Monday, June 7, 2010

Vicbred 3yo final - Stewards Report

I occasionally get it right (not that it makes me feel good in this instance). Prior to the race, I made a point of emphasising two drivers who weren't fit to drive in a Group 1 race by the names of Mal Whiteford and Alex Douglas and whilst I hate to say I told you so ...............

Would like to think that this may be the catalyst for new drivers regulations to be implemented for Metro meetings but won't hold my breath as the same thing has been happening for years.

Stewards Report from the Group 1 Vicbred 3yo final

http://www.harness.org.au/stewards-reports-detail.cfm?mc=JV040610

RACE 5 – SKY RACING VICBRED SUPER SERIES (3YO COLTS & GELDINGS) FINAL (GROUP 1) (2240m MS)

Pre-race blood samples were taken from Jack Hall, Composed, Cuttheattitude and David Hercules.

Driver Mal Whiteford (Jack Hall) was spoken to advisedly for the manner in which he tightened Grins Rendition approaching the first turn.

Mr Whiteford was also questioned regarding his tactics adopted upon Jack Hall, particularly through the early stages. Mr Whiteford stated it was his intention to initially obtain the lead and surrender such to Cuttheattitude. Approaching the first turn, Mr Whiteford explained Jack Hall had a tendency to hang in resulting in Grins Rendition to his inside being tightened and Mr Whiteford having to correct Jack Hall on several occasions before he eventually crossing that runner. Having obtained the lead Mr Whiteford added despite his efforts, Jack Hall commenced to over race before ultimately surrendering the lead to the race favourite. The explanation of Mr Whiteford was noted.

Driver Alex Douglas was found guilty of a charge under the provisions of Rule 149(1) for failing to take all reasonable and permissible measures during the course of the race to ensure Machieve was given full opportunity to win or obtain the best possible placing in the field. Machieve raced forward from the start and into the first turn in a four wide position. Machieve continued to be driven forward three wide around the first turn where Mr Douglas continued to apply pressure to the leaders in an exceptionally quick lead-time until approximately the mile. Furthermore, from approximately the mile until approximately the 1300 metres, Mr Douglas failed to give Machieve any respite by permitting Machieve to race forward and pressure Cuttheattitude. Mr Douglas's tactics through the early and middle stages were detrimental to Machieve's chances and contributed to Machieve weakening over the latter stages of the race to be placed ninth, beaten 28 metres.

A post race veterinary examination of Machieve failed to reveal any abnormalities. The drivers licence of Mr Alex Douglas was suspended for a period of eight weeks with the penalty to commence midnight Friday 4 June 2010. In assessing penalty, the Panel took into account Mr Douglas' record, the circumstances and the Group 1 status of the race amongst other factors.


Composed raced three wide throughout after being unable to obtain a position in the running line.

Turning into the back straight on the final occasion, Palais Du Louvre hung out, contacted the sulky of Antsintapants and raced roughly.

Grins Rendition tired over the latter stages to be placed last beaten 82.6 metres.

Jack In Flight was held up in the early stages of the run to the finish.

Post-race swab samples were taken from the winner David Hercules

Sunday, June 6, 2010

Hobart Harness Odds and Ratings

Best Bet

R4#6 Saab Quality

Best Value

R5#8 Domani Gem

Quaddie

6/4,8/1,2,3,8/field

Try to do markets to around 120% to fall in line with TAB odds as a value indicator

Race 1

1 Bymarjac 4.5
2 Bettors Express 11
3 Imperial Majesty3.8
4 Monita Em 67
5 Semose Twenty 3.5
6 Scottys Jewel 15
7 Wundababe 21
8 Woody Beours scr
9 Klebnikova Leis 4.5

