My original best bet has been scratched (Call Me James) and there are tons of query runners in some races so without my normal degree of confidence at a Tassie meeting
R5#6 King Of Bling
Reckon he leads and wins
$50 Quaddie
4,9/1,6/11/5,6,7 for $20
4,9/1,6/4/5,6,7 for $10
4,9/1,6/1,3,5,8,9,10/5,6,7 for $20
Tips all races
R1#5 Biggernbettermax
R2#8 Hangover Joe (huge watch on pole horse though)
R3#7 Saab Quality
R4#4 In Cruise Mode
R5#6 King Of Bling
R6#11 Lugovoi Leis
R7#7 Cosmic Under Fire
R8#2 Enchanted Heart
Full preview is available a few posts earlier
Sunday, July 11, 2010
Saturday, July 10, 2010
Saturday Tip
Only like one horse all night and have to admit that unsure if it will be any value at all but thought I may as well post it as a few might risk him from the bad gate
Newcastle
R5#11 Extreme Stature
As I said, its the only one I like and as a smart man once told me, you cannot invent value if it isn't there
Newcastle
R5#11 Extreme Stature
As I said, its the only one I like and as a smart man once told me, you cannot invent value if it isn't there
Friday, July 9, 2010
Friday Tip
Melton
R6#1 Ti Vogliobene
Full Launceston odds and ratings also completed for this Sunday's meeting a couple of posts earlier
R6#1 Ti Vogliobene
Full Launceston odds and ratings also completed for this Sunday's meeting a couple of posts earlier
Thursday, July 8, 2010
Trainer/Drivers, why do they bother???
This is a pet issue of mine but it annoys me no end to see good horses be ruined by average drivers and a couple of instances over the weekend just reinforced it to me. There are also a couple of bigger issues surrounding this as well in that it impacts the confidence of run of the mill punters which in turn stifles turnover.
I continually hear industry participants complain about lack of prizemoney in the industry but they refuse to put clearly superior reinsmen on their horses which would make the caper appear more professional. If they want to be paid like professionals, they first of all must act like a professional when doing their job.
I was watching Royal Verdict on Friday night get absolutely slaughtered by Ian Dornauf (who subsequently got 6 weeks for the drive) and it was almost laughable watching some of the decisions he made in the run:
- not use the horse's brilliant gate speed
- allow his only danger to run a 47.4 lead time and 66 first half
- hand up the death to a horse who was never going to take him into the race
- not pull out 3 wide when the train came at the bell
This is after all the same horse who crossed Devilish Smile at its previous run, copped a ton of pressure and still beat it home despite DS having the cold sit on him. Its blatantly obvious though as to why these tactics were adopted and that was quite simply to ensure the horse didn't have a gutbuster the week prior to a $100,000 final
Trainer/Drivers are banned in the USA for this exact reason, I am not saying that we need to go down this track but a professional driver would not risk their livelihood by giving an odds on pop a soft run. Ian Dornauf did cop a 6 week suspension for the drive but received a stay which will enable him to drive this week and if he drives the horse aggressively from gate 7 in the final this week then the punters who took the odds on last time should be rightly aggrieved. The other thing to consider is that any form analyst will tell you that the horse would be a "moral" with a top class driver but will find it tougher with Ian Dornauf aboard
The other instance occurred in Hobart on Sunday night where I was mighty keen on a horse (Iden Justasmyrk) but was mightily concerned by the "anchor" driving it in its trainer Paul Williams. Sure enough the horse won at around $4.50 but I had about 30% of what my bet would have been had it been driven by one of the top drivers in the state so was more annoyed than glad despite backing the winner. Paul Williams had an accident late last year and his horses were driven by Natalee Emery whilst he was out (who is in the top 3 drivers in the state in my opinion) and whilst he was out the results of the horses driven by Nat make interesting reading. I did a bit of research prior to the win last Sunday - wish I didn't as would have had more on :(, the results were as follows:
REDSIDE SHREK:
P Williams - 11 drives, 0 wins, 4 placings
N Emery - 6 drives, 5 wins, 1 placing
OUR SIR LEW
P Williams - 6 drives, 0 wins, 0 placings
N Emery - 2 drives, 2 wins
IDEN JUSTASMYRK
P Williams - 5 drives, 0 wins, 3 placings
N Emery - 3 drives, 2 wins, 1 placing
The results over the 12 month period are amazing, Nat had 11 drives for 9 wins and 2 2nds whilst Paul had 22 drives for 0 wins and 7 placings and this is just a single instance. There are also countless examples I could list when Gareth Rattray replaces a driver on a particular horse
I continually hear industry participants complain about lack of prizemoney in the industry but they refuse to put clearly superior reinsmen on their horses which would make the caper appear more professional. If they want to be paid like professionals, they first of all must act like a professional when doing their job.
