to see improvement at first start back
8 LOLA BROMAC NZ $1.80 looks well placed here, has good trailing draw and clearly the one to beat
9 BAJARDO RIVER $17 always races well here so despite being pretty plain of late she might bob up into the placings
Ratings 8/2/6/4/9/7
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