Hard race to start the night with 4 clear top picks and all 4 have claims. #3 Imperial Majesty has raced in good fields from bad draws of late and looks suited, #5 Semose Twenty ran home well in a 28.6 closing split last time, #9 Klebnikova Leis blew the start last time and run was better than it looks on paper and #1 Bymarjac resumes and was placed in both starts before a spell but in pretty weak races but you have to respect from the draw

Ratings 3,5/9/1

Race 2

1 Jebs Xtreme 34
2 Red River Gee Gee 17
3 Sweetchillifilly 11
4 Flying Dubai 5.5
5 Sapphire Island 17
6 Underdog 2.3
7 Bertils Rocket 13
8 Liskens Gift 17
9 Bunjil Boy 34
10 Flight To Mikinos 5.5

Pretty thin race this with #6 Underdog looking very hard to beat, was extremely unlucky last time and has raced against far better horses than these. Have a healthy respect for the ex Victorian in Flight To Mikonos who has been chasing some good ones of late and will find this a lot easier. Only other winning hope is #4 Flying Dubai who is honest and won't be far away.

Ratings 6/10/4/2,3,5,7,8

Race 3

1 Go Go Cisco 41
2 Ashinaga 6
3 River Of Shadows scr
4 Deejay Bromac 15
5 Dreamon Donny 26
6 Strategic Miss 3.2
7 Justabrittmore scr
8 Broughton 5
9 Wizard Jones 3.5
10 Maracas Bay 26
11 Odins Angel Dust 21

Shocker of a race this highlighted by the fact that my top pick in #6 Strategic Miss is a 23 start maiden but ran a very good race last time and a repeat of that should see her winning, #9 Wizard Jones has been competitive with better horses and will go close here. Of the rest, #8 Broughton would blow these away if he recaptured his form of 12 months ago but going just fair at present and the only other winning hope is #2 Ashinaga

Ratings 6,9/2,8/field

Race 4

1 Mister Gunadoo 17
2 Modern Promise 67
3 Tzu Tzu Petals 15
4 Dundees Knife 15
5 Prisonbreak 4.5
6 Saab Quality 2.3
7 Safina Leis 4.5
8 Glenfern Cruiser 8

#6 Saab Quality has always looked a good horse at the trials and finally produced it at the races last time when he ran a cheeky 3rd to the best 3YOs in the state (Gedlee, Thirsty Mach). Has plenty of gatespeed and if he got over to lead here would just about be unbeatable. #5 Prisonbreak is a dour type who looks the only possible horse who may keep #6 out early and won't be far away. #7 Safina Leis was disgraceful last time but this is easier and has always raced best with a sit but draw makes it hard. #8 Glenfern Cruiser the only other possible chance

Ratings 6/5,7/8

Race 5

1 Southern Playmate 11
2 Phantom Jasper 8
3 Lomandra 21
4 Ontick 3.5
5 Guerrero 7
6 Duart Castle 13
7 Berezovsky Leis 8
8 Domani Gem 4
9 Bad Boy Vinny 9

Really liked the run of #8 Domani Gem last time as got hammered in front with every quarter sub 30 secs and just got nabbed late, obviously going to need luck from the draw but should be decent value. I have always believed that #4 Ontick is over-rated but is still a strong winning hope. Reckon one of those 2 will win but I concede place chances to every horse in the race

Ratings 8/4/5,7/field

Race 6

1 Billabong Bertie 6
2 King Of Bling 4
3 Cullens Angel 2.5
4 Forty Two Grand 17
5 Timesonyourside 26
6 Ronnie Rat 11
7 Camelots Raider 34
8 Secret Rendezvous 6.5

Hard race to assess as difficult to work out what is going to happen early with all of 1,2,3 having gatespeed. For that reason I am putting the claimer #8 Secret Rendezvous on top as draws to trail through well and might be the fresh horse late at a bit of value. #3 Cullens Angel is flying currently but goes best in front and not sure if she will lead today. #2 King Of Bling went okay behind a smart one at first Tassie start and will be competitive again from the draw. #1 Billabong Bertie is a C4 racing in a C6-7 race which is strange but from the draw is a chance