I was watching Royal Verdict on Friday night get absolutely slaughtered by Ian Dornauf (who subsequently got 6 weeks for the drive) and it was almost laughable watching some of the decisions he made in the run:
- not use the horse's brilliant gate speed
- allow his only danger to run a 47.4 lead time and 66 first half
- hand up the death to a horse who was never going to take him into the race
- not pull out 3 wide when the train came at the bell
This is after all the same horse who crossed Devilish Smile at its previous run, copped a ton of pressure and still beat it home despite DS having the cold sit on him. Its blatantly obvious though as to why these tactics were adopted and that was quite simply to ensure the horse didn't have a gutbuster the week prior to a $100,000 final
Trainer/Drivers are banned in the USA for this exact reason, I am not saying that we need to go down this track but a professional driver would not risk their livelihood by giving an odds on pop a soft run. Ian Dornauf did cop a 6 week suspension for the drive but received a stay which will enable him to drive this week and if he drives the horse aggressively from gate 7 in the final this week then the punters who took the odds on last time should be rightly aggrieved. The other thing to consider is that any form analyst will tell you that the horse would be a "moral" with a top class driver but will find it tougher with Ian Dornauf aboard
The other instance occurred in Hobart on Sunday night where I was mighty keen on a horse (Iden Justasmyrk) but was mightily concerned by the "anchor" driving it in its trainer Paul Williams. Sure enough the horse won at around $4.50 but I had about 30% of what my bet would have been had it been driven by one of the top drivers in the state so was more annoyed than glad despite backing the winner. Paul Williams had an accident late last year and his horses were driven by Natalee Emery whilst he was out (who is in the top 3 drivers in the state in my opinion) and whilst he was out the results of the horses driven by Nat make interesting reading. I did a bit of research prior to the win last Sunday - wish I didn't as would have had more on :(, the results were as follows:
REDSIDE SHREK:
P Williams - 11 drives, 0 wins, 4 placings
N Emery - 6 drives, 5 wins, 1 placing
OUR SIR LEW
P Williams - 6 drives, 0 wins, 0 placings
N Emery - 2 drives, 2 wins
IDEN JUSTASMYRK
P Williams - 5 drives, 0 wins, 3 placings
N Emery - 3 drives, 2 wins, 1 placing
The results over the 12 month period are amazing, Nat had 11 drives for 9 wins and 2 2nds whilst Paul had 22 drives for 0 wins and 7 placings and this is just a single instance. There are also countless examples I could list when Gareth Rattray replaces a driver on a particular horse
Launceston odds and ratings, Sunday July 11
Few difficult races to assess early on with some query runners but looks a few decent bets later on in the night
Race 1
1 WHY TAKE TIME 34
2 BUDDY BEAUTY 17
3 INCHBYINCH 21
4 HES NO SAINT 51
5 BIGGERNBETTERMAX 3.2
6 LEGERWOOD CREEK 15
7 SPOT NINE 4.5
8 ITS A HOOT 13
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SING AND DANCE 3.5
Extremely difficult race to assess this with a huge query over the impeccably bred #5 Biggernbettermax who resumes from a 15 mth spell without a trial but form prior to a spell was good against some handy horses but the market is the only possible guide. #9 Sing And Dance has run 3 great races since resuming and as the sole 2nd row runner here should get a good run through early so despite taking on the boys is going to receive a good trip. #7 Spot Nine looms as the other winning hope after an impressive win when first up for the Hodges camp but from the draw is going to have to go back and come around the entire field so have him as 3rd pick purely on that basis. Of the rest, place hopes go to #8 Its A Hoot who is racing very well but draw is a major issue and #6 Legerwood Creek has been okay at past couple so might run into a place. #2 Buddy Beauty is very one paced but has to go into exotics as never far away and #3 Inchbyinch has been very ordinary of late but cannot be totally dismissed