Ratings 3,8/2/1/6/4

Race 7

1 Touchwood Teeksta 9
2 November Twenty 9
3 Cats And Dogs 5
4 Pennys Dragon 7
5 Touchwood Bucksta 17
6 Crash Cart 41
7 Prince Planet 26
8 Twograndahand 8
9 Toucha Revenge 11
10 Glory Is Illusive 21
11 Unrivalled (1st Em) scr
12 Mickey Delahey 17
13 Paul Albert 51
14 Odins Constantine 9
15 Buddahs Best Mate 15

Don't know where to start with this race, stand start with 14 runners and nearly every runner some hope, envisage a ton of moves being made during the race which just makes it more difficult to work out. #4 Pennys Dragon is probably the best horse in the race but stand is a query with her plus has to be driven for luck, #3 Cats And Dogs is no star but does things right and whacks away, #2 November Twenty led and won its heat so a chance again and #14 Odins Constantine has to overcome the handicap but if they go mad he will be the one coming late

Ratings 4,14/2,3,8/1,9,12,15

Race 8

1 Bad Boy Bert 34
2 Our Sir Lew 3.5
3 Karoola Town 21
4 Cullens Count 4.5
5 Paddy My Boy 41
6 Still Royal 3.5
7 Pearls From Heaven 6
8 The Bullionaire 34
9 Titled 34
10 Ark West 13
11 Meandpop 41

Look to be only 4 winning hopes in this. #6 Still Royal is going very well but is going to need luck from the draw but if he gets any he should win, #2 Our Sir Lew did the job last week and reckon he wins again if he leads but not sure if he can as #4 Cullens Count can begin quickly and his last couple have been a return to form. #7 Southern Playmate had her birthday last time when led and walked in a mile race but won't get any favours from the draw here but can't totally dismiss. Only other possibility of an upset is #10 Ark West

Ratings 2,6/4/7/10

Race 9

1 Our Sir Jeckyl 1.3
2 Alby Albert 4
3 Bygone Era 41
4 Redside Shrek 13

Not the best race in the world to get out on with no value at all in the race. #1 Our Sir Jeckyl is probably the best horse in the state currently and will get a soft lead here and should be able to zip home. #2 Alby Albert returns to Tassie and looks certain to be trailing the fav and therefore probably ensure he runs 2nd and #4 Redside Shrek is lengths below his best currently but still will beat home the claimer Bygone Era who has been running last in $4K claimers which just about sums up his chances

Ratings 1/2/4

Saturday, June 5, 2010

Harness Tips - Saturday June 5

Geelong

7.00pm R2#4 Sarum Knight, bit of an in and out customer but looks certain to receive every possible hope here with no gate speed inside him. Not the strongest but shouldn't cop any early pressure and the lead time should be no quicker than 36 which should entitle him to win. Just hope the 5 doesn't come over with him and drop onto his back as thats the only possible way it could beat him. Other danger in #7 Nickel Miss is a filly taking on the boys and might find it tough from the draw but does whack away all day so if it becomes a slog home she becomes a chance but I have it pegged as a slowly run first half then a dash home
Pretty ordinary him falling into 3rd, pretty ordinary from me as well expecting a slow lead time when Lance Justice is driving in the race

7.30pm: R3 - quinella 4,6 (Striking Kelly, Bettor Give It), the fav #6 was super impressive at first start winning with ease and running an exceptional last quarter so picks herself. Really fancy #4 Striking Kelly for the quinella spot as was backed into favourite at first start and got knocked over. Did win a Maryborough trial prior by 15 metres running home in 59.3 on a wet and windy day (which was the quickest last 800 of the 11 trials run that day). Interesting to note the horse she beat by 15 metres in the trial actually ran 3rd in the same race she got knocked over in. The Manning stable have 3 horses in the race but none have been too impressive so far. Looks a pretty good bet
Striking Kelly was abysmal