Ratings 5,9/7/8/6/2/3
Race 2
1 GO TOP 4.5
2 MONITA EM 41
3 SAFE PROSPECT 11
4 HAMISH SANZ 8
5 BETTORS EXPRESS 6
6 MAJOR RULER 15
7 STONE SKIPPER 7
8 HANGOVER JOE 3.2
Another difficult race to sort out with little form to go on and they all look extremely even. I have no doubts that #8 Hangover Joe has the most ability of the raced ones but he has issues mentally in producing it so hard to jump into him but must still go on top. #1 Go Top has trialled okay and draws to get every hope. #5 Bettors Express has been competitive in these types of races in the past and #7 Stone Skipper has been backed and beaten a few times so prefer to wait until she actually produces it before including her and the trio of #3 Safe Prospect, #4 Hamish Sanz and #6 Major Ruler have all finished together in the same races lately. The only one I would totally discard is #2 Monita Em
Ratings 8/1/5/3,4,6,7
Race 3
1 DIEBERCHARGED 15
2 FOXYCLOUT 26
3 SATURDAY NIGHTS 3.8
4 ANOPTOMIST 17
5 WILLY PLAY 17
6 EL JAYS MODEENA 26
7 SAAB QUALITY 1.8
8 SAFINA LEIS 9
---------- Second Row ----------
9 PEACE CHIEF 51
The betting will tell the tale with this race as #7 Saab Quality is simply better than the raced brigade but runs into a very well bred first starter who has also trialled okay in #3 Saturday Nights. By virtue of performance #7 Saab Quality must go on top but you must respect #3 Saturday Fever if any support as is in a top stable and the only other foal out of the mare is the well performed Babyitsyu. Outside of that duo place hopes go to #8 Safina Leis who steps up from fillies class here and #1 Diebercharged whose form is better than it looks on paper. If playing exotics, also include #2 Foxyclout, #4 Anoptimist, #5 Willy Play and #6 El Jats Modeena in the mix
Ratings 7/3/1,8/2,4,5,6
Race 4
1 CANCELLARA 6
2 GOOD TO BE HOLME 67
3 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA 41
4 IN CRUISE MODE 3.5
5 BALENCIA 13
6 NEW YORK FELLA 34
7 SANREOS 34
8 BAD BOY VINNY 21
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GLENWOOD JASPER 4.5
10 MAROSSI 13
11 CURRYNROSES 7
12 COMMANDER DATA 101
The 2 top raters here in #4 In Cruise Mode and #9 Glenwood Jasper met in the same race midweek and ran the quinella and I thought Glenwood Jasper went better from its draw but will face the same problem here. That leaves #4 In Cruise Mode as the top pick as is very tough and if he found the front would almost be impossible to run down. #9 Glenwood Jasper is simply flying of late but having no luck at all but you have to include him as the luck will come one day. #1 Cancellara should get the perfect run from the draw and looks a good EW chance. The only other hopes appear to be the stablemates in #11 Currynroses and #5 Balencia who are both sure to receive their share of support but I have some reservations regarding the form out of their last race when they ran the quinella so have them as place hopes only. #10 Marossi is next best but would need a ton of luck to win
Ratings 4/9/1/11/5/10
Race 5
1 THE MUSICS OVER NZ 5.5
2 FORTY TWO GRAND 21
3 ADVANCE DUNDEE NZ 13
4 JONZAAK 21
5 TOPUP 15
6 KING OF BLING 2.5
7 LOADED TO RUN 7
8 FOR MY MUM MAGGIE NZ 34
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MURILLO BROMAC NZ 15
10 TOP PAIGE 8
Not much between the entire field here ability wise but in mile races the speed map is vitally important so have framed the market around that. #6 King Of Bling has exceptional gatespeed and looks the leader again and finished off in 27.1 the last time he led over the mile trip so have him as a clear top pick. #1 The Musics Over had the same draw when trailed King Of Bling last time and ran him to 3 metres on the line and should be in the same spot again and if the fav cops pressure will be in the right place. #7 Loaded To Run never runs a bad race and will be around the money again and the query runner is #10 Top Paige who has a great record in mile races but is resuming and has a 2nd row draw to overcome. Cannot totally discount any runner but would be surprised if anything outside of that quartet won
Ratings 6/1/7/10/field
Race 6
1 KAMWOOD KENNY 13
2 TOUCHWOOD FORTUNE 101
3 THE MUSICIAN 13
4 TOPOTHECLOUDS 4.5
5 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA 11
6 CALL ME JAMES scr
7 MONICAS NOTCH 41
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY 11
---------- Second Row ----------
9 STILL ROYAL 8
10 BAJARDO RIVER 17
11 LUGOVOI LEIS 2.5
12 DAVPASS 101
#6 Call Me James has come back to racing in fine fettle and looks the top pick here, he can go forward and make his own luck so will look the winner at some stage. #11 Lugovoi Leis is one dimensional in that must be driven cold but if he gets the right trip will be hard to hold out. #4 Topoftheclouds has travelled like a winner a couple of times lately and hasn't found the line so prepared to declare him a place prospect only. Outside of that trio, there are plenty of others with place prospects providing the breaks go their way in #1 Kamwood Kenny, #3 The Musician, #5 Touchwood Teeksta, #8 Prettyboytoby, #9 Still Royal and #10 Bajardo River
Ratings 6/11/4/1,3,5,8,9,10
Race 7
1 WINJAMMER scr
2 ALLA BREVE 13
3 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS 7
4 SHEZ RYLEYMAK scr
5 YUSHCHENKO LEIS 4.5
6 SKY TOWER 4
7 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ 2.2
#7 Cosmic Under Fire was attacked in front last time and did a super job to run 3rd and given a clean getaway here should be the one to beat. He rates on top of the stablemates in #5 Yuschenko Leis and #6 Sky Tower who actually both beat him home last time after having easier runs. It is interesting to note that Erin jumps onto Sky Tower here over the longer trip after having driven Yuschenko Leis in all races this season which may be a lead in itself as she is fighting out the female drivers title with Nat Emery. The other Hodges stablemate in #3 Gettysburg Address appears the only other winning hope with both the frontmarkers being disappointing of late but by the nature of stand start racing they cannot be totally discounted
Ratings 7/6/5/3/1,2
Race 8
1 JUSTABRITTMORE 17
2 ENCHANTED HEART 1.1
3 BROWN PAIGE 21
4 TENT PEG 101
5 SILENT JIM 26
6 LITTLE BLUEJEANS 21
7 DENVERS BOY scr
8 TOP PREMIER 51
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GO GO CISCO 51
10 AAPENNON 51
No hope of getting out in the last if you have to with #2 Enchanted Heart looking a stone bonking moral who has won 3 of his past 4 starts and just looks classes above this lot (outside of him, the rest of the field are a combined 153 starts for 1 win which probably best sums it up). Of the rest, #1 Justabrittmore has actually won a race, draws the pole and at his only Tasmanian run he wasn't too bad despite doing some things wrong. #3 Brown Paige must be driven for luck but is always a place hope, #6 Little Bluejeans ran the quinella with the fav last time but did have a cheap pegs run and find it tougher from out here and #5 Silent Jim was going okay earlier in the year but last few have been awful but maybe Gareth jumping on may rejuvenate him a bit
Ratings 2/1,3/5,6/field
Race 1
1 WHY TAKE TIME 34
2 BUDDY BEAUTY 17
3 INCHBYINCH 21
4 HES NO SAINT 51
5 BIGGERNBETTERMAX 3.2
6 LEGERWOOD CREEK 15
7 SPOT NINE 4.5
8 ITS A HOOT 13
---------- Second Row ----------
9 SING AND DANCE 3.5