Albion Park

6.38pm: R4 - quinella 1,10 (Bay Of Eagles, Justa Little Randy), Bay Of Eagles is a 3YO taking on older horses here but he is very good and loves to lead in his races and should do so here despite some speed outside him. #10 Justa Little Randy is a tough 4yo who makes his own luck and is the 2nd best horse in the race
Pole horse led and galloped putting paid to its chances, 10 horse won the race

The less said about these selections the better

HRV Preview via You Tube

For those interested, HRV release an online preview via You Tube each week with Michael Polster and Brad Bishop

http://www.youtube.com/user/HarnessRacingVic

Pretty good idea I reckon so right behind the concept, the technology is out there so why not use it. Was uploaded to the net about midday Friday so might be worth a look on Friday afternoons if you want to see a preview

Friday, June 4, 2010

3 years isn't long enough, should have got a life ban

The industry needs to make an example of these types of people and get rid of them forever. Manipulating a horse's gear to deliberately malfunction and lay it for a fortune on Betfair and as usual the idiots don't cover their tracks as his phone and bank records gave a direct link to an already disqualified person in Michael Auchurch

http://www.harness.org.au/news-article.cfm?news_id=13933

Jackson was already on a stay of proceedings for another serious charge in which he assaulted another licensed person which he ultimately received a 4 year disqualification for so probably saw this as a chance to get his payday prior to the disqualification starting

http://www.harness.org.au/news-article.cfm?news_id=13705

Don't say you weren't warned!!!

Just watched the Vicbred 3YO final for colts and geldings and I just had to retrieve this snippet from a post the other day regarding amateur drivers. Fair dinkum - 42 lead time, just insane

There is a distinct lack of professionalism in Harness Racing, predominately by trainers in who drives their horses but surely the governing bodies should introduce a mandate that all drivers at Metro grade meetings must adhere to a certain qualification criteria. If we look at the fields for this Friday night at Melton which has a Group 1 and 3 other group races on the program then the following all stand out to me - Joanne Taylor, Clinton McSwain, Stephen Cleave, Kerry Clarke, Geoffrey Allen, Mal Whiteford, Alex Douglas, Paul Paton, Kevin Ford, Juanita Breen and Paul Davies. Could probably even add Graeme Lang to that list as rarely drives nowadays but I could imagine the commotion that would cause which in itself is half the problem in that people will point to things he did 30 years ago instead of making the hard (and correct) decision based on what needs to be done today!!!

The list named there simply do not drive in enough races to be in receipt of a Metro licence in my opinion and yet it happens week in, week out and you can bet your bottom dollar that one of them will ruin a race this week. To further magnify the issue this week, a couple are listed to drive in Group races!!!

Yep, they ruined the group 1 race, who were the 2 drivers going with the fav in that insane lead time - you guessed it, Mal Whiteford and Alex Douglas

Melton Tips - Friday June 4

Only the one and going the mugs bet of race 1 number 1

R1#1 Johnorama, reckon its pretty simple with him in that if he leads he wins and if he gets crossed may be in a stack of trouble. #3 Fire It Up is rumoured to be the quickest horse in the Douglas stable but if the pole led would have to smash the clock
hard to believe its the same horse Caldows used to train, 1.53.9 and smashed em. $1.50 on TAB, did trade a lot better but using SuperTab for stats purposes

barrier draw has killed my other bets

Was intending to back David Hercules to beat Cuttheattitude but faces an almost impossible task now as its hard enough to beat a horse who will run 1.56, let alone if you have to give it 20 metres start and come wide

Captain Joy was enormous last week but simply is shocking value from the draw in a red hot field. Still my top pick but can't take the odds on offer

Was hoping Arizona Blue drew badly to inject a tad of value but from front row will be very short and not a good proposition at those odds as can do things wrong on occasions