Extremely difficult race to assess this with a huge query over the impeccably bred #5 Biggernbettermax who resumes from a 15 mth spell without a trial but form prior to a spell was good against some handy horses but the market is the only possible guide. #9 Sing And Dance has run 3 great races since resuming and as the sole 2nd row runner here should get a good run through early so despite taking on the boys is going to receive a good trip. #7 Spot Nine looms as the other winning hope after an impressive win when first up for the Hodges camp but from the draw is going to have to go back and come around the entire field so have him as 3rd pick purely on that basis. Of the rest, place hopes go to #8 Its A Hoot who is racing very well but draw is a major issue and #6 Legerwood Creek has been okay at past couple so might run into a place. #2 Buddy Beauty is very one paced but has to go into exotics as never far away and #3 Inchbyinch has been very ordinary of late but cannot be totally dismissed
Ratings 5,9/7/8/6/2/3
Race 2
1 GO TOP 4.5
2 MONITA EM 41
3 SAFE PROSPECT 11
4 HAMISH SANZ 8
5 BETTORS EXPRESS 6
6 MAJOR RULER 15
7 STONE SKIPPER 7
8 HANGOVER JOE 3.2
Another difficult race to sort out with little form to go on and they all look extremely even. I have no doubts that #8 Hangover Joe has the most ability of the raced ones but he has issues mentally in producing it so hard to jump into him but must still go on top. #1 Go Top has trialled okay and draws to get every hope. #5 Bettors Express has been competitive in these types of races in the past and #7 Stone Skipper has been backed and beaten a few times so prefer to wait until she actually produces it before including her and the trio of #3 Safe Prospect, #4 Hamish Sanz and #6 Major Ruler have all finished together in the same races lately. The only one I would totally discard is #2 Monita Em
Ratings 8/1/5/3,4,6,7
Race 3
1 DIEBERCHARGED 15
2 FOXYCLOUT 26
3 SATURDAY NIGHTS 3.8
4 ANOPTOMIST 17
5 WILLY PLAY 17
6 EL JAYS MODEENA 26
7 SAAB QUALITY 1.8
8 SAFINA LEIS 9
---------- Second Row ----------
9 PEACE CHIEF 51
The betting will tell the tale with this race as #7 Saab Quality is simply better than the raced brigade but runs into a very well bred first starter who has also trialled okay in #3 Saturday Nights. By virtue of performance #7 Saab Quality must go on top but you must respect #3 Saturday Fever if any support as is in a top stable and the only other foal out of the mare is the well performed Babyitsyu. Outside of that duo place hopes go to #8 Safina Leis who steps up from fillies class here and #1 Diebercharged whose form is better than it looks on paper. If playing exotics, also include #2 Foxyclout, #4 Anoptimist, #5 Willy Play and #6 El Jats Modeena in the mix
Ratings 7/3/1,8/2,4,5,6
Race 4
1 CANCELLARA 6
2 GOOD TO BE HOLME 67
3 TOUCHWOOD BUCKSTA 41
4 IN CRUISE MODE 3.5
5 BALENCIA 13
6 NEW YORK FELLA 34
7 SANREOS 34
8 BAD BOY VINNY 21
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GLENWOOD JASPER 4.5
10 MAROSSI 13
11 CURRYNROSES 7
12 COMMANDER DATA 101
The 2 top raters here in #4 In Cruise Mode and #9 Glenwood Jasper met in the same race midweek and ran the quinella and I thought Glenwood Jasper went better from its draw but will face the same problem here. That leaves #4 In Cruise Mode as the top pick as is very tough and if he found the front would almost be impossible to run down. #9 Glenwood Jasper is simply flying of late but having no luck at all but you have to include him as the luck will come one day. #1 Cancellara should get the perfect run from the draw and looks a good EW chance. The only other hopes appear to be the stablemates in #11 Currynroses and #5 Balencia who are both sure to receive their share of support but I have some reservations regarding the form out of their last race when they ran the quinella so have them as place hopes only. #10 Marossi is next best but would need a ton of luck to win
Ratings 4/9/1/11/5/10
Race 5
1 THE MUSICS OVER NZ 5.5
2 FORTY TWO GRAND 21
3 ADVANCE DUNDEE NZ 13
4 JONZAAK 21
5 TOPUP 15
6 KING OF BLING 2.5
7 LOADED TO RUN 7
8 FOR MY MUM MAGGIE NZ 34
---------- Second Row ----------
9 MURILLO BROMAC NZ 15
10 TOP PAIGE 8
Not much between the entire field here ability wise but in mile races the speed map is vitally important so have framed the market around that. #6 King Of Bling has exceptional gatespeed and looks the leader again and finished off in 27.1 the last time he led over the mile trip so have him as a clear top pick. #1 The Musics Over had the same draw when trailed King Of Bling last time and ran him to 3 metres on the line and should be in the same spot again and if the fav cops pressure will be in the right place. #7 Loaded To Run never runs a bad race and will be around the money again and the query runner is #10 Top Paige who has a great record in mile races but is resuming and has a 2nd row draw to overcome. Cannot totally discount any runner but would be surprised if anything outside of that quartet won
Ratings 6/1/7/10/field
Race 6
1 KAMWOOD KENNY 13
2 TOUCHWOOD FORTUNE 101
3 THE MUSICIAN 13
4 TOPOTHECLOUDS 4.5
5 TOUCHWOOD TEEKSTA 11
6 CALL ME JAMES scr
7 MONICAS NOTCH 41
8 PRETTYBOYTOBY 11
---------- Second Row ----------
9 STILL ROYAL 8
10 BAJARDO RIVER 17
11 LUGOVOI LEIS 2.5
12 DAVPASS 101
#6 Call Me James has come back to racing in fine fettle and looks the top pick here, he can go forward and make his own luck so will look the winner at some stage. #11 Lugovoi Leis is one dimensional in that must be driven cold but if he gets the right trip will be hard to hold out. #4 Topoftheclouds has travelled like a winner a couple of times lately and hasn't found the line so prepared to declare him a place prospect only. Outside of that trio, there are plenty of others with place prospects providing the breaks go their way in #1 Kamwood Kenny, #3 The Musician, #5 Touchwood Teeksta, #8 Prettyboytoby, #9 Still Royal and #10 Bajardo River
Ratings 6/11/4/1,3,5,8,9,10
Race 7
1 WINJAMMER scr
2 ALLA BREVE 13
3 GETTYSBURG ADDRESS 7
4 SHEZ RYLEYMAK scr
5 YUSHCHENKO LEIS 4.5
6 SKY TOWER 4
7 COSMIC UNDER FIRE NZ 2.2
#7 Cosmic Under Fire was attacked in front last time and did a super job to run 3rd and given a clean getaway here should be the one to beat. He rates on top of the stablemates in #5 Yuschenko Leis and #6 Sky Tower who actually both beat him home last time after having easier runs. It is interesting to note that Erin jumps onto Sky Tower here over the longer trip after having driven Yuschenko Leis in all races this season which may be a lead in itself as she is fighting out the female drivers title with Nat Emery. The other Hodges stablemate in #3 Gettysburg Address appears the only other winning hope with both the frontmarkers being disappointing of late but by the nature of stand start racing they cannot be totally discounted
Ratings 7/6/5/3/1,2
Race 8
1 JUSTABRITTMORE 17
2 ENCHANTED HEART 1.1
3 BROWN PAIGE 21
4 TENT PEG 101
5 SILENT JIM 26
6 LITTLE BLUEJEANS 21
7 DENVERS BOY scr
8 TOP PREMIER 51
---------- Second Row ----------
9 GO GO CISCO 51
10 AAPENNON 51
No hope of getting out in the last if you have to with #2 Enchanted Heart looking a stone bonking moral who has won 3 of his past 4 starts and just looks classes above this lot (outside of him, the rest of the field are a combined 153 starts for 1 win which probably best sums it up). Of the rest, #1 Justabrittmore has actually won a race, draws the pole and at his only Tasmanian run he wasn't too bad despite doing some things wrong. #3 Brown Paige must be driven for luck but is always a place hope, #6 Little Bluejeans ran the quinella with the fav last time but did have a cheap pegs run and find it tougher from out here and #5 Silent Jim was going okay earlier in the year but last few have been awful but maybe Gareth jumping on may rejuvenate him a bit
Ratings 2/1,3/5,6/field
Sunday, July 4, 2010
Tassie Sunday
Still up in Brisbane and using an Internet Cafe for this post so unfortunately won't have the time for a full preview. Reckon if you play around with these in exotics such as quinellas, trifectas, running doubles you should come out in front
I can't see anything outside of the following winning their respective races
Race 1 - 4
Race 2 - 2,3,8
Race 3 - 4,5
Race 4 - 5,7,12
Race 5 - 1,4
Race 6 - 1,3,10
Race 7 - 1,3,10,12
Race 8 - 2,3,5
Race 9 - 1,3,6
Race 10 - 1,5
Race 11 - 1,9,11
Best Bet
R1#4 Beautide, pretty good horse this fella and might get backable odds with #6 sure to get support after winning first 2 starts after getting away with murder in front and that certainly won't happen tonight
Also pretty confident that will get quaddie (its just if I win money on it) so going to anchor my top pick in each leg. Cost is $102 for 100% so if anybody wants to follow it is easy to calculate a lesser or higher amount from a base figure of around $100
12/1,4/1,3,10/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $24
5,7,12/4/1,3,10/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $36
5,7,12/1,4/1/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $24
5,7,12/1,4/1,3,10/4 for 100% cost $18
Total spend $102
Individual selections for all races in following post and will have a full preview for upcoming meetings
I can't see anything outside of the following winning their respective races
Race 1 - 4
Race 2 - 2,3,8
Race 3 - 4,5
Race 4 - 5,7,12
Race 5 - 1,4
Race 6 - 1,3,10
Race 7 - 1,3,10,12
Race 8 - 2,3,5
Race 9 - 1,3,6
Race 10 - 1,5
Race 11 - 1,9,11
Best Bet
R1#4 Beautide, pretty good horse this fella and might get backable odds with #6 sure to get support after winning first 2 starts after getting away with murder in front and that certainly won't happen tonight
Also pretty confident that will get quaddie (its just if I win money on it) so going to anchor my top pick in each leg. Cost is $102 for 100% so if anybody wants to follow it is easy to calculate a lesser or higher amount from a base figure of around $100
12/1,4/1,3,10/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $24
5,7,12/4/1,3,10/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $36
5,7,12/1,4/1/1,3,10,12 for 100% cost $24
5,7,12/1,4/1,3,10/4 for 100% cost $18
Total spend $102
Individual selections for all races in following post and will have a full preview for upcoming meetings
Friday, July 2, 2010
Been quiet for a few days
Spent the week travelling around Queensland and haven't had a bet all week which is very rare for me. Got back home this arvo and heading out to the Gold Coast trots tonight as the Derby is an unbelievable race.
Have some friends up from Tassie so will try to post a full preview time permitting but going to be full on all weekend I feel. Heading up to Brisbane on Saturday night to watch another top meeting so depending on what time I get back Sunday I will post a preview.
Reckon the Royal Verdict will win at Melton despite taking on a couple of stablemates who look the main dangers and might play silly buggers with him so won't be a big bet.
Early tips for Tassie on Sunday
R1#4 Beautide
R2#8 Pans Illusion
R3#4 Codie Karalta
R4#12 Thirsty Mach - bit of a risk from the draw over mile so tricky race
R5#4 Call Me James
R6#1 Riverina Chelsea
R7#3 Flight To Mikinos
R8#2 Quastor Centurion
R9#3 Mazuri Malika
R10#1 Shez Ryleymak
R11#1 Bayfield High
Hopefully I can do a full preview
Have some friends up from Tassie so will try to post a full preview time permitting but going to be full on all weekend I feel. Heading up to Brisbane on Saturday night to watch another top meeting so depending on what time I get back Sunday I will post a preview.
Reckon the Royal Verdict will win at Melton despite taking on a couple of stablemates who look the main dangers and might play silly buggers with him so won't be a big bet.
Early tips for Tassie on Sunday
R1#4 Beautide
R2#8 Pans Illusion
R3#4 Codie Karalta
R4#12 Thirsty Mach - bit of a risk from the draw over mile so tricky race
R5#4 Call Me James
R6#1 Riverina Chelsea
R7#3 Flight To Mikinos
R8#2 Quastor Centurion
R9#3 Mazuri Malika
R10#1 Shez Ryleymak
R11#1 Bayfield High
Hopefully I can do a full preview
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